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That's true, but I don't think that's the right way to look at it. Nate Send a noteboard - 07/11/2012 05:18:52 PM
The people who are becoming seniors used to be younger people. That's always been true, of course. Every generation that's ever grown old was once young. But if the youth of each generation push for slightly more social freedom, I don't think that trend is entirely dulled by age. I don't think that every young person who supports more freedoms and rights turns into a cynical old person who would automatically support a conservative outlook. Obviously there's a general trend whereby older people are typically more conservative relative to younger people, but in my mind the key is the word relative. The people who will be 65 in 2016 are 61 right now. The people who will be 65 in 2024 are 53 right now. And so on. I think the idea that the parties have to shift with the electorate will in small ways be affected by that.

The people who are seniors right now were raised in the 30s and 40s, when there were different values than today, and some of those are the values the Republican Party attempts to speak to. But the seniors of tomorrow will have been raised in the 50s. And the seniors after that will have been raised in the 60s. Values were shifting throughout that time, and I think that any political party that wants to have broad appeal will need to in some ways anticipate and shift with that. And of course, at some point the top-heavy population graph will shift and seniors of any generation will be a smaller relative proportion of the total electorate again than they are today, so even if somehow all seniors continue to be more religious and conservative (which may be the case, but my instincts tell me it will be a diminishing trend), there will be fewer of them once the baby boomers pass through seniority and out the other side. That's probably 30 years out still, but I think it speaks to the idea that the Republican Party can't continue to endorse hard-line religous values because they will be going out of favor with older people as well as younger people in due time.

Damn, I wrote way too much about that, and I'm not even that attached to the idea. Sorry if I sort of Joeled it up on you.
Warder to starry_nite

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What next for Romney and the Republican party? - 07/11/2012 03:51:50 PM 933 Views
In my view, more moderation is needed. - 07/11/2012 04:17:05 PM 458 Views
Pretty sure seniors are growing MORE numerous, not less. You're probably right about the rest. *NM* - 07/11/2012 05:03:17 PM 483 Views
That's true, but I don't think that's the right way to look at it. - 07/11/2012 05:18:52 PM 460 Views
Yeah, I hear what you're saying, and I agree with the overall point. - 07/11/2012 07:52:33 PM 692 Views
Yes, I see what you mean. - 07/11/2012 07:56:05 PM 393 Views
Libertarian is the way to go IMO. - 07/11/2012 05:19:29 PM 412 Views
Not yet. - 07/11/2012 06:55:19 PM 564 Views
I am no expert, but I think Romney is done. - 07/11/2012 07:00:33 PM 534 Views
I'd say they're pretty much done - 07/11/2012 07:54:44 PM 421 Views
I'm not sure about that. - 07/11/2012 08:04:33 PM 546 Views
Again, the numbers you cited will continue to shrink every year. - 07/11/2012 08:25:21 PM 860 Views
Well Romney is retiring but no the GOP is hardly 'done' - 08/11/2012 12:51:44 AM 390 Views
I do hope the Republican party have the same lax attitude, I love seeing them lose *NM* - 08/11/2012 12:46:32 PM 200 Views
I imagine lots of idiots feel the same way on both sides about both parties *NM* - 08/11/2012 11:05:29 PM 220 Views
If you're relying on the democrats crashing and burning - 09/11/2012 02:45:41 PM 436 Views
the dems played the "wait for the repubs to crash and burn" strategy and it worked out ok this year - 09/11/2012 05:01:53 PM 501 Views
Off topic, but is your Shift key broken? - 09/11/2012 05:47:12 PM 395 Views
I don't think I've ever seen him use capitalization. *NM* - 09/11/2012 07:00:26 PM 363 Views
do you have similar problems when talking to people with weird hair color or clothes IRL? - 09/11/2012 07:09:24 PM 369 Views
I think he was asking why you do it *NM* - 09/11/2012 07:15:27 PM 209 Views
The Dems learned their lesson from the Gore campaign - 09/11/2012 06:25:23 PM 483 Views
i beg to differ - 09/11/2012 07:22:40 PM 350 Views
The facts speak for themselves - 09/11/2012 07:46:20 PM 505 Views
Re: The facts speak for themselves - 11/11/2012 01:13:05 AM 467 Views
I've also got a question for you - 11/11/2012 02:16:07 PM 382 Views
Re: I've also got a question for you - 11/11/2012 04:51:55 PM 416 Views
Re: I've also got a question for you - 11/11/2012 05:48:52 PM 524 Views
I think you were taking that statement rather literally - 11/11/2012 07:36:14 PM 423 Views
Oh, I can absolutely count on them crahsing and burning, that's a given, happens to both regularly *NM* - 09/11/2012 06:28:51 PM 252 Views
You can't count on exploiting that - 09/11/2012 06:39:47 PM 536 Views
'Mistakes' is subjective, sometimes you have to play your hand - 11/11/2012 01:09:31 AM 398 Views
i think you've hit on a major point here - 11/11/2012 02:08:50 PM 451 Views
It's a matter of perspective - 11/11/2012 05:19:13 PM 560 Views
how are 300+ EVs "the skin of his teeth"? - 08/11/2012 05:46:51 PM 410 Views
Because he barely won them? *NM* - 08/11/2012 11:06:14 PM 188 Views
only OH, NC and FL are within 2% margin, i'd hardly call that "barely won" - 08/11/2012 11:25:54 PM 420 Views
Which is less than Bush 2, Clinton, Reagan, or Nixon? - 09/11/2012 12:26:51 AM 383 Views
i never claimed a death knell for the GOP - 09/11/2012 12:32:00 AM 475 Views
What makes you think Hillary won't be running? - 08/11/2012 06:07:38 PM 399 Views
I won't totally rule it out but I don't see it in the cards - 08/11/2012 11:08:12 PM 391 Views

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