Any lynch will involve more than half the town, with a lot of information thrown out by the people pressing or opposing the lynch. This can be used to divine those players' intentions.
With a night kill, there is no information. We don't even know if the person was killed by a vigilante, a serial killer, the mafia, or someone else.
With a night kill, there is no information. We don't even know if the person was killed by a vigilante, a serial killer, the mafia, or someone else.
With a vig night 1 kill, we tend to assume TANK-F, but if it doesn't happen till night 2, a later vig claim is more believable.
Plus of course there's the judgement factor, a lot of people who become firmly convinced someone is a DF on day 1 are in orbit, because typically if there was real evidence for it they would have been lynched. Now, a vig would have had a good case to whack Artsapat, for instance, or pretty much any runner up for lynch where the person who got lynched didn't basically prove the runner up innocent. There's certainly cases where a night 1 vig kill is in order, I just tend not to expect better than random from them.
Better for them not to kill, but any of them should ask - especially before a night 1 kill - 'If this person is a town, can I explain my action better than as a hunch to the other townies?'
The intuitive mind is a sacred gift and the rational mind is a faithful servant. We have created a society that honors the servant and has forgotten the gift.
- Albert Einstein
King of Cairhien 20-7-2
Chancellor of the Landsraad, Archduke of Is'Mod
- Albert Einstein
King of Cairhien 20-7-2
Chancellor of the Landsraad, Archduke of Is'Mod
RAFO Mafia 17, Day 2: Stayin' Alive
- 26/06/2010 07:39:13 AM
1988 Views
Ah ah ah ah stayin' aliiiiiiiiiiiiive
- 26/06/2010 03:48:30 PM
975 Views
I as well was attacked
- 26/06/2010 09:00:28 PM
1051 Views
A beast? That's interesting
- 26/06/2010 10:08:33 PM
955 Views
If we can identify it from a particular series, we might be able to nab the attacker. *NM*
- 26/06/2010 10:14:45 PM
527 Views
Alright here is a repost of yesterday's info
- 26/06/2010 10:22:58 PM
995 Views
Alright, Here comes some analysis out the wazoo.
- 27/06/2010 06:35:59 PM
1005 Views
Yes, it was a beast
- 26/06/2010 11:19:13 PM
948 Views
Was it a werewolf?
- 26/06/2010 11:30:27 PM
998 Views
No evidence to suggest it was...
- 26/06/2010 11:44:35 PM
1002 Views
Re: No evidence to suggest it was...
- 26/06/2010 11:49:00 PM
993 Views
I know how I was saved
- 27/06/2010 12:02:39 AM
1039 Views
Re: I know how I was saved
- 27/06/2010 12:21:59 AM
925 Views
A few ideas
- 27/06/2010 12:36:45 AM
968 Views
Re: A few ideas
- 27/06/2010 01:06:11 AM
916 Views
So, I guess Kronin/Blaine should provide their info now to the questions from yesterday
- 26/06/2010 05:05:17 PM
906 Views
Alright, questions.
- 26/06/2010 06:04:13 PM
985 Views
You forgot HDG *NM*
- 26/06/2010 11:43:40 PM
521 Views
Which is.... *NM*
- 27/06/2010 12:53:22 AM
565 Views
Going back to yesterday
- 26/06/2010 10:16:23 PM
925 Views
I am still in fact suspicious of Isaac
- 26/06/2010 11:21:58 PM
955 Views
damn
- 26/06/2010 11:33:59 PM
1006 Views
Yeah, I think he should divulge. *NM*
- 27/06/2010 04:11:13 AM
482 Views
EBWOP - Elaboration.
- 27/06/2010 04:12:44 AM
990 Views
FINE. FINE. FINE
- 27/06/2010 12:27:33 PM
946 Views
Whyyyyyyyyyy
- 27/06/2010 05:34:05 PM
906 Views
This is pretty much what I expected...
- 27/06/2010 08:29:43 PM
911 Views
I'm inclined to believe his claim
- 27/06/2010 11:47:29 PM
987 Views
Well, he could be a threat as a pretty probable pro-town player, if we accept his claim.
- 28/06/2010 06:00:32 AM
853 Views
Since no one seems to have listened to my dying shouts.
- 27/06/2010 01:03:10 AM
940 Views
I hadn't really thought of that
- 27/06/2010 01:31:01 AM
971 Views
Short post, with elaboration to come later.
- 27/06/2010 03:00:43 PM
944 Views
Okay, elaboration time.
- 27/06/2010 06:19:49 PM
945 Views
Re: Okay, elaboration time.
- 28/06/2010 02:39:54 AM
864 Views
Now, what I want to know.
- 28/06/2010 04:47:17 AM
875 Views
Your basically wildly speculating with an assumption of guilt
- 28/06/2010 06:00:53 AM
871 Views
You're not seeing my point.
- 28/06/2010 05:46:59 PM
773 Views
Re: You're not seeing my point.
- 28/06/2010 06:39:05 PM
918 Views
Okay, fair enough. I guess onto other points for now.
- 28/06/2010 07:28:02 PM
880 Views
It's also possible that there are multiple characters from the same setting. *NM*
- 28/06/2010 08:58:35 PM
494 Views
So, where'd the night kill go?
- 28/06/2010 10:01:00 PM
831 Views
You know, I find that reaction a bit odd, and it adds to my suspicion of Isaac
- 28/06/2010 10:39:09 PM
846 Views
That's the question, a cult is one possibility for one of them
- 29/06/2010 05:46:12 AM
918 Views
Re: That's the question, a cult is one possibility for one of them
- 29/06/2010 06:16:58 AM
878 Views
Re: That's the question, a cult is one possibility for one of them
- 29/06/2010 06:33:22 AM
942 Views
Re: That's the question, a cult is one possibility for one of them
- 29/06/2010 06:57:08 AM
876 Views
Hypocop Table!
- 27/06/2010 05:37:07 PM
917 Views
Staying Alive indeed
- 28/06/2010 12:31:47 PM
961 Views
Congrats to you, and I shall also Vote Chair: Darth_Katie
- 28/06/2010 10:15:32 PM
857 Views
Two things:
- 28/06/2010 10:34:31 PM
927 Views
For what it's worth, there was a third fraction in that game though.
- 28/06/2010 10:45:08 PM
932 Views
Also
- 28/06/2010 11:07:34 PM
812 Views
Yunalesca - innocent *NM*
- 28/06/2010 12:33:03 PM
428 Views
EBWOP - Why can't I post ANYthing in the right place? Just disregard, I'll repost in the Table *NM*
- 28/06/2010 01:28:10 PM
385 Views
Voting record.
- 28/06/2010 10:03:33 PM
942 Views
And according to ranagrande, the VNTL was just 7, with Amys, Blaine, Hobo, and Talic all inactive. *NM*
- 28/06/2010 10:17:25 PM
490 Views
you guys are so slow on the uptake you know *NM*
- 28/06/2010 10:43:58 PM
553 Views
And you've only realized that now?
- 28/06/2010 10:56:57 PM
852 Views
- 28/06/2010 10:56:57 PM
852 Views
read my posts carefully
- 28/06/2010 11:01:45 PM
830 Views
Okay, let's do that
- 29/06/2010 06:10:28 AM
907 Views
I'm a bit interested in hearing from the quiet ones
- 29/06/2010 07:31:32 AM
924 Views
Re: I'm a bit interested in hearing from the quiet ones
- 29/06/2010 04:27:18 PM
851 Views
i confessed to being the beast *NM*
- 29/06/2010 04:36:40 PM
526 Views
Well, that... doesn't sound smart.
- 29/06/2010 04:48:22 PM
944 Views
I mean, this is just an obvious way to get yourself lynched.
- 29/06/2010 04:48:49 PM
935 Views
I'm guessing she got bored with the game and wants us to lynch her *NM*
- 29/06/2010 06:26:22 PM
556 Views
Sorry. I've been so busy.
- 30/06/2010 12:54:17 AM
860 Views
Re: Sorry. I've been so busy.
- 30/06/2010 12:57:48 AM
963 Views
Re: Sorry. I've been so busy.
- 30/06/2010 01:23:06 AM
877 Views
Then please repeat it for me.
- 30/06/2010 02:08:28 AM
825 Views
I always thought it was
- 30/06/2010 02:49:57 AM
887 Views
Re: I always thought it was
- 30/06/2010 03:46:22 AM
882 Views
I didn't think there was anything that made Napoleon stand out Yesterday either.
- 30/06/2010 04:32:25 AM
867 Views
That whole thing would have worked if Yuna didn't have psychopathic flavortext...
- 30/06/2010 04:15:01 AM
823 Views
I've never heard of the rule and would actually think it anti-town for the vig not to kill
- 30/06/2010 04:34:10 AM
853 Views
Because it isn't like a lynch at all.
- 30/06/2010 06:30:04 AM
863 Views
There's a second half to that too
- 30/06/2010 07:12:37 AM
874 Views
the quiet ones...
- 01/07/2010 09:58:52 AM
897 Views
Some advice
- 01/07/2010 12:40:13 PM
821 Views
You're probably right...
- 01/07/2010 01:41:13 PM
855 Views
This has definitely been going slower than normal. Hopefully it will pick up soon.
- 02/07/2010 08:57:26 PM
911 Views
Does this damn thing work yet? >.< *NM*
- 29/06/2010 07:36:31 PM
527 Views
Holy crap it does, my account has been bugged for a little bit now and wouldnt post anything =/
- 29/06/2010 07:40:28 PM
933 Views
So, Yuna. What's your game?
- 30/06/2010 04:16:28 AM
892 Views
*laughs*
- 30/06/2010 10:30:38 AM
880 Views
Darn, I had my finger crossed for Oz, Seth Green's werewolf character in Buffy
- 30/06/2010 01:46:01 PM
897 Views
Let me just say this: If she is a Jester...
- 30/06/2010 04:10:23 PM
844 Views
I agree
- 30/06/2010 05:20:18 PM
840 Views
Screw the Jesters.
- 30/06/2010 07:22:59 PM
941 Views
It's a defense against getting lynched only if we don't have any other ways of getting rid of them
- 30/06/2010 09:12:09 PM
908 Views
Too much room for error, plus it leaves it open for future claims
- 30/06/2010 10:04:56 PM
920 Views
I almost want to say let's just ignore her... except she apparently has a NK. Lynch her, I guess
- 01/07/2010 04:10:05 AM
871 Views
Re: I almost want to say let's just ignore her... except she apparently has a NK. Lynch her, I guess
- 01/07/2010 05:43:01 AM
916 Views
Jester's are awful. They ruin the game.
- 01/07/2010 06:26:39 AM
926 Views
That apostrophe is driving me insane *NM*
- 02/07/2010 01:51:23 AM
504 Views
I didn't want to say anything. Too bad you can't edit posts
. *NM*
- 02/07/2010 01:56:57 AM
375 Views
I didn't want to say anything. Too bad you can't edit posts
. *NM*
- 02/07/2010 01:56:57 AM
375 Views
I'll allow you to edit that one if you wish to.
- 02/07/2010 04:00:05 AM
878 Views
Sigh... check the history of that post for part 2 of the comedy of errors *NM*
- 02/07/2010 04:12:33 AM
471 Views
unfortunatly im RBIRL
- 01/07/2010 10:11:22 AM
825 Views
It's the Independence Day weekend in the US, too, so
- 01/07/2010 04:55:44 PM
866 Views
Testing... (Table)
- 01/07/2010 05:18:38 PM
1032 Views
Anyone can do that?
- 01/07/2010 05:26:48 PM
863 Views
Re: Anyone can do that?
- 01/07/2010 05:34:20 PM
901 Views
hmm
- 01/07/2010 05:28:35 PM
893 Views
Oh, you have to get a membership
- 01/07/2010 05:36:46 PM
886 Views
Re: Oh, you have to get a membership
- 01/07/2010 06:03:21 PM
1033 Views
I am SO cheap.
- 01/07/2010 06:42:15 PM
793 Views
I donated to the site
- 02/07/2010 08:32:55 AM
850 Views
Darth_Katie has been elected Chair
- 01/07/2010 06:07:37 PM
884 Views
So... why not just vote for Yuna and end the day?
- 03/07/2010 05:56:18 AM
905 Views
I think we might've already?
- 03/07/2010 06:38:55 AM
889 Views
I think you misspelled Yunalesca as Yunalesa
- 03/07/2010 12:01:26 PM
944 Views
- 03/07/2010 04:21:54 PM
870 Views
- 03/07/2010 04:21:54 PM
870 Views
Nah, I'm not that much of a stickler for spelling
- 03/07/2010 05:35:16 PM
913 Views
.....? *NM*
- 03/07/2010 05:50:14 PM
504 Views
Someone must have blocked her vote
- 03/07/2010 07:19:50 PM
858 Views
Could be the other way 'round...
- 03/07/2010 09:20:15 PM
842 Views
Re: Could be the other way 'round...
- 03/07/2010 10:37:10 PM
931 Views
Re:
- 03/07/2010 07:07:20 PM
849 Views
- 03/07/2010 07:07:20 PM
849 Views
Maybe
- 03/07/2010 07:19:55 PM
884 Views
Whatever happened happened between edits 5 and 6 on the vote table
- 03/07/2010 07:28:33 PM
867 Views
Let's try focusing on Yuna again, see if we can make this make sense
- 04/07/2010 12:08:48 AM
885 Views
She's not answering cause she's an unstated RBIRL.
- 04/07/2010 12:27:34 AM
942 Views
Re: She's not answering cause she's an unstated RBIRL.
- 04/07/2010 12:58:52 AM
783 Views
Well, actually kill her.
- 04/07/2010 01:04:41 AM
938 Views
Re: Well, actually kill her.
- 04/07/2010 01:09:16 AM
823 Views
That might do it
- 04/07/2010 01:12:45 AM
882 Views
Anybody else maybe just want to vote to get this definitely over with? *NM*
- 04/07/2010 01:33:44 AM
528 Views
I definitely don't want to vote her
- 04/07/2010 04:10:07 AM
838 Views
Agreed...
- 04/07/2010 05:30:31 AM
837 Views
Explain that
- 04/07/2010 02:38:01 PM
924 Views
*cackles wickedly*
- 06/07/2010 04:24:01 AM
864 Views
For the record, not really supposed to post in this thread after the Day's over.
*NM*
- 06/07/2010 04:48:29 AM
518 Views
*NM*
- 06/07/2010 04:48:29 AM
518 Views
Napoleon's MIA, as far as I can tell.
- 04/07/2010 02:31:38 AM
832 Views
Re: Napoleon's MIA, as far as I can tell.
- 04/07/2010 03:34:55 AM
855 Views
Does it really matter if she wins?
- 04/07/2010 03:39:43 AM
916 Views
It means we waste a lynch though.
- 04/07/2010 04:11:50 AM
888 Views
You seem to be assuming that if she's a jester the DFs will kill her
- 04/07/2010 04:20:13 AM
828 Views
Ohhhhh I think I figured out what happened to me.
- 04/07/2010 05:28:32 AM
932 Views
If it's a vote steal, rather than a block...
- 04/07/2010 05:55:49 AM
810 Views
I think a steal makes more sense with the money transaction.
- 04/07/2010 06:09:50 AM
822 Views
Don't know if that would work...
- 04/07/2010 06:24:17 AM
874 Views
It's Artsapat, has to be
- 04/07/2010 02:32:16 PM
876 Views
I don't know anything about the Million Dollar Man
- 04/07/2010 03:28:19 PM
847 Views
On the other hand, that seems like such a scummy thing to do, steal somebody's vote. *NM*
- 04/07/2010 03:29:55 PM
502 Views
That was my thought also,
- 04/07/2010 06:07:49 PM
869 Views
Re: That was my thought also,
- 04/07/2010 06:16:34 PM
873 Views
- 04/07/2010 06:41:56 PM
867 Views
- 04/07/2010 06:41:56 PM
867 Views
Actually
- 05/07/2010 03:46:42 PM
891 Views

