I look at politics like I look at sports and call races on what I believe will happen
random thoughts Send a noteboard - 15/08/2011 02:47:35 PM
My own political leanings influence how I see things but I try and get around that as best I can. If the Texas primary was today and I would probably vote for Romney if for no other reason than I think he is a better candidate in the general but that doesn't mean I think he will win the primary. I think Romney has so poisoned the well with Romenycare and his flip flopping on social issues that he will have trouble getting his numbers much higher than they are right now and Perry will be the one gaining supporters as others drop out. The republican party is in a "anyone but Obama" mode and will elect almost anyone who they think can beat Obama. If Perry can convince enough people that he can beat Obama he wins the nomination simple as that. Obama's number help that argument since it looks like the rest of the country is moving to the same mode. Lets us see how his poll numbers look after he has been campaigning for three or four months. Better yet wait until after south Carolina, we should have a good picture by then. I don't think this is Perry's race to lose but if I had to put my money on a winner I would put it on Perry before I put it on Romney. I know you don't read a lot of right wing bogs but the hate for Romney runs deep and wide. McCain overcame a similar hate but he did by running against someone who was almost as weak as himself when it comes to inspiring the base, that would be Romney in case you have forgoten. Perry will not need to bring a loose canon like Palin on the ticket to inpire his base.
And if you won't believe that a news source who had reporter on Journalist and who is regularly brought on to MSNBC doesn't lean left then how about the simple fact that unnamed sources trying to push the idea that one candidate is not viable during a heated primary should be taken with huge grain of salt. When it is the narrative the media is already trying to sale it can be pretty much ignored out of hand as political gamesmanship on someone's part.
And if you won't believe that a news source who had reporter on Journalist and who is regularly brought on to MSNBC doesn't lean left then how about the simple fact that unnamed sources trying to push the idea that one candidate is not viable during a heated primary should be taken with huge grain of salt. When it is the narrative the media is already trying to sale it can be pretty much ignored out of hand as political gamesmanship on someone's part.
Tim Pawlenty drops out of the race
14/08/2011 07:20:58 PM
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Bummer, I liked him. *NM*
14/08/2011 07:23:42 PM
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Yeah, him and Cain are the only ones I actually liked to hear talk
14/08/2011 07:38:08 PM
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Grumpy and just nuts enough to be entertaining, from what I've heard...
14/08/2011 08:15:15 PM
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Probably better to say he's not polished
14/08/2011 08:46:37 PM
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Yeah, as Aisha says, it's the Islam issue he sounded the craziest on...
14/08/2011 11:16:20 PM
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Re: Yeah, as Aisha says, it's the Islam issue he sounded the craziest on...
15/08/2011 12:02:22 AM
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well I don't think his posistion on Israel will play much of a factor one way or the other
15/08/2011 02:07:55 AM
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I've never really gotten to know him... which kind of says enough.
14/08/2011 07:35:40 PM
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I think Michelle Bachman and Herman Cain are awesome. You should consider them *NM*
14/08/2011 09:25:55 PM
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About fucking time. Now if we could just get Santorum to drop, too.
14/08/2011 09:28:53 PM
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He'd indicated he would
14/08/2011 11:47:03 PM
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Oh, I don't think Bachmann WILL be kingmaker, but that's her goal.
15/08/2011 02:39:51 PM
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bachman is gonna be the vice presidential nominee for either Perry or Romney
15/08/2011 04:22:33 AM
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funny that I only see liberals making an issue of his religion *NM*
15/08/2011 05:13:03 AM
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It's a clumsy attempt to poison the well
15/08/2011 05:59:26 AM
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Re: It's a clumsy attempt to poison the well
15/08/2011 07:13:01 AM
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Dems used to chase the evangelical vote, and the Church never should've permitted a political coup.
15/08/2011 09:22:53 AM
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For the record, I'm not trying to poison any wells.
15/08/2011 09:54:53 AM
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I think the deal with Huckabee
15/08/2011 07:21:08 PM
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Huckabee didn't hide his beliefs, but also made clear he wouldn't try to legislate them.
16/08/2011 12:58:48 PM
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yeah i guess it was s liberal Fox reporter/talking head/whatever the Eff they are called
15/08/2011 07:07:07 AM
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I'm not sure why she had to apologize for saying that.
15/08/2011 09:56:39 AM
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because its not true? Mormons ARE Christians arent they?
15/08/2011 04:52:32 PM
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Except their founder taught, and his church teaches, that man is his own savior.
15/08/2011 05:54:28 PM
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well ok then, i didnt know all that
15/08/2011 06:58:22 PM
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Precisely; every Mormon you ever meet will ALWAYS insist they're Christian.
16/08/2011 01:57:06 PM
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So nutcase liberals and one woman on Fox News and she had the decency to apologize *NM*
15/08/2011 02:04:44 PM
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I find that highly unlikely.
15/08/2011 02:47:35 PM
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I personally am considering voting for Romney , but I wouldnt underestimate Bachman and her power
15/08/2011 04:58:19 PM
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Also, it is very likely that Palin will not enter.....
14/08/2011 09:58:48 PM
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besides the fact that they both have west Texas accents what similarites?
15/08/2011 01:59:45 AM
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By the way, why did Kay B Hutch run against him in the primary election?
15/08/2011 03:43:52 AM
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Some did want to dump him, over the toll roads and mandatory HPV vaccines for school girls.
15/08/2011 03:58:38 AM
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you call losing by 15 points competing? *NM*
15/08/2011 04:07:08 AM
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It was 12.9%, which is pretty good for a Dem in a very red state during a very red year.
15/08/2011 04:26:58 AM
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Isn't that almost the exact same numbers Obama lost by in Texas?
15/08/2011 05:02:57 AM
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Roughly; are you going to pretend that 2010 was as good a year for Dems as 2008?
15/08/2011 05:34:32 AM
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there was a perception that he was vulnerable
15/08/2011 04:48:41 AM
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He was vulnerable, he only won in 06 with 39 percent of the vote *NM*
15/08/2011 01:14:43 PM
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I have to agree with the take that it's symptomatic of a larger problem.
14/08/2011 10:23:02 PM
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There's no "victory laurel" there. The Iowa straw poll is as irrelevant as lint in one's navel.
14/08/2011 11:13:36 PM
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Largely true; it matters to people like Bachmann who need credibility, but to few others.
15/08/2011 12:20:48 AM
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unnamed sources from left leaning news source? who could question that *NM*
15/08/2011 01:25:07 AM
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Just because you don't like the quote doesn't make the person citing it "left leaning".
15/08/2011 02:00:15 AM
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It was a quote from Politico which is a left leaning news blog and the sources were unnamed
15/08/2011 02:14:09 AM
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If you say so.
15/08/2011 03:53:08 AM
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so you are going to just ignore the fact that your entire argument is based on unnamed sources?
15/08/2011 05:12:01 AM
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I'm not surprised no Republican wants to go on the record with that.
15/08/2011 05:51:47 AM
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I'm kinda curious how this thread got controversial
15/08/2011 06:26:15 AM
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Probably because I opined my impression that most of the viable GOP field looks pretty unimpressive.
15/08/2011 09:11:45 AM
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I look at politics like I look at sports and call races on what I believe will happen
15/08/2011 02:47:35 PM
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Normally I'd say that's the best approach, but in US politics all teams play for the same owner.
15/08/2011 04:04:43 PM
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I am trying to keep it to just the facts and my opinion of the race
15/08/2011 02:49:47 PM
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Are we surprised by this?
15/08/2011 07:05:59 PM
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