So. In the Monty Hall scenario, you have three cards, yadayadayada. All have 1/3 chance of being the right one. You pick one, another is revealed, and you should then switch your card choice.
But.
Does this work on bombs as well?
Say, if you don't know which wire to cut, which is ALWAYS the case. Should you then decide that you think one is the bad wire, cut another one, and then switch your plan and cut the one you originally thought was a bad wire?
And if so, why does that never come up in the kind of shows where there is bomb-defusing going on?
But.
Does this work on bombs as well?
Say, if you don't know which wire to cut, which is ALWAYS the case. Should you then decide that you think one is the bad wire, cut another one, and then switch your plan and cut the one you originally thought was a bad wire?
And if so, why does that never come up in the kind of shows where there is bomb-defusing going on?
That problem relies in someone picking the card knowing which one it is (ie, not the right one) while you are suggesting a scenario where it is by chance.
Yes. I had a vague suspicion that might be the case.
*MySmiley*
structured procrastinator
structured procrastinator
/Maths: Question, vaguely related to Monty Hall
- 27/05/2010 03:33:51 PM
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I think it is different
- 27/05/2010 03:43:21 PM
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Re: I think it is different
- 27/05/2010 03:44:41 PM
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I'm not sure how many 24 viewers have studied Monty Hall closely.
- 27/05/2010 04:10:25 PM
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