(Let me know if you see holes in this theory)
So, Obama won the last election (obviously). He had a lot of different themes and points in his campaign, ("Change," "Yes We Can!" "Everything Bush Has Done is Terrible," etc.) and he won both the electoral and popular vote. So, in order for the GOP to win, they'll have to be able to steal away at least some people who once voted for Obama.
None of the GOP candidates seem like they'd be able to do that. What can they offer to former Obama supporters?
The people who voted for Obama in 2008(and that's who the GOP has to convince in order to win) generally criticize him for being TOO moderate, not liberal ENOUGH. There are plenty of reasons for Obama supporters to turn on him, but I can't think of any that would make one say "I wish Obama would do this, but he won't, but Romney/Gingrich/Santorum WILL"
Is there? I can't picture a Republican president issuing stronger whistleblower protection, for instance, or closing Guantanamo. What could a GOP candidate offer former Obama supporters?
So, Obama won the last election (obviously). He had a lot of different themes and points in his campaign, ("Change," "Yes We Can!" "Everything Bush Has Done is Terrible," etc.) and he won both the electoral and popular vote. So, in order for the GOP to win, they'll have to be able to steal away at least some people who once voted for Obama.
None of the GOP candidates seem like they'd be able to do that. What can they offer to former Obama supporters?
The people who voted for Obama in 2008(and that's who the GOP has to convince in order to win) generally criticize him for being TOO moderate, not liberal ENOUGH. There are plenty of reasons for Obama supporters to turn on him, but I can't think of any that would make one say "I wish Obama would do this, but he won't, but Romney/Gingrich/Santorum WILL"
Is there? I can't picture a Republican president issuing stronger whistleblower protection, for instance, or closing Guantanamo. What could a GOP candidate offer former Obama supporters?
I amuse myself.
can *any* republican pose a challenge to obama in november?
- 14/03/2012 04:06:59 AM
1177 Views
Yes, absolutely.....
- 14/03/2012 04:12:30 AM
630 Views
"anybody but obama" is not a winning strategy
- 14/03/2012 02:28:23 PM
610 Views
It can definitely work.....don't compare 2012 to 2004.
- 14/03/2012 02:44:39 PM
478 Views
this is why it will be 2004 all over again if romney is nominated
- 16/03/2012 02:22:26 PM
516 Views
It sure as Hell is, as long as the candidate is moderate
- 14/03/2012 03:04:10 PM
724 Views
Did you vote for Obama in 2008?
- 14/03/2012 03:47:55 PM
481 Views
Yes I did. If Romney is the candidate, I will vote Romney this year. *NM*
- 14/03/2012 08:39:41 PM
329 Views
Strongly qualifying your statement really weakens the "anyone". 
*NM*
- 14/03/2012 10:14:45 PM
344 Views
*NM*
- 14/03/2012 10:14:45 PM
344 Views
The statement "anyone but Obama" can be a rallying cry, but only for the right candidates.
- 16/03/2012 01:47:48 AM
631 Views
somehow i don't see romney having much credibility versus obama
- 16/03/2012 02:16:32 PM
516 Views
Spoken like a true Obama partisan
- 16/03/2012 04:18:21 PM
529 Views
actually, i did not vote for obama in 2008 and i won't this time either
- 17/03/2012 01:02:09 PM
560 Views
Sure, if Israel hits Iran and Obama looks weak.
- 14/03/2012 04:56:23 AM
632 Views
i think iran/israel is probably the biggest issue at the moment
- 14/03/2012 02:25:29 PM
636 Views
I would put serious money on an Israeli attack before the election.
- 14/03/2012 02:56:55 PM
632 Views
I know that I would consider voting for Romney
- 14/03/2012 01:05:47 PM
608 Views
If you will pardon an impertinent question: Why?
- 14/03/2012 03:26:01 PM
587 Views
Because Obama is a complete and utter failure.....
- 14/03/2012 03:44:14 PM
524 Views
Again, I get Republicans voting Anybody but Obama, but not how anyone can be comfortable w/ Romney.
- 14/03/2012 04:06:14 PM
662 Views
Pre-convention only the incumbents favorability ratings matter much
- 14/03/2012 01:19:04 PM
621 Views
obama is not popular, but at least he has the ability to organize a national campaign
- 14/03/2012 02:18:04 PM
563 Views
No, the democratic party does, so does the GOP
- 14/03/2012 03:16:31 PM
635 Views
That's true- despite how divisive the primaries seem, the GOP will unite behind the winner
- 14/03/2012 03:44:16 PM
655 Views
Re: That's true- despite how divisive the primaries seem, the GOP will unite behind the winner
- 14/03/2012 03:59:25 PM
587 Views
Actually, my experience has been a lot of libs mean it when they say they will not for anyone.
- 14/03/2012 04:19:46 PM
449 Views
I don't want to grossly over-generalize but there are distinct trends to party demographics
- 14/03/2012 06:04:09 PM
664 Views
I was thinking no, and here's my rationale:
- 14/03/2012 03:41:21 PM
548 Views
Much as it pains me to agree with trzaska, he is absolutely right in this case.
- 14/03/2012 04:21:43 PM
757 Views
Interesting. So you guys are basically saying I'm right, but it might not matter
- 14/03/2012 04:53:48 PM
618 Views
Yeah, pretty much, and I would even say that is the trend in all Dem vs. Rep elections.
- 14/03/2012 04:59:30 PM
647 Views
Yes and no
- 14/03/2012 06:23:47 PM
736 Views
Conservative cookies nomz. But I think you missed my main point...
- 14/03/2012 07:02:10 PM
587 Views
Conservative cookies nomz. But I think you missed my main point...
- 14/03/2012 07:09:24 PM
503 Views
And the cookies are not a lie... at last night's meeting, we had Thin Mints
- 15/03/2012 09:51:30 PM
620 Views
Yeah, I just meant perception
- 16/03/2012 02:39:30 AM
617 Views
One day Republicans and internet trolls alike will learn not to say weird shit to people like me.
- 15/03/2012 12:30:17 AM
691 Views
I like this post.
- 15/03/2012 08:40:07 PM
563 Views
I don't mean to disrespect your seal, but it looks more like a cat. *NM*
- 15/03/2012 08:52:26 PM
216 Views
You've obviously never heard of a kitten seal, Mr. I-Write-An-Animal-Blog. *NM*
- 15/03/2012 09:38:47 PM
332 Views
Maybe it's a leopard seal. That someone put a cat-ear band on. *NM*
- 15/03/2012 10:07:46 PM
231 Views
Does it matter if they do? At this point, does it matter who is president? Probably not.
- 16/03/2012 02:11:45 AM
680 Views