I commend how President Lee has handled the situation, when the Chenoan sank, he didn't accuse blame, he didn't make any knee-jerk reactions. He very calmly called in a international team of experts to investigate and waited for their findings. This has greatly strengthened his hand internationally. And now he's made a forceful response by hitting North Korea economically, he looks bellicose and tough without really doing anything.
The conundrum for President Lee is that he can't respond militarily because absolutely no one wants another Korean War - not to mention it would utterly spook investors. It would be devastating for the Korea peninsula if all out war broke out. Pyongyang can credibly decimate Seoul with conventional arms alone. There are about 12 million inhabitants in Seoul. North Korea is bat-shit crazy, but their not suicidal, the regime cares about it's survival, if all out war broke out that would be the end of that regime. South Korea is very vulnerable because of its geographic location. Because of that, the U.S. has been very prudent not to trigger any war-like act. And North Korea knows it; it is the Achilles' heel for both countries.
The biggest danger with these situations is that they can slip out from one's control, sometimes the best policy is to wait until emotions calm down, then decide where to go from there.
The conundrum for President Lee is that he can't respond militarily because absolutely no one wants another Korean War - not to mention it would utterly spook investors. It would be devastating for the Korea peninsula if all out war broke out. Pyongyang can credibly decimate Seoul with conventional arms alone. There are about 12 million inhabitants in Seoul. North Korea is bat-shit crazy, but their not suicidal, the regime cares about it's survival, if all out war broke out that would be the end of that regime. South Korea is very vulnerable because of its geographic location. Because of that, the U.S. has been very prudent not to trigger any war-like act. And North Korea knows it; it is the Achilles' heel for both countries.
The biggest danger with these situations is that they can slip out from one's control, sometimes the best policy is to wait until emotions calm down, then decide where to go from there.
They're just waiting until they can be certain of complete victory rather than stalemate. I imagine the Western responses to increasingly belligerent Chinese and North Korean actions have them thinking that if they just apply enough pressure for long enough we'll throw up our hands and leave. I'm largely convinced of it myself; wonder how things will go then for the South Korean citizens talk of war jeopardizes. But I don't wonder MUCH.
I mean, seriously, the US has been prudent not to trigger warlike action? China kidnapped a US Navy plane in international airspace (act of war) and examined it while they debriefed the crew held hostage. A few years later they gave Pakistan nuclear weapons, which multiplied our headaches in Southeast Asia tenfold (if anyone wonders why we tolerated Musharraf, it was to prevent someone like bin Laden from getting a nuclear arsenal. ) North Korea's developed nuclear weapons, supposedly without Chinese aid (I guess that only goes to Pakistan... ) as well as missiles capable of placing them on the mainland US. And knowingly sunk a South Korean ship (act of war. ) Yeah, it's a REALLY good thing WE haven't done anything warlike to upset the pacific calm of the region. Neville Chamberlain would be proud of our restraint.
Honorbound and honored to be Bonded to Mahtaliel Sedai
Last First in wotmania Chat
Slightly better than chocolate.
Love still can't be coerced.
Please Don't Eat the Newbies!
LoL. Be well, RAFOlk.
Last First in wotmania Chat
Slightly better than chocolate.
Love still can't be coerced.
Please Don't Eat the Newbies!
LoL. Be well, RAFOlk.
Oh, by the way...has anyone noticed how close the Korean peninsula is to war?
24/05/2010 02:04:12 PM
- 992 Views
I was wondering when something would be posted about this
24/05/2010 02:49:54 PM
- 690 Views
But does North Korea really listen to China that much anymore?
24/05/2010 02:55:04 PM
- 626 Views
that might well be a good point
24/05/2010 03:20:32 PM
- 586 Views
The explaination I have heard...
24/05/2010 09:05:40 PM
- 652 Views
Kim made one of his rare trips outside of North Korea about two weeks ago.
26/05/2010 07:49:18 AM
- 627 Views
yah, it doesn't look to be a good situation
24/05/2010 02:50:08 PM
- 604 Views
If there were a war with North Korea the US has the resources to deal with it.
24/05/2010 02:56:39 PM
- 623 Views
mm. well I don't much like that either, to be honest.
24/05/2010 03:00:29 PM
- 609 Views
Still scary and you know that using those would escalate everything.
24/05/2010 03:26:12 PM
- 576 Views
Korea is directly in our sphere of influence
24/05/2010 03:37:18 PM
- 520 Views
I meant "we" in a personal sense, not a national sense.
24/05/2010 05:36:40 PM
- 669 Views
In a personal sense, we could hijack a nuclear silo and shoot an ICBM at Pyongyang.
24/05/2010 05:50:52 PM
- 509 Views
That would totally blow my cover of being a nerdy little grandma.
24/05/2010 09:37:28 PM
- 527 Views
A part of me says just get it over with
24/05/2010 03:21:06 PM
- 518 Views
I agree that if war is inevitable, it is much better to start it at a time of our choosing.
24/05/2010 03:48:36 PM
- 663 Views
I'm trying not to. *NM*
24/05/2010 05:25:06 PM
- 214 Views
I try to block it out with thought's of a puppet singing "I'm So Ronery". *NM*
24/05/2010 10:59:23 PM
- 231 Views
No one wants to resume the Korean War.
24/05/2010 11:27:12 PM
- 633 Views
China does.
25/05/2010 12:29:11 AM
- 583 Views
No, they don't
25/05/2010 12:54:49 AM
- 613 Views
Well, it would be more accurate to say they want a conflict, yes.
25/05/2010 01:15:23 AM
- 607 Views
No, they don't
25/05/2010 01:24:17 AM
- 595 Views
I'm saying the Cold War isn't over, since it was never about capitalism vs. communism to begin.
25/05/2010 01:41:28 AM
- 634 Views
North Korea is not acting suicidal? Are you kidding?
25/05/2010 02:41:29 AM
- 570 Views
The internal political dynamic in North Korea is such that they constantly need a crisis.
25/05/2010 03:03:59 AM
- 587 Views
You are missing the main point.
25/05/2010 03:36:37 AM
- 625 Views
I'm not saying it's nothing new.
25/05/2010 03:57:40 AM
- 601 Views
Your response highlights the ultimate problem: the crisis will have to keep getting bigger.
25/05/2010 07:44:19 PM
- 534 Views
Yes, I've been watching with morbid curiosity and a little sick feeling in my stomach.
25/05/2010 02:47:53 AM
- 646 Views