Active Users:934 Time:26/11/2024 08:33:27 PM
Well, we may as well HC (Table) Isaac Send a noteboard - 22/02/2011 10:05:16 PM
Just as a reminder, results should approximate random (which would be about 25% guilty on best estimate, so like flip two coins and if they both come up tails do guilty, if not do innocent) but selection should not be. In other words, someone like Beetnemesis, who pushed the vote on the now dead scummer, is not too likely to have been copped last night, the five non-voters - Gher, ?, Scott, me, and Stephen would have been, so might later wagon voters, and the order was Beet, Rana, Fox, FT, Hobo, Yuna, then Berg suicide-hammered. For those who are newer to HCing or who have roles who act on people, below the table I will discuss again how you HC and how a non-cop role should HC if they want to leave a record for us to use posthumously should you die. Please post a reply to this message designating a player and either guilty or not guilty, players in purple have HC'd.

Hypocop Table
?
beetnemesis - Scott, not guilty
Fanatic-Templar - Yunalesca, not guilty
Fox and Ravens - Hobo, Guilty
Hobo - Isaac, guilty
Isaac - Stephen, guilty
ranagrande - ?, not guilty
Scott Blademaster
Stephen - Beetnemesis, not guilty
Yunalesca - Fox, Guilty
Notes on HCing
HC, short for Hypocopping, is where players list who they would have targeted if they had been the cop and what result they got. This is done so that cops can list their results without being targeted for Night Kill, so that if they die we know who they checked. For this reason, we want players to select their HC target as realistically as possible, who they would actually have targeted if they'd been the cop, meaning a dead player might well be copped, similarly players should try to avoid selecting HC targets who would be improbable choices. Players should therefore not select their HC target randomly, however they should select their results randomly. From the perspective of a veteran scummer, without instruction players tend to list guilty far more often then is statistically probable, and the scum generally know who is innocent or guilty, and can thus eliminate someone as a cop for a wrong answer they give since the cop must answer truthfully or essentially sabotage the results and likely get townies killed and generate anti-town confusion. Every player the scum can eliminate as cop is one less person they need to consider in their hunt, and each wrong or improbable result helps narrow things down, as cops rarely make truly random choices but select from a pool. To protect the cop, players need to primarily 'huddle' around high-probability choices and produce as many true responses as probable, to hinder the cop hunt.

Now, if you are a role other than cop, it is often advantageous to leave a record of what you did as well. Docs and vigs should not generally not do this, nor should any "Passive" role or roles which do not target players, such as Bulletproof. Generally, a player doing this should list their target as their HC, and pick the less likely result as guilty, and use the more likely result or an ambigous one as not guilty, so a tracker who tracks someone and gets no result would HC that person as not guilty, but if they got a result, as guilty. Or roleblocker primarily just needs to list who they targeted, and can list guilty if they got back a definite hit saying that player had an action blocked. A role-detector should list someone guilty if they get a role (unless they know they are in a role heavy game in which case they may want to go the other way, the important thing is consistency). While the current probability is we are low on roles and they are fairly standard, if you are roled and have a non vig/doc power that targets people (e.g. Tracker, Watcher, Role Blocker etc) you should make up your mind if you are going to use the HC table to report this - I strongly encourage people to do so - and then to do it consistently, above all else, don't leave a confusing trail by doing it half the days or changing your method, like RBing people as not guilty if they did nothing then changing half way through the game to 'guilty' if they did nothing.

Let me also add that many of us consider it very anti-town to use the table to 'save your own neck' by doing something that strongly indicates you aren't the cop, a good player tries to come off as a possible cop, because they realize that taking a proverbial bullet for the team helps.
The intuitive mind is a sacred gift and the rational mind is a faithful servant. We have created a society that honors the servant and has forgotten the gift.
- Albert Einstein

King of Cairhien 20-7-2
Chancellor of the Landsraad, Archduke of Is'Mod
This message last edited by Isaac on 24/02/2011 at 05:40:31 PM
Reply to message
Mafia 21: Tempting Fate on the Second Day - 21/02/2011 01:34:54 PM 1003 Views
Sorry for the delay. - 22/02/2011 01:56:28 PM 521 Views
FIGHT, ITEM, or RUN? *NM* - 22/02/2011 09:44:50 PM 285 Views
FIGHT - 23/02/2011 11:14:07 PM 548 Views
RBIRL - 22/02/2011 08:26:36 PM 522 Views
Kinda busy myself. - 23/02/2011 08:10:21 AM 575 Views
Well, we may as well HC (Table) - 22/02/2011 10:05:16 PM 788 Views
I targetted Scott Blademaster and found him innocent *NM* - 22/02/2011 10:47:30 PM 281 Views
i found Fox and Ravens to be guilty - 22/02/2011 10:48:07 PM 532 Views
I found beetnemesis to be innocent. *NM* - 22/02/2011 11:09:41 PM 311 Views
I found Isaac guilty. *NM* - 22/02/2011 11:22:07 PM 345 Views
I found ? to be innocent. *NM* - 23/02/2011 12:52:53 AM 292 Views
Yunalesca, innocent. *NM* - 23/02/2011 08:13:40 AM 370 Views
Hobo - Guilty *NM* - 24/02/2011 05:30:13 PM 292 Views
Still need HC's from ? and Scott - 24/02/2011 05:41:38 PM 522 Views
I suppose it's worth asking - 24/02/2011 02:29:51 AM 575 Views
Heh, I was about to ask this - 24/02/2011 03:36:45 AM 582 Views
I didn't get anything. *NM* - 24/02/2011 05:53:54 AM 298 Views
I didn't get anything either... *NM* - 24/02/2011 10:02:07 AM 362 Views
That's enough of that. - 24/02/2011 02:17:46 PM 543 Views
No. - 25/02/2011 02:02:44 PM 521 Views
OK, so... some thoughts. - 24/02/2011 03:49:52 AM 574 Views
More or less my take too - 24/02/2011 05:29:48 AM 871 Views
Re: More or less my take too - 24/02/2011 01:24:24 PM 712 Views
Yeah, I'd have to say that you're my top suspect right now. - 24/02/2011 02:58:55 PM 516 Views
Re: Yeah, I'd have to say that you're my top suspect right now. - 24/02/2011 03:56:41 PM 555 Views
Just to clarify that point - 24/02/2011 05:39:41 PM 824 Views
i have some suspicions - 24/02/2011 03:27:21 PM 542 Views
What's up? - 24/02/2011 05:31:26 PM 550 Views
Re: What's up? - 24/02/2011 07:47:19 PM 635 Views
Anything in particular? *NM* - 24/02/2011 09:45:37 PM 299 Views
yeah, one thing in particular - 24/02/2011 10:20:43 PM 553 Views
Re: yeah, one thing in particular - 25/02/2011 01:12:35 AM 580 Views
I really think you should. - 25/02/2011 02:08:28 PM 564 Views
Re: I really think you should. - 25/02/2011 02:34:00 PM 598 Views
Re: I really think you should. - 25/02/2011 04:05:53 PM 587 Views
Re: I really think you should. - 25/02/2011 05:42:40 PM 593 Views
While I'm thinking about it - 25/02/2011 07:21:29 PM 520 Views
Re: While I'm thinking about it - 25/02/2011 09:21:57 PM 475 Views
Okay, I've reviewed Fox's Day 1 statements - 25/02/2011 07:16:52 PM 565 Views
Yeah we really need Yunalesca to clear this up. - 25/02/2011 08:09:01 PM 573 Views
right, gonna take a big risk here - 25/02/2011 10:04:04 PM 564 Views
I guess that's not too surprising - 25/02/2011 10:22:12 PM 584 Views
Re: I guess that's not too surprising - 25/02/2011 10:38:39 PM 622 Views
Also since the cat's out of the bag... - 25/02/2011 10:23:07 PM 580 Views
That would be nice... - 25/02/2011 10:25:52 PM 511 Views
i am - 25/02/2011 10:43:29 PM 601 Views
EBWOP - 25/02/2011 10:44:32 PM 607 Views
That is a big risk. - 25/02/2011 10:24:50 PM 574 Views
Re: That is a big risk. - 25/02/2011 10:32:15 PM 577 Views
Ah I see. - 25/02/2011 11:15:38 PM 563 Views
Re: Ah I see. - 25/02/2011 11:50:40 PM 575 Views
Well, I could have seen that coming. - 26/02/2011 12:31:43 AM 636 Views
Oh, nice counterclaim. - 26/02/2011 12:55:05 AM 520 Views
Okay... you've claimed Doc - 26/02/2011 12:57:56 AM 563 Views
Re: Okay... you've claimed Doc - 26/02/2011 01:14:39 AM 542 Views
Re: Okay... you've claimed Doc - 26/02/2011 07:43:22 AM 599 Views
Oh no! - 26/02/2011 01:12:23 AM 597 Views
So how do we want to do confirmation? - 25/02/2011 10:39:38 PM 592 Views
I see no problems with these questions... - 25/02/2011 11:18:32 PM 551 Views
Seem like good questions - 25/02/2011 11:54:32 PM 497 Views
Re: So how do we want to do confirmation? - 26/02/2011 12:48:03 AM 527 Views
Re: So how do we want to do confirmation? - 26/02/2011 12:48:56 AM 526 Views
Eh... - 26/02/2011 12:57:11 AM 565 Views
Copping Question (Table) - 26/02/2011 12:53:03 AM 603 Views
No. *NM* - 26/02/2011 12:55:53 AM 302 Views
...isn't anyone who says "yes" going to be roled, and quickly nightkilled? *NM* - 26/02/2011 12:59:01 AM 295 Views
Probably, but it doesn't really matter - 26/02/2011 01:02:41 AM 520 Views
Also if she's lying or wrong it doesn't result in a NK - 26/02/2011 01:03:59 AM 517 Views
The only way we'll determine if she's lying or wrong without lynching Fox is if someone RCs - 26/02/2011 01:11:35 AM 628 Views
Yep - 26/02/2011 01:22:00 AM 513 Views
That, or lying. Thus the benefit to us . *NM* - 26/02/2011 07:45:18 AM 294 Views
No. *NM* - 26/02/2011 01:16:31 AM 280 Views
No, also Vote: Fox and Ravens - 26/02/2011 01:20:49 AM 582 Views
Remember, this is about Yunalesca's claim. - 26/02/2011 07:53:17 AM 536 Views
You do realize the day is over, right? *NM* - 26/02/2011 10:41:12 AM 285 Views
I didn't at the time . *NM* - 26/02/2011 07:22:49 PM 276 Views
Before this gets too out of hand, Vote: Fox and Ravens. And Isaac, if I could vote twice, you too - 26/02/2011 01:05:59 AM 607 Views
I'm in. - 26/02/2011 01:20:47 AM 547 Views
Re: I'm in. - 26/02/2011 01:54:27 AM 556 Views
Wait, what are you accusing me over? - 26/02/2011 01:26:29 AM 504 Views
It felt like you were fishing for roles. - 26/02/2011 01:37:55 AM 493 Views
You mean by telling the doc not to answer? - 26/02/2011 01:47:09 AM 565 Views
Yeah, ok. That's pretty far fetched. - 26/02/2011 02:26:29 AM 526 Views
Vote Table - 26/02/2011 02:33:46 AM 517 Views
I voted - 26/02/2011 02:46:28 AM 490 Views
Oh, my bad. *NM* - 26/02/2011 05:01:51 AM 298 Views
And I'll be Captain Hammer. - 26/02/2011 03:47:52 AM 574 Views
Re: And I'll be Captain Hammer. - 26/02/2011 04:43:23 AM 594 Views
Fox and Ravens has been Lynched *Twilight Pending* *NM* - 26/02/2011 05:02:14 AM 296 Views
Wow. Way to go team. Sorry I wasn't here. *NM* - 26/02/2011 05:38:05 AM 294 Views
Twilight - 26/02/2011 05:40:22 AM 592 Views
Has anyone played the card game 'Bang'? - 27/02/2011 08:05:00 PM 514 Views
Never heard of it *NM* - 27/02/2011 08:49:58 PM 279 Views
Never played it but I've heard of it *NM* - 27/02/2011 10:45:38 PM 294 Views
I've never even heard of it. And will the goddess kill us for talking? *NM* - 27/02/2011 11:04:47 PM 268 Views
I'll have mercy as long as you're not talking about the game. - 27/02/2011 11:36:00 PM 479 Views
Hehe thanks. *NM* - 28/02/2011 12:03:59 AM 261 Views
i've played it a few times - 28/02/2011 04:39:49 PM 504 Views

Reply to Message