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Personally I just think that 1000 women being allowed to tag along is a drop darius_sedai Send a noteboard - 29/10/2012 08:05:33 PM
The people coming to the Tower wanting to be Aes Sedai are NOT a random sample of all women. They're a sample of women who want to be Aes Sedai.


Yes, of course, but unless there is some underlying mechanism making women who could be strong channelers be less likely to want to become Aes Sedai, it seems reasonable to assume that the women who want to become Aes Sedai are a random sample of all women.


in the bucket. We know that about 1% of the population has the ability. Which could mean something like 500,000 women have the ability which means 312,500 could be AS and 187,500 are too weak. Picking up a random 1000 women from a specific region who came without active recruitment isn't a representative sample of female channelers. For all we know Northern Altaran women are generally weak in the power.
Domani Drag Queen in the White Tower ... Aran'gar watch out!
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Ch2 : Pevara & Androl and channeling implications - 24/10/2012 06:40:47 PM 2851 Views
Did Perva actually initiate the link or was it Androl? *NM* - 24/10/2012 07:02:15 PM 721 Views
Androl did. *NM* - 25/10/2012 05:10:31 AM 977 Views
But didn't Nynaeve do it first at the cleansing? - 25/10/2012 12:43:15 PM 1183 Views
Pevara was thinking on very sketchy information. - 25/10/2012 08:56:20 PM 1109 Views
did he start the link? or just take it? - 27/10/2012 07:33:49 AM 835 Views
I think it's slightly off - 28/10/2012 04:21:05 PM 1109 Views
Re: Ch2 : Pevara & Androl and channeling implications - 25/10/2012 05:13:43 AM 1333 Views
Re: Ch2 : Pevara & Androl and channeling implications - 25/10/2012 04:23:20 PM 1154 Views
Re: Ch2 : Pevara & Androl and channeling implications - 25/10/2012 09:52:03 PM 1198 Views
Travelling - 25/10/2012 08:56:41 AM 1199 Views
Yes that's a pet theory of mine - 25/10/2012 04:21:53 PM 1212 Views
Re: Yes that's a pet theory of mine - 25/10/2012 06:12:21 PM 1091 Views
Re: Yes that's a pet theory of mine - 25/10/2012 08:50:15 PM 1047 Views
Re: Yes that's a pet theory of mine - 25/10/2012 09:45:26 PM 1132 Views
Weren't there 150 or so at Maradon? *NM* - 26/10/2012 03:29:53 PM 634 Views
Re: Yes that's a pet theory of mine - 26/10/2012 08:49:58 PM 1252 Views
Perhaps, but if no on in the AoL could do it when mixed circles were common - 28/10/2012 04:22:20 PM 931 Views
How strong Pevara is... - 25/10/2012 07:08:26 PM 1273 Views
I'm pretty sure Moiraine is closer to 30... - 25/10/2012 07:41:37 PM 997 Views
Agreed - 25/10/2012 08:37:24 PM 1087 Views
So... the old story of ignore the bell curve, eh? - 26/10/2012 01:40:49 AM 1047 Views
No, I fully respect the bell curve - 26/10/2012 01:51:34 PM 1104 Views
That was disproved long ago... - 26/10/2012 01:36:24 AM 1057 Views
But Moiraine isn't 'exceptionally strong' - 26/10/2012 05:16:10 AM 1103 Views
Not particularly strong evidence for that last. - 26/10/2012 05:36:54 AM 1051 Views
But we know that it takes significantly more strength to maintain multiple weaves - 26/10/2012 08:14:58 AM 963 Views
Not true - 27/10/2012 09:15:51 PM 972 Views
Not accurate - 27/10/2012 09:31:05 PM 970 Views
The Bell Curve explained... - 26/10/2012 10:27:34 AM 1032 Views
Re: The Bell Curve explained... - 26/10/2012 11:40:04 AM 1023 Views
Re: The Bell Curve explained... - 26/10/2012 12:32:01 PM 959 Views
Re: The Bell Curve explained... - 26/10/2012 12:48:51 PM 1053 Views
Re: The Bell Curve explained... - 26/10/2012 01:07:39 PM 1050 Views
Re: The Bell Curve explained... - 26/10/2012 01:18:32 PM 1057 Views
Re: The Bell Curve explained... - 26/10/2012 01:57:18 PM 1117 Views
Re: The Bell Curve explained... - 28/10/2012 02:07:39 PM 786 Views
Yet Sharina, Nynaeve etc exist, thus the BC is the same - 27/10/2012 09:39:58 PM 1131 Views
The curve is OBVIOUSLY the same... - 28/10/2012 01:50:37 AM 920 Views
Re: The curve is OBVIOUSLY the same... - 28/10/2012 02:01:59 PM 999 Views
You need to go read RJ's quotes: - 28/10/2012 02:41:49 PM 1019 Views
Re: You need to go read RJ's quotes: - 28/10/2012 05:39:12 PM 921 Views
I need to come and save you from blatant fallacies being spouted by the loonies. - 28/10/2012 05:56:21 PM 935 Views
This is like watching a train-wreck. - 29/10/2012 02:58:51 AM 892 Views
Re: This is like watching a train-wreck. - 29/10/2012 01:10:35 PM 1103 Views
So what's your conclusion? - 29/10/2012 02:14:33 PM 875 Views
His conclusion is that RJ was right about the books he wrote... - 29/10/2012 02:19:59 PM 1023 Views
Pretty much... - 30/10/2012 12:57:41 AM 1100 Views
Excellent points... - 29/10/2012 02:16:39 PM 861 Views
Re: Excellent points... - 29/10/2012 02:47:30 PM 994 Views
You seem confused. - 29/10/2012 03:22:47 PM 878 Views
Re: You seem confused. - 29/10/2012 03:41:48 PM 930 Views
I think the point is that the AS didn't go force every woman in the area - 29/10/2012 07:57:59 PM 872 Views
Re: You seem confused. - 29/10/2012 08:23:22 PM 1005 Views
Re: You seem confused. - 29/10/2012 08:57:11 PM 1013 Views
He drew graphs! - 30/10/2012 12:49:09 AM 896 Views
Re: He drew graphs! - 30/10/2012 07:43:54 AM 946 Views
Re: He drew graphs! - 30/10/2012 01:57:05 PM 926 Views
Re: Excellent points... - 30/10/2012 12:20:00 AM 943 Views
Re: Excellent points... - 30/10/2012 07:49:57 AM 963 Views
Re: Excellent points... - 30/10/2012 01:05:45 PM 1293 Views
Re: Excellent points... - 30/10/2012 01:25:11 PM 976 Views
Re: Excellent points... - 30/10/2012 12:20:17 AM 1040 Views
AS recruiting is minimal - 28/10/2012 10:41:29 PM 929 Views
Re: You need to go read RJ's quotes: - 29/10/2012 02:23:27 AM 932 Views
Re: You need to go read RJ's quotes: - 29/10/2012 07:33:44 AM 924 Views
Huh? - 29/10/2012 02:26:27 PM 928 Views
Re: Huh? - 29/10/2012 02:42:07 PM 911 Views
You don't seem to know what random means... - 29/10/2012 03:25:57 PM 914 Views
Re: You don't seem to know what random means... - 29/10/2012 03:36:45 PM 945 Views
Personally I just think that 1000 women being allowed to tag along is a drop - 29/10/2012 08:05:33 PM 957 Views
Re: Personally I just think that 1000 women being allowed to tag along is a drop - 29/10/2012 09:04:02 PM 981 Views
Geography alone can do this - 30/10/2012 12:39:53 AM 924 Views
Re: Geography alone can do this - 30/10/2012 09:45:58 AM 908 Views
Not really - 30/10/2012 02:49:05 PM 888 Views
Here's why its not random... - 30/10/2012 01:04:18 AM 894 Views
Re: Here's why its not random... - 30/10/2012 09:42:35 AM 1038 Views
Re: Here's why its not random... - 30/10/2012 01:51:03 PM 889 Views
Re: Here's why its not random... - 30/10/2012 02:21:04 PM 934 Views
YEah, there's no point debating this... - 30/10/2012 02:46:39 PM 883 Views
Genetics plays a role - 30/10/2012 03:03:41 PM 1037 Views
Re: You don't seem to know what random means... - 29/10/2012 08:22:40 PM 882 Views
Re: You don't seem to know what random means... - 29/10/2012 09:06:08 PM 917 Views
Why must there be a mechanism? - 30/10/2012 01:06:29 AM 903 Views
Re: Why must there be a mechanism? - 30/10/2012 09:48:16 AM 825 Views
Nope... - 30/10/2012 01:43:56 PM 1036 Views
Re: Nope... - 30/10/2012 02:34:51 PM 882 Views
Oh my... - 30/10/2012 02:50:12 PM 958 Views
Thought experment time! Hurrah! - 30/10/2012 03:27:01 PM 901 Views
But it is still possible in your example to get wildly varied results - 30/10/2012 03:30:59 PM 833 Views
Re: But it is still possible in your example to get wildly varied results - 30/10/2012 03:36:03 PM 936 Views
LOL - 30/10/2012 04:49:06 PM 1451 Views
Re: Yet Sharina, Nynaeve etc exist, thus the BC is the same - 28/10/2012 01:39:55 PM 892 Views
The point is there are still people being born in the highest strength categories - 28/10/2012 04:18:55 PM 937 Views
Re: The point is there are still people being born in the highest strength categories - 28/10/2012 05:21:44 PM 932 Views
The curve hasn't shifted! - 28/10/2012 05:39:42 PM 1007 Views
The fact is, Moiraine is not half as strong as Lanfear, hence she is below average strength. - 28/10/2012 06:02:04 PM 954 Views
How is this fact? - 29/10/2012 02:59:49 AM 952 Views
Re: How is this fact? - 29/10/2012 07:04:15 PM 941 Views
Not so - 29/10/2012 08:09:29 PM 906 Views
Re: Not so - 29/10/2012 08:43:16 PM 983 Views
Sure it is - 30/10/2012 01:43:39 AM 869 Views
Explain Elza-Merise-Cadsuane then... - 29/10/2012 08:20:14 PM 912 Views
Re: Explain Elza-Merise-Cadsuane then... - 29/10/2012 08:38:11 PM 928 Views
Are you blind man? - 30/10/2012 01:12:26 AM 953 Views
Re: Are you blind man? - 30/10/2012 09:23:37 AM 983 Views
Cadsuane is just below Egwene... - 30/10/2012 01:37:54 PM 914 Views
Your strength scores don't square with the Pevara quote - 30/10/2012 03:15:22 PM 917 Views
Re: The curve hasn't shifted! - 28/10/2012 07:36:36 PM 935 Views
On Raw strength scores I think you are pretty inline with my thinking - 27/10/2012 09:37:25 PM 1088 Views
And the facing a Foresaken comment is out of context anyway... - 28/10/2012 01:56:12 AM 1038 Views
Excellent point on raw v. Effective strength *NM* - 28/10/2012 04:13:21 PM 632 Views

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