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Honestly, it COULD go either way. Joel Send a noteboard - 23/11/2010 05:14:18 PM
The West has offered North Korea virtually everything it can think of - recognition, food, fuel, economic investment and development, security guarantees - but North Korea's regime is propped up so poorly, and so dependent on the perpetuation of a military standoff, that it is afraid to even engage on China-style reforms that might stabilize the country. As we know, it made some half-hearted efforts to create special economic zones, which it then closed quickly.

"Wanting" or "not wanting" war is irrelevant. We need to accept that North Korea is an unstable and dangerous regime that will only become more dangerous if allowed to remain. If China is unwilling to control its puppet state, the West should be ready to remove that state. China would not directly participate in a war that would destroy its economic growth and precipitate a potential revolution at home, and if for some crazy reason it did, then the same logic that says now is the time to fight rather than 50 years from now is doubly true with respect to China as it is with respect to North Korea.

Depends on whether China concludes a resumption of the Korean Conflict makes North Korea more trouble than they're worth, or regards any expansion of Western influence (and without China North Korea wouldn't last a week) as an affront to their sovereignt and regional influence that can't be ignored. Your guess is as good as mine there, and probably better. However, I wholly agree with your final assessment: Just as with North Korea, if mere resistance to aggression will provoke a war with China, better now than when they've strengthened further at our expense.
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North Korea attacks South Korea and no one mentions it? - 23/11/2010 10:56:03 AM 1361 Views
"Oh God, Oh God, we are all going to die?" - 23/11/2010 11:09:30 AM 1149 Views
Yup, but the day Beijing decides they're better off not intervening the Appeasers look very dumb. - 23/11/2010 11:23:35 AM 1001 Views
The appeasers look very dumb at this point regardless. - 23/11/2010 04:11:41 PM 912 Views
yes, because we want to fight *ANOTHER* proxy war with china *NM* - 23/11/2010 04:29:18 PM 515 Views
"Wanting" has nothing to do with it. There are few alternatives. - 23/11/2010 04:50:02 PM 1050 Views
Honestly, it COULD go either way. - 23/11/2010 05:14:18 PM 1187 Views
China's relations with North Korea are also worsening, though. - 25/11/2010 05:48:01 PM 1340 Views
What Tom said. - 23/11/2010 05:15:31 PM 993 Views
I figured someone else would post it *NM* - 23/11/2010 11:16:44 AM 453 Views
You know I like to sleep in, remember? - 23/11/2010 11:20:33 AM 986 Views
Agreed - 23/11/2010 02:07:30 PM 1102 Views
I think most Americans are asleep until the sun rises here - 23/11/2010 11:32:28 AM 1006 Views
That is 'cause everyone else is hiding out in their nuclear bunkers - 23/11/2010 11:40:33 AM 990 Views
Re: That is 'cause everyone else is hiding out in their nuclear bunkers - 23/11/2010 11:46:03 AM 1034 Views
Re: That is 'cause everyone else is hiding out in their nuclear bunkers - 23/11/2010 11:57:51 AM 917 Views
The really sad part is, that along with everything else worthwhile in the British Empire... - 25/11/2010 09:49:00 AM 1160 Views
you know what they say - 25/11/2010 10:34:30 AM 1015 Views
Never send an Englishman to do a man's work? - 25/11/2010 09:06:22 PM 1020 Views
I actually had no clue. - 23/11/2010 01:14:20 PM 1001 Views
Re: I actually had no clue. - 23/11/2010 01:15:10 PM 868 Views
Re: I actually had no clue. - 23/11/2010 04:32:17 PM 974 Views
Re: I actually had no clue. - 23/11/2010 04:36:59 PM 936 Views
Honestly, - 23/11/2010 02:36:13 PM 911 Views
you know the world doesn't exist until america wakes up in the morning, right? *NM* - 23/11/2010 04:27:27 PM 477 Views
I had an inkling. *NM* - 23/11/2010 04:37:37 PM 519 Views
OK, have had time to read it, and someone needs to fact check a very important part of that article. - 23/11/2010 04:52:02 PM 1084 Views
Fact checking: - 23/11/2010 08:38:57 PM 994 Views
The term "truce" used in a different Guardian article seems better. - 23/11/2010 09:20:19 PM 918 Views
my two bits - 23/11/2010 10:51:51 PM 1050 Views
I'm glad your ex wasn't there in 1970 then. - 24/11/2010 01:10:02 AM 1018 Views
Well - 23/11/2010 05:24:02 PM 1025 Views
There's not going to be any all-out conflict - 24/11/2010 12:56:44 AM 1156 Views
They're getting aid from South Korea now, and killing them anyway. - 24/11/2010 01:20:33 AM 1100 Views
No kidding, that's been going on for quite some time. - 24/11/2010 02:49:50 AM 975 Views
That is the crux of it, I suppose. - 24/11/2010 03:02:40 PM 1049 Views
~shrugs~ SK has lived with this a long time, and will continue to do so. - 24/11/2010 10:26:44 PM 1031 Views
Parts of it have; some South Koreans stopped living with it a few days ago. - 25/11/2010 01:48:02 PM 1628 Views
They won't be the last. - 02/12/2010 12:55:20 AM 1204 Views
Re: North Korea attacks South Korea and no one mentions it? - 24/11/2010 01:50:11 AM 940 Views

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