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I wouldn't dispute that for an instant. Tom Send a noteboard - 17/10/2012 10:25:46 PM
I also think that people looking at the odds are close on the probability, but the election itself could go either way, and I do believe that some of the models are making too many assumptions about Democrats being able to match the 2008 turnout.
Political correctness is the pettiest form of casuistry.

ἡ δὲ κἀκ τριῶν τρυπημάτων ἐργαζομένη ἐνεκάλει τῇ φύσει, δυσφορουμένη, ὅτι δὴ μὴ καὶ τοὺς τιτθοὺς αὐτῇ εὐρύτερον ἢ νῦν εἰσι τρυπώη, ὅπως καὶ ἄλλην ἐνταῦθα μίξιν ἐπιτεχνᾶσθαι δυνατὴ εἴη. – Procopius

Ummaka qinnassa nīk!

*MySmiley*
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Is the election over? NEW GALLUP - ROMNEY +6% - 51% to 45% - Anonymous2000 - 17/10/2012 06:50:26 PM 546 Views
why do you hate america so much? *NM* moondog - 17/10/2012 06:57:23 PM 177 Views
Funny, I have the same question for you. *NM* Anonymous2000 - 17/10/2012 06:59:11 PM 184 Views
That is an absurd statement no matter what your politics are. Tom - 17/10/2012 09:57:59 PM 349 Views
it's been an absurd statement since around 2002 or so moondog - 17/10/2012 10:08:34 PM 370 Views
This was not the proper place for the statement, then. Tom - 17/10/2012 10:23:46 PM 366 Views
It was no less absurd all those years that the Conservatives asked that of Liberals imlad - 17/10/2012 11:17:45 PM 382 Views
I'm not Rush Limbaugh. I responded to moondog's specific statement. *NM* Tom - 17/10/2012 11:27:26 PM 161 Views
I think that we can all agree on.... Jeordam - 17/10/2012 07:16:01 PM 393 Views
Re: I think that we can all agree on.... Fox and Ravens - 17/10/2012 07:23:54 PM 361 Views
Agreed - even for someone that enjoys politics, it gets old after a while. *NM* Anonymous2000 - 17/10/2012 09:39:33 PM 172 Views
Yeah the elections over all right, a slam dunk to Obama, check with the bookies Sports_Gambler - 17/10/2012 07:35:14 PM 582 Views
You persist in this fiction Tom - 17/10/2012 10:06:07 PM 355 Views
obama still has the easier path to victory moondog - 17/10/2012 10:22:58 PM 332 Views
I wouldn't dispute that for an instant. Tom - 17/10/2012 10:25:46 PM 371 Views
I think Silver's model tries to account for historical turnouts Larry - 17/10/2012 10:32:24 PM 361 Views
I think that Virginia is still really a "red" state. Tom - 17/10/2012 11:07:35 PM 352 Views
I think it's still in play Larry - 18/10/2012 12:04:55 AM 340 Views
Debate results won't be clear for a few days, and the average of polls is still a statistical tie. Burr - 17/10/2012 07:43:57 PM 384 Views
It ain't over till the fat lady sings, and all that. Legolas - 17/10/2012 10:07:11 PM 366 Views
Hawaii. Kaldric - 17/10/2012 10:36:09 PM 497 Views
Yes, but they are also utterly predictable. Legolas - 17/10/2012 10:43:45 PM 362 Views
As evidenced recently by Germany - Sweden *NM* Floffe - 21/10/2012 05:17:38 PM 171 Views
It is interesting how partisan faith in polls is directly proportional to their candidates numbers. Joel - 17/10/2012 11:56:49 PM 360 Views
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