Change everything "OH" to "MI" and I agree with Rollins and the (other) "senior party strategist" (and have been saying so since last week, thinking it since Santorums huge MI poll leads hit the press.) MICHIGAN was the "tipping point" and it is definitely "hard to see how Santorum credibly presses on" after that loss. "Republicans are" ALREADY so "weary with the primary" that "even those who don’t really like Romney" have begun "to coalesce behind him in order to move on to Obama, which everyone is increasingly anxious to do." That is why the MI GOP gave Romney BOTH at large delegates instead of splitting them as their own rules dictate.

Maintaining a constant stream of moneybombs against first one Not-Romney and then another have strained Romneys resources, but only to the point that, according to one story just before MI, he is now asking for small donations at rallies, and may even (GASP!) dip into his own $200 million fortune to finish the race. Sheldon Adelson can keep Romney going as long as they both agree to (though I DO agree with the Post and Romney that he is toast unless he wins his home state.) Santorum... it is hard to see how Santorum FINANCIALLY presses after losing MI, and even though all the stories out of OH even a couple days ago were of Santorum near double digit lead over Romney, we are already seeing the same tell tale money bombing shift the doomed his equal lead in MI and Gingrichs in IA (incidentally reviving Santorum.) The days, and money, of Not-Romneys are numbered, and Romneys momentum has never really reversed, only slowed. It has now reached irresistible levels, but it will take some time for that to become unmistakable.

I would not want to call the election now (though I think Romney has a slight edge at this point,) but barring a career ending scandal I was more certain in November 2008 Romney would by the 2012 nominee than I was in February that Obama would beat Hillary or of the Congressional outcome in 2006. I stand on my record.