The country has a total population of 6 million. Almost all of this population lives in fairly large population centers along the coast, with wide stretches of uninhabited desert separating two narrow belts of cultivation, one in the west and one in the east. The primary cities of Libya have populations as follows:
In rebel hands:
Benghazi - 670,000
Areas west of Benghazi - 600,000
TOTAL: 1.27 million
In Qaddhafi hands:
Tripoli - 1 million
Sirte - 140,000
TOTAL: 1.14 million
Unclear:
Misrata - 550,000
Ajdabiya and environs - 170,000
Zawiya - 270,000
TOTAL: 1 million
Zawiya and Ajdabiya are in the unclear category because they rose up against Qaddhafi but there are now Qaddhafi troops there. Misrata is apparently fighting off a Qaddhafi attack.
There are almost certainly enough anti-Qaddhafi forces in Tripoli itself (like Tajura, the area that was out of his control as late as last week) that a rebel push on the capital would certainly see Qaddhafi's power crumble, assuming that his air assets and vehicles are destroyed. At most I would think close air support would be needed, or perhaps, in a few situations, some discreet helicopter-borne operations with a few special forces briefly on the ground and then out again before anyone really knows what happened. It's more like what we did in 2001 in Afghanistan in the beginning.
Either way, the insurgents have enough manpower that their troops supported by our logistics could wipe out what I assume are some very demoralized Qaddhafi troops. It sounds as though only the 30,000 or so special troops under the command of Qaddhafi's son have really done any fighting.
In rebel hands:
Benghazi - 670,000
Areas west of Benghazi - 600,000
TOTAL: 1.27 million
In Qaddhafi hands:
Tripoli - 1 million
Sirte - 140,000
TOTAL: 1.14 million
Unclear:
Misrata - 550,000
Ajdabiya and environs - 170,000
Zawiya - 270,000
TOTAL: 1 million
Zawiya and Ajdabiya are in the unclear category because they rose up against Qaddhafi but there are now Qaddhafi troops there. Misrata is apparently fighting off a Qaddhafi attack.
There are almost certainly enough anti-Qaddhafi forces in Tripoli itself (like Tajura, the area that was out of his control as late as last week) that a rebel push on the capital would certainly see Qaddhafi's power crumble, assuming that his air assets and vehicles are destroyed. At most I would think close air support would be needed, or perhaps, in a few situations, some discreet helicopter-borne operations with a few special forces briefly on the ground and then out again before anyone really knows what happened. It's more like what we did in 2001 in Afghanistan in the beginning.
Either way, the insurgents have enough manpower that their troops supported by our logistics could wipe out what I assume are some very demoralized Qaddhafi troops. It sounds as though only the 30,000 or so special troops under the command of Qaddhafi's son have really done any fighting.
Political correctness is the pettiest form of casuistry.
ἡ δὲ κἀκ τριῶν τρυπημάτων ἐργαζομένη ἐνεκάλει τῇ φύσει, δυσφορουμένη, ὅτι δὴ μὴ καὶ τοὺς τιτθοὺς αὐτῇ εὐρύτερον ἢ νῦν εἰσι τρυπώη, ὅπως καὶ ἄλλην ἐνταῦθα μίξιν ἐπιτεχνᾶσθαι δυνατὴ εἴη. – Procopius
Ummaka qinnassa nīk!
*MySmiley*
ἡ δὲ κἀκ τριῶν τρυπημάτων ἐργαζομένη ἐνεκάλει τῇ φύσει, δυσφορουμένη, ὅτι δὴ μὴ καὶ τοὺς τιτθοὺς αὐτῇ εὐρύτερον ἢ νῦν εἰσι τρυπώη, ὅπως καὶ ἄλλην ἐνταῦθα μίξιν ἐπιτεχνᾶσθαι δυνατὴ εἴη. – Procopius
Ummaka qinnassa nīk!
*MySmiley*
So within 24 hours of the 1st UN mandated action in Libya...
20/03/2011 04:38:25 PM
- 1477 Views
The Arab league guy has gone out saying he was misquoted.
20/03/2011 05:26:21 PM
- 723 Views
China and Russian abstained instead of voting No, which is odd.
20/03/2011 05:32:02 PM
- 659 Views
Workplace politics writ large. With more blood. Gads. My hermit instinct is rearing it's head. *NM*
20/03/2011 08:35:35 PM
- 304 Views
I think we should just ignore anything Russia and China says about human rights..
20/03/2011 10:15:59 PM
- 627 Views
Re: I think we should just ignore anything Russia and China says about human rights..
20/03/2011 11:12:11 PM
- 725 Views
Misquoted to the extent of ordering an emergency meeting of the Arab League uh?
20/03/2011 05:41:45 PM
- 689 Views
Apparently Qatar is about to join the fray... it is rather crucial that the Arab world backs this.
20/03/2011 05:50:14 PM
- 720 Views
There is a lot of politics going on in the Arab League, from what I've read
20/03/2011 05:52:31 PM
- 938 Views
That is a big miscalculation.
20/03/2011 06:10:34 PM
- 788 Views
Not really
20/03/2011 06:23:52 PM
- 818 Views
I dunno.
20/03/2011 06:59:18 PM
- 798 Views
But the people who are going to think that way are going to do it no matter what
20/03/2011 10:13:36 PM
- 675 Views
Seriously. I can't believe Snoop and Rebekah's comments. It's like we had weeks to act.
20/03/2011 10:27:40 PM
- 779 Views
We have had weeks to act
20/03/2011 11:15:15 PM
- 790 Views
The French hit those vehicles in that military convoy 10 miles from Benghazi center.
21/03/2011 03:01:06 AM
- 747 Views
Because when you get involved in what is, unfortunately, an internal matter,
20/03/2011 11:18:16 PM
- 690 Views
Qatar is not part of Libya so it would still be outsiders interfering in an internal matter
21/03/2011 12:25:30 AM
- 693 Views
I have to ask:
21/03/2011 03:13:31 AM
- 863 Views
I don't think the people in Libya give at rat's ass about what the king of Qatar wants
21/03/2011 05:12:26 AM
- 824 Views
Well, that has all shit to do with Qatari participation.
21/03/2011 03:02:19 AM
- 679 Views
Not so.
21/03/2011 08:54:31 AM
- 785 Views
Bullshit.
21/03/2011 01:37:32 PM
- 923 Views
Well.
21/03/2011 06:58:19 PM
- 704 Views
That's odd. I'm not seeing any of this criticism.
21/03/2011 10:55:27 PM
- 695 Views
It's not about "legitimacy" so much as it is about, to use the ugly word, propaganda.
21/03/2011 10:33:12 PM
- 637 Views
The only support I've seen Qaddhafi get is from the rogues gallery of world pariahs.
21/03/2011 11:01:54 PM
- 744 Views
Is the Qatar involvement as important as the Kuwaiti involvement in the Iraq War?
22/03/2011 06:57:27 PM
- 1116 Views
I don't see a situation where this does not turn into a land war.
20/03/2011 10:51:41 PM
- 752 Views
it is already is a land war if you ask the people on the ground doing the fighting for weeks
21/03/2011 12:34:10 AM
- 742 Views
Yeah, that's what I meant.
21/03/2011 12:48:57 AM
- 671 Views
I doubt it would take US ground troops.
21/03/2011 03:16:24 AM
- 654 Views
Fuck Gadhafi.
21/03/2011 05:21:29 AM
- 618 Views
how full of yourself are you?
21/03/2011 12:37:47 PM
- 766 Views
They're not my people.
21/03/2011 02:22:46 PM
- 748 Views
Wha?
21/03/2011 03:55:51 PM
- 787 Views
Nope.
21/03/2011 04:21:21 PM
- 773 Views
Ok.
21/03/2011 04:30:44 PM
- 704 Views
I challenge you to point out where I'd advocated killing anyone but him and the military...
21/03/2011 04:45:05 PM
- 646 Views
Do something, get whined at. Do nothing and you get Rwanda.
21/03/2011 11:19:38 AM
- 869 Views
I would reply...
21/03/2011 11:22:14 PM
- 594 Views
It is only natural that the girl preferred me to you, but.......
21/03/2011 11:36:33 PM
- 745 Views
And you old enough to be her father, you should be ashamed...
22/03/2011 12:17:55 AM
- 487 Views
She said she prefers experience to enthusiasm.......
22/03/2011 12:24:05 AM
- 604 Views
Funny. She told me it was all down to the size of your.....wallet. *NM*
22/03/2011 12:33:33 AM
- 245 Views
"You old enough to be her father" is usually followed with "I'm impressed and envious"
22/03/2011 06:50:27 PM
- 656 Views