he's likely to win the primary but the general election is nowhere near a certainty and as things stand Obama would be a slight favourite. That said if the economy goes backwards advantage Romney. Two things matter Obama's approval rating and the national popular vote. Unless it is essentially tied then whoever is leading the national popular vote will win the presidency. As for the map there are many pathways to victory for both a republican and democratic candidate. I wouldn't be suggesting the map favours Romney though.
Now That Romney Is Officially the Republican Presidential Nominee: Pick the President!
29/02/2012 08:29:02 PM
- 1240 Views
I agree Romney will be the candidate.
29/02/2012 08:54:52 PM
- 639 Views
I would say the math favors Romney over Obama, but it will probably be close either way.
01/03/2012 03:37:52 PM
- 685 Views
I have never understood the point of the Electoral College.
29/02/2012 11:39:11 PM
- 688 Views
You don't think like a politician then
01/03/2012 12:38:36 AM
- 732 Views
I certainly hadn't considered much of that. I'm glad you posted it. *NM*
01/03/2012 07:15:03 AM
- 310 Views
I also have not seen most of that mentioned in the popular vs. electoral debate.
01/03/2012 02:34:31 PM
- 615 Views
a bit simplistic and unrealistic
02/03/2012 11:44:02 PM
- 658 Views
When illustrating a point realism is not required and simplicity is a plus
03/03/2012 03:04:26 AM
- 672 Views
I have a couple quibbles.
03/03/2012 05:23:46 AM
- 700 Views
Oh, certainly, I'm over-generalizing but I was already getting long-winded
03/03/2012 06:52:04 AM
- 662 Views
What a bunch of waffle!
03/03/2012 10:47:19 AM
- 799 Views
Also I don't like this refrain that implies only the POTUS vote matters
03/03/2012 03:29:58 AM
- 818 Views
IMHO, parliaments choosing prime ministers is LESS democratic than the electoral college.
03/03/2012 05:57:41 AM
- 620 Views
Re: IMHO, parliaments choosing prime ministers is LESS democratic than the electoral college.
03/03/2012 07:02:30 AM
- 657 Views
*is learning*
04/03/2012 09:49:42 PM
- 648 Views
Re: *is learning*
04/03/2012 09:56:16 PM
- 661 Views
Re: *is learning*
05/03/2012 12:08:08 AM
- 700 Views
You could imitate the French.
07/03/2012 10:40:16 PM
- 629 Views
That seems... unlikely....
08/03/2012 03:03:54 PM
- 636 Views
It does, doesn't it?
08/03/2012 06:11:08 PM
- 832 Views
After I thought about it more, I realized France and the US are not so different in that respect.
08/03/2012 08:51:03 PM
- 611 Views
More similar than the other major Western democracies at least, agreed.
08/03/2012 09:32:55 PM
- 588 Views
I did not realize lack of a parliamentary majority dictated his cabinet.
09/03/2012 12:27:31 AM
- 668 Views
I don't know much about Norwegian politics, but you seem to be wrong.
03/03/2012 06:18:08 PM
- 669 Views
Do you happen to have that link, please?
03/03/2012 06:46:31 PM
- 550 Views
Sure.
03/03/2012 06:58:07 PM
- 723 Views
Guess we did not read far enough.
03/03/2012 10:38:07 PM
- 669 Views
Yeah, you have to know a few things about European politics...
03/03/2012 11:49:44 PM
- 870 Views
Hey, man, I am an AMERICAN: I do not HAVE to know ANYTHING!
04/03/2012 11:46:57 PM
- 892 Views
Re: Yeah, you have to know a few things about European politics...
05/03/2012 06:56:24 AM
- 672 Views
The thing is, regions often have national relevance far greater than their populations would suggest
05/03/2012 10:21:26 AM
- 621 Views
Re: Yeah, you have to know a few things about European politics...
08/03/2012 07:11:12 PM
- 623 Views
Many valid reasons, including those Isaac cited.
02/03/2012 02:26:37 AM
- 769 Views
Most states are ignored anyway
02/03/2012 11:56:12 PM
- 846 Views
Only because and to the extent they have already committed themselves.
03/03/2012 03:41:39 AM
- 693 Views
Why would we do something logical? Dude, you're utterly ridiculous. *NM*
05/03/2012 04:53:38 PM
- 365 Views
I'm kind of sad- does this mean Santorum won't be providing wonderful sound bites anymore?
01/03/2012 02:22:31 PM
- 613 Views
Romney or Obama, either way, America loses. *NM*
02/03/2012 01:10:26 AM
- 439 Views
Hard to dispute that either; six of one, half a dozen of the other.
02/03/2012 01:38:07 AM
- 590 Views
I'd agree hope and change was extremely unrealistic
02/03/2012 11:58:57 PM
- 586 Views
Well, you know my story there; I voted for Obama and got Hillary (at best.)
03/03/2012 01:43:20 AM
- 605 Views
Update: Despite rules requiring they be split, the MI GOP is giving Romney BOTH statewide delegates.
02/03/2012 11:10:56 PM
- 697 Views
Romney is damaged
02/03/2012 11:27:33 PM
- 603 Views
Obama is rather damaged also; it will probably come down to FL and OH, yet again.
03/03/2012 02:23:53 AM
- 706 Views
I'm hoping for Rubio as VP... then FL probably won't matter
03/03/2012 04:28:08 AM
- 594 Views
You should put that on your license plates.
03/03/2012 06:41:34 AM
- 716 Views
And what are you basing all of this on?
03/03/2012 09:54:06 PM
- 704 Views
The closeness of several states when Obama was far more popular, and UTs heavily Mormon neighbors.
03/03/2012 11:44:06 PM
- 651 Views
Wrong
04/03/2012 08:08:56 AM
- 777 Views
Higher turnout magnifies the Mormon effect.
04/03/2012 08:08:09 PM
- 813 Views
Your reasoning is flawed and if you can't see it there is no hope for you
05/03/2012 11:39:04 PM
- 722 Views
Yeah, I think we had that conversation already, several times, in fact.
07/03/2012 05:36:45 AM
- 557 Views
Do you have any knowledge of statistics at all?
07/03/2012 09:04:15 PM
- 717 Views
I hate this message board
07/03/2012 09:06:30 PM
- 512 Views
It would probably help if you deleted the stuff from two, three posts back?
07/03/2012 09:25:40 PM
- 628 Views