I do not believe the chances of Trump winning are high, but they are much higher than 0.005%
They are much higher than
1 A vs 19,999 Bs
Nate Silver's 538 puts the current odds at 52.4% Clinton, 47.5% Trump, the rest going to the House of the Representatives or the Courts to settle this out
http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/?ex_cid=mobilebar
Previously same guy in his model stated the chances of trump winning is about 20%. The link I gave has graphs and timelines of when the model says X vs Y.
Arguably the most important 3 states to watch in polls are North Carolina, Ohio, and Florida to see who is going to win Clinton or Trump.
as the GOP convention winds down one question remains....
- 21/07/2016 09:16:35 PM
733 Views
Why doesn't an enlightened person such as yourself use her last name, like with male politicians?
- 21/07/2016 10:08:51 PM
561 Views
perhaps i should simply refer to her as Clinton 45 from now on *NM*
- 25/07/2016 10:36:48 PM
252 Views
Don't count your chickens before they hatch.
- 22/07/2016 12:23:36 AM
527 Views
I hear they will be setting up stalls so we can shower after we vote to wash the smell off. *NM*
- 22/07/2016 06:35:34 PM
270 Views
Re: Don't count your chickens before they hatch.
- 23/07/2016 02:53:36 AM
512 Views
Not at all. Plenty of valid reasons to dislike her, some of which I agree with and others not.
- 23/07/2016 11:30:09 AM
651 Views
the Electoral College map suggests Trump has too much ground to cover
- 25/07/2016 10:28:12 PM
513 Views
Two things
- 26/07/2016 01:35:52 AM
527 Views
Re: Two things
- 26/07/2016 11:27:22 PM
457 Views
The number is much higher than that
- 27/07/2016 02:59:45 AM
508 Views
Con men do sometimes win
- 22/07/2016 05:37:01 AM
696 Views
Do you ever get tired of this? Talk about con men...
- 23/07/2016 03:22:09 AM
657 Views
I have told you in the past I am not going to respond to your content or your response to my posts
- 23/07/2016 11:06:45 AM
535 Views