Active Users:1114 Time:22/11/2024 09:09:58 PM
the Electoral College map suggests Trump has too much ground to cover moondog Send a noteboard - 25/07/2016 10:28:12 PM

View original post
The downright hatred from many on the right for Rodham Clinton (that's for Cannoli - he has a point on the first name thing, but of course it'd be rather ironic to call her by her husband's last name as a sign of 'enlightenment' ) is pathological, not explainable in any rational way that I've ever seen. But she does have obvious weaknesses as a candidate, and plenty of people dislike her for valid reasons.

Perhaps more importantly, there is a clear trend in American elections towards stronger party-based voting - you often see that in Senate elections where even Senators with a strong individual reputation are less and less able to buck national trends during a particular election in favour of one party or the other. They will both get a huge share of their votes from people who just hold their noses and vote the party ticket, and who would have done just the same if it had been Cruz versus Sanders.



i don't disagree that there is an awful lot of resentment that Trump has more than adequately spoken to -- even excluding the racism, misogyny, xenophobia and apocalyptical doom-and-gloom. and that there has been at a minimum a 25-year hatred of Hillary Clinton from the right wing of the US. but the map suggests that Hillary has to SEVERELY screw this one up somehow to lose. as it stands, she only needs to pick up a couple of swing states to win assuming all the traditionally "blue" states continue voting as their historical patterns suggest.

Trump, by contrast, would need to win a large swath of the country -- and not just win it, but flip it from "blue" to "red" in the process. given how many people are truly disgusted with him being their party's nominee, i don't think this is possible.

"The RIAA has shown a certain disregard for the creative people of the industry in their eagerness to protect the revenues of the record companies." -- Frank Zappa

"That's the trouble with political jokes in this country... they get elected!" -- Dave Lippman
Reply to message
as the GOP convention winds down one question remains.... - 21/07/2016 09:16:35 PM 732 Views
Don't count your chickens before they hatch. - 22/07/2016 12:23:36 AM 527 Views
Re: Don't count your chickens before they hatch. - 23/07/2016 02:53:36 AM 511 Views
the Electoral College map suggests Trump has too much ground to cover - 25/07/2016 10:28:12 PM 513 Views
Depends which prediction you're looking at. - 25/07/2016 11:15:40 PM 487 Views
Two things - 26/07/2016 01:35:52 AM 527 Views
Re: Two things - 26/07/2016 11:27:22 PM 457 Views
The number is much higher than that - 27/07/2016 02:59:45 AM 507 Views
Con men do sometimes win - 22/07/2016 05:37:01 AM 694 Views
Do you ever get tired of this? Talk about con men... - 23/07/2016 03:22:09 AM 655 Views
I have told you in the past I am not going to respond to your content or your response to my posts - 23/07/2016 11:06:45 AM 535 Views
You replied to his marriage vows post *NM* - 23/07/2016 12:11:55 PM 237 Views
Your sloppy use of pronouns led me to think they were - 23/07/2016 03:10:53 PM 583 Views
1984 is a non-starter. - 22/07/2016 01:05:45 PM 535 Views
It is a bit early to let Bill start highering interns - 22/07/2016 06:34:22 PM 482 Views
Hillary should win by around 5-10% of the popular vote - 28/07/2016 12:54:35 PM 487 Views

Reply to Message