I saw 17% for Rubio today. That's a long way from single digits.
Legolas Send a noteboard - 03/12/2015 12:49:10 AM
View original postbut i'll concede that things may change quickly if and only if Iowa and New Hampshire change the current structure in any way. the only way Rubio gets the nomination is if he can convince enough delegates to switch to him at the convention, and i'm not seeing anything that says he can. he is the only credible alternative to Trump, and he's got a lot more ground to cover between now and then. but as i keep saying, the best any of the candidates can hope for is roughly 1/3 of the Electoral College, because none of them can possibly compete in the general election.
Quinnipiac's poll of today has Trump at 27, Rubio at 17 and Carson at 16. Not only does Rubio have a shot, it's increasingly looking like Trump or him, and if they manage to narrow things down to two fast enough, I think we all agree the establishment candidate will take it in the end. For all that Trump has been leading for months and keeps defying the expectations of his impending fall, I think the fundamental strategic point is the same it always was: he's not going to win unless the establishment and the evangelicals remain deeply split all the way to the convention.
Trump or Carson can't compete in the general election. Bush, Christie or Kasich could compete, but they don't look like they can make it there. Rubio could do both - I would still expect Clinton to win in the end, but he'd make it close and all sorts of things could give him the edge. In any case, a close race in the presidential means no Senate majority for the Dems, no House, and if they don't take them in 2016, they won't in 2018 either.
Majority of Americans support Trump's Immigration Plan - 
- 25/11/2015 05:02:05 AM
1100 Views
- 25/11/2015 05:02:05 AM
1100 Views
Having a lot of people be wrong with you makes you no less wrong
- 25/11/2015 01:59:12 PM
445 Views
Building a fence is no problem, just takes some money.
- 25/11/2015 05:35:23 PM
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Wanting someone else to pay for your meaningles gesture,. How very liberal of you
- 26/11/2015 02:52:15 PM
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Great, I love hearing that most Americans support the one candidate worse than Hillary. 
*NM*
- 25/11/2015 04:38:21 PM
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*NM*
- 25/11/2015 04:38:21 PM
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IKR. If it came down to Hillary vs. Trump, I'd happily join a riot in the streets! *NM*
- 25/11/2015 04:47:51 PM
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I find it interesting that an even larger majority supports the almost polar opposite.
- 25/11/2015 06:39:35 PM
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These sort of polls are stupid and tell you nothing except the media are trolls
- 26/11/2015 02:57:49 PM
447 Views
and the amazing thing is: Trump is the *moderate* republican in this race!
- 25/11/2015 06:51:32 PM
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No, he's not.
- 25/11/2015 07:18:00 PM
522 Views
actually, he is
- 02/12/2015 12:27:07 AM
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Only if you ignore or arbitrarily dismiss the actual moderate candidates.
- 02/12/2015 06:56:24 PM
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i don't see how single-digit candidates have any bearing this close to Iowa
- 03/12/2015 12:26:16 AM
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I saw 17% for Rubio today. That's a long way from single digits.
- 03/12/2015 12:49:10 AM
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he's a solid third from what i've seen. still has a long way to go, though
- 03/12/2015 08:04:41 PM
493 Views
You're either delusional, tweaked outta your mind, or an idiot. *NM*
- 26/11/2015 12:54:37 AM
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another well thought out politcal argument for planet bizzaro *NM*
- 26/11/2015 02:53:39 PM
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Hillary must be peeing her pants in anticipation of her vs. Trump *NM*
- 25/11/2015 09:12:52 PM
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