you come out and say that he wont win a few states -though I do agree MO is unlikely. The reason why these states are considered toss ups is that the polling shows it is all close either deadlocked or a narrow advantage for one side. Simply stating otherwise because of a 'mormon' population -where I could say a large hispanic population- doesn't make it less of a toss up.

I'd disagree with a couple of the states being toss ups like Michigan -the primary didn't do Romney the likely nominee any favours with Obama significantly up against him in the polls now. In general though the map is reasonable and lines up relatively well with what most of the political experts would suggest.