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There's always room for error, and in general I agree with some of your placements... Shannow Send a noteboard - 15/12/2011 07:03:01 AM
I really don't see why that single quote, way early in the series, and by no means even remotely accurate, should give any definition to a possible strength list.

The only way the candle to bonfire comparison makes sense is if Egwene is strength 1 or 2 to Nynaeve's 95, which is so out of the realm of possibility as to be ludicrous.

The facts we have point to Nynaeve not being able to shield Elayne even when Elayne is drink-addled via her bond. We have Moghedien's statement that Elayne was definitely not a pushover in strength. We have RJ's statement that Egwene, Elayne and Aviendha were a step below the Foresaken. We have Egwene laying traps in her apartment, ready to duke it out with the OP with Mesaana, with no mention of even an angreal.


The bonfire quote can obviously not be taken literally, otherwise Nynaeve would be hundreds or thousands of times stronger than Egwene. It does indicate that a big gap separates them, but if one considers that Moiraine spoke the statement, it's really no surprise at all. The key to these statements is often to look at who spoke them... Reanne's statement on Alivia's considerable advantage may not be so considerable considering Reanne would use herself as the standard. By the same token, Graendal saying that someone is 'not negligible' implies that the woman is incredibly powerful because of Graendal's own innate power.

If Nynaeve has a strength of 95, Egwene 70 and Moiraine 30, then we can see how immensely powerful Egwene is. Aes Sedai have hardly ever known someone to be twice as strong as some of their most powerful members. Now imagine Moiraine finds a woman who has almost her whole strength on top of Egwene's. That would certainly be a massive discovery and worthy of 'bonfire'. Everything is relative.

I obviously don't agree with Shannow's post below. In my opinion he takes far greater liberties with OP strength assumption and then goes further and labels them as fact or logical deduction. For instance, although RJ said that Egwene is between Moiraine and Nynaeve, he never said it was linear or part of some grand scheme to make all things equal. What is most likely is that he has categorized the channelers into Forsaken, Strong channelers and Aes Sedai.

One can take any statement and label it as fact. Take for instance, Moiraine's statement that Egwene and Aviendha could match one of the Forsaken together. 'Logically' one could assume that they have a strength of 50 because 50+50=100, but one need only point out the following points...

1. Moiraine is often wrong about the Forsaken.
2. Who is she comparing them to? Ishamael or Moghedien?
3. Alivia really is high Forsaken strength, and with a strong angreal she was on equal footing with Cyndane. Therefore for Egwene and Aviendha to match one of the Forsaken females they would need a strength of 150 or more. Therefore 75 is a more likely strength for Egwene/Aviendha. It also implies that Moiraine thinks that the two can overwhelm a highly trained and super-strong channeler, meaning that Nynaeve is probably considerably weaker than the two of them combined, thus once again suggesting that either channeler alone is not massively below Nynaeve as suggested, but certainly one level below. Therefore strengths of 70 and 95 are more than reasonable.

I don't know why anyone would come here and suggest that their list is fact when all but one statement in the series can be refuted regarding Forsaken strength. If I decided in my mind that Mesaana is second only to Lanfear, there is not a single quote in the series to contradict me.


I'm perfectly happy not to use RJ's comment of Egwene being just "one step above Moiraine" as proof of her weakness, but then by the same token, the other half of the same quote, namely that she is "one step below the Forsaken" must be ignored as well.

You can't believe one and not the other, else you're just assigning your own, randomly generated interpretation to her relative strength based on nothing but whim. I happen to apply the quote evenly, which is more than can be said for the "Egwene is closer to a Forsaken than to Moiraine" crowd.

Next, when you state that Moiraine is often wrong about the Forsaken at least apply that even handedly, by accepting that if she is wrong in saying Egwene plus Aviendha can match one of the Forsaken, she could just as well be overestimating their strength as underestimating it. Maybe she IS wrong, and it actually takes THREE Egwene's to match Lanfear, not two.

A last point for now, although I can continue picking your post apart for much longer, is on Alivia.

You go on about the weakness of the Aes Sedai influencing their estimate of Alivia being SIGNIFICANTLY stronger than Nynaeve, but you forget that in Winter's Heart Chapter 31 Nynaeve herself shows us just how much stronger Alivia is than herself.

She doesn't even want to be alone in the room with Alivia, which clearly indicates that she doesn't believe she would stand a chance against Alivia if she was hostile. This is in sharp contrast to Nynaeve's confidence, and in fact OVERCONFIDENCE, when facing Talaan who is her exact equal in strength.

I would also refute your earlier suggestion that they were comparing Alivia to Nynaeve's current strength. As Linda has pointed out quite clearly in her strength list article on 13th depository, women refer to other women's POTENTIAL when comparing them, as they can sense it, as is the case with Sharina.

They compare Sharina's potential to Nyaneve's potential and it is only logical that they are doing the same with Alivia.

So again, if logic is applied evenly, it is pretty clear that not only is Nynaeve significantly stronger than Egwene, but there is also signfiicant room above Nynaeve on the list, to accomodate the 6 women who are proven to stronger than her, as per Sanderson.

I've got a lot more, as you know, but I'll leave it there for now. Maybe I'll use some of it later.


No what is amusing and sad is that you truly believe you know how strong these people are compared to one another, as if you've puzzled out what a multitude of dedicated readers cannot. Its possible and even likely that we will never know because it never existed.

I have no problem throwing out quotes or believing only certain things... RJ said he deliberately kept it muddy. Or do you still believe that Moghedien is stronger than the strongest 10 women in the Tower?

And you've obviously ignored all my posts explaining Alivia's strength which makes me wonder if I'm wasting my time. Nynaeve has confidence issues around Alivia, and as demonstrated in a distant discussion previously, Nynaeve herself has never measured Alivia's strength in the Power because she actually can't. She hasn't been trained to do so or hasnt mastered it. She's relying on Reanne's interpretation.

And I've never said that Egwene is Forsaken power. I believe Moiraine is at 30, Egwene at 70 and Nynaeve at 95. That means Egwene is 2x Moiraine and Nynaeve 3x which is what I've always maintained. Egwene is significantly weaker than Moghedien and 40% weaker than the other Forsaken.

You can pick all you want, I've never said I'm right and you consistently say you are but with no good evidence.


I agree roughly with your relative placements of Moiraine and Egwene, although I would not put Egwene at more than double Moiraine's strength. In fact, I'd say she is a tad under double Moiraine's strength, all things considered.

My main gripe is how close you place Nynaeve to Lanfear.

Egwene at say 70% of Nynaeve's full strength is quite realistic. But there is no evidence refuting a placement of Nynaeve at 85. In fact, with 6 women above her, that is quite a reasonable placement.

And with Nynaeve at 85, Egwene's 70% of Nynaeve's strength comes down to 60% of Lanfear's strength. Which I think is in correlation with virtually all the evidence, and refuted by none.





This message last edited by Shannow on 15/12/2011 at 07:54:18 AM
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Underestimating Forsaken strength - 11/12/2011 05:57:22 AM 1860 Views
Ah, my favourite topic makes a return... - 11/12/2011 07:45:29 AM 758 Views
Re: Ah, my favourite topic makes a return... - 11/12/2011 10:25:03 PM 774 Views
Yes, you are probably correct - 12/12/2011 06:26:07 AM 874 Views
Re: and some of the information given to us is flawed - 12/12/2011 07:38:59 PM 677 Views
The real question is - What percentage of her full strength did Nynaeve achieve by Book 4? - 12/12/2011 08:31:30 PM 713 Views
I find that unlikely - 12/12/2011 09:28:07 PM 681 Views
Easy question for you: Based on the evidence, what percentage of her strength was Nynaeve at in tSR? - 13/12/2011 07:09:56 AM 649 Views
Well.... - 13/12/2011 01:12:48 PM 718 Views
Well there we have it - 13/12/2011 01:36:45 PM 719 Views
Re: Well there we have it - 13/12/2011 02:06:14 PM 749 Views
Re: Well there we have it - 13/12/2011 02:12:10 PM 685 Views
Alivia may not even be stronger than Nynaeve... - 14/12/2011 03:14:06 AM 759 Views
That wouldn't surprise me actually *NM* - 14/12/2011 07:46:47 AM 399 Views
Where would you place Egwene though? - 14/12/2011 09:13:46 AM 663 Views
Re: Where would you place Egwene though? - 14/12/2011 12:53:49 PM 666 Views
Bonfire next to a candle indeed. Hehehe... - 14/12/2011 05:50:34 PM 803 Views
- 14/12/2011 06:56:40 PM 621 Views
The same "step" you refer to seperates Egwene from normal Aes Sedai according to RJ... - 14/12/2011 07:14:55 PM 649 Views
Yes! And...? - 15/12/2011 02:53:37 AM 658 Views
Yes I would agree with that - 14/12/2011 08:24:35 PM 810 Views
Alivia with an angreal > > > Cyndane - 14/12/2011 08:50:41 PM 581 Views
No - 14/12/2011 09:10:34 PM 668 Views
That makes no sense. - 14/12/2011 09:13:48 PM 736 Views
Correct. - 14/12/2011 09:43:53 PM 681 Views
Re: Correct. - 15/12/2011 05:54:37 AM 671 Views
So many instances of logical laziness in that post... - 14/12/2011 10:01:45 PM 1115 Views
Re: So many instances of logical laziness in that post... - 15/12/2011 06:16:01 AM 599 Views
There's always room for error, and in general I agree with some of your placements... - 15/12/2011 07:03:01 AM 681 Views
Re: There's always room for error, and in general I agree with some of your placements... - 17/12/2011 10:25:47 AM 734 Views
Because a difference of a few % is negligible, and not even worth mentioning... - 17/12/2011 10:54:49 AM 583 Views
How could you possibly use Gateways... - 17/12/2011 12:40:03 PM 615 Views
Repyling at bottom of thread for space reasons... *NM* - 17/12/2011 02:57:43 PM 362 Views
Only slight diffence I have is regarding general AS strength - 30/12/2011 04:45:49 PM 690 Views
I think it was just Aes Sedai hyperbole - 15/12/2011 09:51:00 PM 540 Views
And entirely based off your shared assumption. - 14/12/2011 05:15:51 AM 745 Views
Actually that's a lot of logical assumption. *NM* - 13/12/2011 01:28:00 PM 331 Views
But... - 14/12/2011 03:06:15 AM 547 Views
And - 30/12/2011 05:07:13 PM 648 Views
Yes - 13/12/2011 04:16:40 PM 798 Views
Re: Yes - 13/12/2011 04:47:17 PM 705 Views
Nah. Beyond the realm of possibility. Sorry, - 13/12/2011 05:12:40 PM 762 Views
There are a number of comments from Q&As that shows that this is possible and more complex. - 13/12/2011 08:23:49 PM 729 Views
None of which I disagree with, but a far cry from women being weaker just due to believing it... - 13/12/2011 08:39:40 PM 631 Views
But that is my point: it wouldn't be merely force of will. - 13/12/2011 09:40:17 PM 626 Views
What Rand is doing... - 14/12/2011 03:43:08 AM 748 Views
That would make sense given Min's vision - 16/12/2011 04:37:56 PM 550 Views
Wait.. I DIDN'T write that! - 14/12/2011 03:02:04 AM 619 Views
Reply to your question of - "Why use Logain gateway comparison as evidence:" - 17/12/2011 03:08:19 PM 718 Views
You're basically saying "correlation equals causation"... - 18/12/2011 06:18:47 AM 663 Views
On gateways - 18/12/2011 07:17:09 AM 706 Views
Might assume that Elayne is stronger in the Power than Aviendha. - 19/12/2011 02:40:46 PM 896 Views
I suspect he knows that... - 19/12/2011 05:53:00 PM 616 Views
Nope...some maths problems in your post. - 19/12/2011 07:41:29 PM 667 Views
But 64 square feet is not Elayne's maximum... - 20/12/2011 02:46:50 AM 616 Views
But Shielding is also relative. - 27/12/2011 09:35:11 PM 1878 Views
Re: Underestimating Forsaken strength - 22/12/2011 05:24:53 PM 662 Views

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