Active Users:1138 Time:22/11/2024 08:48:36 PM
Re: What stats are you contesting, exactly? AgentApple Send a noteboard - 17/12/2023 02:34:34 PM

View original post
View original postI'm surprised someone as thoughtful as you would buy those.


View original postWhat are you trying to claim? It's not as if I even mentioned any very specific numbers in my post, so I'm confused here.

Indeed, you did not specify. But since you talk about a staggering number of children killed, I would assume you had some numbers, not making them up.


View original post
View original postSecond, some 60% of the population of Gaza is under 18. I expect they have many fighters who could be classified as children. Many IDF troops are barely more than children.


View original postSo how many of the victims, according to you/the IDF, are Hamas fighters? How many of the child victims are?


View original post
View original postBut really, there is no other option. The US and western governments get that. Elon Musk, god bless him, said he hoped Israel would turn the other cheek. Impossible. But even if you just do a routine, by the numbers, tit for tat, who would be crazy enough to return to living anywhere near Gaza ?


View original post'There is no other option' is bullshit. Certainly, the Israeli attack on Gaza was the expected reaction to the events of October 7th - expected also by Hamas' planners in advance, yet they did it anyway, because they knew that it would help them in the court of both Palestinian and global public opinion. But that doesn't mean it was the only possible reaction - or that it was a smart one. I'm sure you're familiar with the strategical advice from Sun Tzu and other thinkers to avoid reacting to enemy provocations in the way they expect and want you to.

That is easy to say from far away.
Still, I find your attitude quite dismissive, I should say.

If the Yezidis had an army, would you tell them they shouldn't launch a campaign to retrieve their daughters from ISIS ? Because Abu Bakr would expect that ?

I don't even understand what you are suggesting. From your answer, it seems you at least agree Hamas is Israel's enemy, which is something, I guess. But just some regular tit-for-tat doesn't cut it for something worse than the Yom Kippur war. So what, cower behind walls proven to fail ? Emigrate to Alaska as the Ayatalloh suggested ?





View original postAnd now the patience of even the US is running out, while nobody in Israel seems to have any real idea when this operation could stop or what could happen next after it.


View original post
View original postSo that would make the massacre a huge win for Hamas and invite more of the same.


View original postYou think this offensive isn't inviting more terrorism against Israel? If you kill a good number of Hamas fighters but at the same time give them ten times as many future recruits due to the enormous collateral damage, while also further weakening Israel's already limited international support, that sure looks like a very Pyrrhic kind of victory to me. In the end Hamas is still a terrorist organization, which you can't defeat in a conventional war. Of course they have a dual role and also govern the Gaza Strip, but under such circumstances and constraints that the point still holds.

I get that. But sometimes your choices are between a bad one and a horrific one.

You can't defeat a terrorist organization by surrendering to it either. Israel has done pretty well against Hamas in the West Bank, even though it is more populated.

It's very much against my previous beliefs, and hasn't really taken hold, but I don't see any way around it:
It was the attempt to reach a peace deal that led here. Maybe in the 70s, before Islamism became as wide spread, some deal could be reached, but I wasn't alive back then so I don't know.
Before Oslo there was an intifada of rocks and knives. After Oslo it was suicide bombings and rockets. I mostly supported Oslo, my bad.
Sharon decided to pull out of Gaza. He sold it to the Israeli public as gaining international legitimacy in case of a conflict. I bought that kool-aid. I figured after so much bad blood, if we left them alone, they would leave us alone. Again, my bad. It hasn't gained Israel any international legitimacy, but deteriorated our security.


View original post
View original postBut, at the same time, the 7.10 massacre was in a way a blessing.


View original post
View original postIsrael got off easy, because it seems the Iranian plan was probably to coordinate the same from the North and Gaza at the same time. Imagine 10000 Syrian-war veteran Hizbullah fighters descending on a thinly manned border while people are protesting a judicial reform. Might have taken 6 months to drive them off if at all. Who knows how many dead.


View original post
View original postThis thought alone, that the north could be captured while I am at the office, makes the ground shake under our collective feet.


View original postHizbullah is stronger conventionally than Hamas, no doubt, but on the other hand, they are a Lebanese political player and in the end care more about their position in Lebanon than about attacking Israel. So I see them as less of a problem in the greater scheme of things.

Well, you are wrong. A political player that assassinated Rafik Hariri with impunity. That caused the Beirut port explosion and paid no price. They do in Lebanon as they wish. That is not to say they have no Lebanese considerations, but whos to say how intrinsic they are in such a fractured country ?
Before 7.10 many might have said the same of Hamas. It was the belief of the Israeli top that Hamas had softened by the demands of controlling a population.
In the previous 2 rounds of tit-for-tat only the much weaker Islamic Jihad took part.
They demanded more work permits in Israel. They staged some demonstrations for prisoners in Israeli prisons. Demanding more visitation rights and such. But in hindsight this was just a front to lull our intelligence officers into a false narrative.
Now you claim with such assurance Hezbollah is a political player. You don't know that.



View original post
View original postSo now there is really nothing to it but to kill as many Hamas and friends as possible. And yeah, the hard part will come after, because I have no idea what to do with that black hole.


View original postNor does anyone else, that I've seen - except most of us think that if you couldn't think of a viable endgame, you shouldn't have gone in like that in the first place. As the Americans showed already several times over, in this century and the previous one.

I agree it is better to have an endgame. But if the choice is between the Yezidi or American path, it is better go the American even without an endgame.
Also, let's remember the ceasefire after the 2006 war held until now, even though that war also had no end game.
For me, a good result would be to have no hostages in Gaza without a massive prisoner exchange. It would be best if most were retrieved alive, but most importantly they must all be retrieved. All Hamas leadership on the ground must be eliminated. Gaza power station must be switched to clean energy.


View original post
View original postPersonally, I think the PA should control it with IDF backing, sort of reversing the 2005 withdrawl. But that doesn't have much support, so I don't know.

Reply to message
The false narrative of the double standard - 09/12/2023 02:33:25 PM 439 Views
ok *NM* - 09/12/2023 07:27:01 PM 67 Views
Is this a good summary, NYT? - 10/12/2023 01:20:47 AM 162 Views
It's as good as any. - 10/12/2023 04:38:59 PM 133 Views
I noticed the OP was mostly opinion - 10/12/2023 05:02:11 PM 136 Views
They dug their own graves - 11/12/2023 12:24:16 AM 141 Views
Re: They dug their own graves - 11/12/2023 03:15:59 AM 134 Views
rhetorical question Mookie (it does not matter the answer) - 11/12/2023 03:45:11 AM 136 Views
I have not - 11/12/2023 02:49:55 PM 149 Views
Yeah that is why I asked - 11/12/2023 04:24:40 PM 126 Views
There's a lot of double standards involved, aren't there? - 11/12/2023 07:02:06 PM 138 Views
We could go on and on with this - 11/12/2023 08:58:28 PM 142 Views
that has NOT been my experience - 11/12/2023 09:18:43 PM 131 Views
Yep, I know. - 12/12/2023 06:18:49 PM 142 Views
Re: Yep, I know. - 12/12/2023 08:04:57 PM 127 Views
Re: Yep, I know. - 14/12/2023 01:33:53 PM 106 Views
Where do you get your stats ? - 14/12/2023 07:09:02 AM 128 Views
the Hamas Ministry of Stats is likely an under-count - 14/12/2023 12:57:46 PM 121 Views
Given the nature of Hamas, the numbers are likely an overcount - 14/12/2023 01:16:00 PM 122 Views
whatever - 14/12/2023 02:50:53 PM 116 Views
Given the choice between believing a Democracy and an Autocratic Terrorist Gov - 14/12/2023 04:01:54 PM 115 Views
Chora I believe both are capable of lying - 14/12/2023 04:16:14 PM 129 Views
To quote you, gurlfriend, "whatever". - 14/12/2023 04:19:10 PM 114 Views
Obviously, anyone is capable of lying. - 14/12/2023 04:30:29 PM 118 Views
the names that Hamas was releasing in October - 14/12/2023 04:49:06 PM 122 Views
What stats are you contesting, exactly? - 14/12/2023 02:12:18 PM 122 Views
Re: What stats are you contesting, exactly? - 17/12/2023 02:34:34 PM 124 Views
Yeah, I'm still confused what you're trying to claim about the numbers - 17/12/2023 10:51:00 PM 116 Views
Out of curiosity, what do you think the best way forward is? - 18/12/2023 03:52:34 AM 145 Views
I'm not sure your view of me on this is that accurate. - 20/12/2023 08:06:23 PM 117 Views
Because no one in the Arab world wants the "Palestinians" - 14/12/2023 01:18:31 PM 125 Views
GDP per capita in Palestine is almost exactly equal to Egypt - 14/12/2023 05:36:55 PM 126 Views
There's always Antarctica - 16/12/2023 03:22:01 AM 110 Views
From the river to the sea, Palestine will be free - 13/12/2023 03:01:21 PM 129 Views
The idea is free from foreign oppression - internal freedom is, indeed, another story. - 14/12/2023 02:33:21 PM 116 Views
It means free of Jews - 17/12/2023 02:41:09 PM 114 Views
Re: From the river to the sea, Palestine will be free - 14/12/2023 03:32:17 PM 119 Views
Is the point to imply that 'pre-1948' meant no Israeli state at all? - 14/12/2023 03:56:59 PM 118 Views
Exactly - 14/12/2023 04:28:01 PM 133 Views
Those 3 Presidents are Bureaucratic Scum. - 14/12/2023 01:21:56 PM 129 Views
So Claudine Gay, Harvard Pres resigns - 02/01/2024 05:55:09 PM 110 Views
Re: So Claudine Gay, Harvard Pres resigns - 03/01/2024 04:38:14 PM 111 Views
Hey that’s not fair! - 03/01/2024 10:51:43 PM 107 Views

Reply to Message