Unlike your model, which does not fit the evidence at all.

According to your model, 2 Moiraine strength channelers should be able to match a male Forsaken, since they each have half the EFFECTIVE strength of the strongest possible channeler. And yet, in tSR, Rand is still FAR from his full potential and yet he handles Egwene and Elayne together like "a mastiff handling two kittens" to quote Egwene from my memory. Egwene confirms in that same scene that she is already much stronger than Moiraine, stating that "Moiraine would be on the floor, senseless or whimpering if she tried to hold as much of the Power as I'm holding now.

And as for Elayne, although she is not at her full potential yet, it is doubtful that she is weaker than an average Aes Sedai at that point. After all, her full potential is double that of an average Aes Sedai.

And Rand - far from his full potential - not only shields both of them, but he also lifts both of them into the air, and weaves about a dozen flows at the same time. He shields both of them, and lifts them into the air, and still has plenty of strength to spare to weave 8 or more other flows simultaneously.

Now how could that be possible if two women of Moiraine's strength should be able to match Rand's effective strength according to your model? And while we're on that point, how can your model state that two women of Moiraine's strength should have the effective strength of a male Forsaken, if Egwene states that two women of Moiraine's strength PLUS Egwene would be hard pressed to match a male Forsaken's effective strength?

Don't you see that you're overstating their strength's significantly?

And this is further corroborated by the fact that a strong Aes Sedai like Alanna can barely weave a 6 foot by 6 foot gateway. That's 36 square feet, compared to Rand's 144 square feet. As a percentage, that's 25%. What do you know. It fits exactly with a placing of a modern Aes Sedai at around 25 EFFECTIVE strength, Egwene at around double that - 50 EFFECTIVE strength, and Rand/Lanfear/Male Forsaken at aroudn double that - 90-100 EFFECTIVE strength.

But wait, there's more. Ewgene makes an 8 foot gateway in LoC and is impressed with the size she managed to create. 8x8=64. 64 as a percentage of 144 = 44%.

Do you see what I'm doing here? I'm not using a single quote to justify the strength placings of the various channelers. I'm using multiple quotes that all corroborate one another.

I'm saying Egwene is at most at 50 EFFECTIVE strength.
I'm saying a strong Aes Sedai is at about 25% EFFECTIVE strength.
I'm saying that Moiraine, Lelaine and Romanda are at 30 EFFECITVE strength.
I'm saying a male Forsaken and Lanfear are at 90-100 EFFECTIVE strength.
And I'm saying Rand is at 100 EFFECTIVE strength.

So let's test this hypothesis against the evidence.

Does it match Ewgene's statement that she plus Romanda plus Lelaine would be hard pressed to match a male Forsaken? let's see:

50+30+30 = 110 less 10% linking loss = 99. That's a yes.

Does it match the fact that an underdeveloped Rand shielded Egwene who was stronger than Moiraine, plus Elayne, lifted them both into the air and spun another 8 or more weaves at the same time? Yes it does.

Does it match the fact that Egwene must be as strong as two strong Aes Sedai?

Aes Sedai at 30 plus Aes Sedai at 25 less 10% linking loss = 50. Yes it does.

Does it match the fact that Lanfear brushes aside Egwene and Aviendha, with contemptuos ease at the Docks in FoH?

Aviendha is already as strong enough to make a 7 to 8 foot gateway in that book, as evidenced by the Far Snows chapter. She also shields two damane simultaneously, showing that she is very strong already. This means she is already stronger than all but the strongest Aes Sedai, who struggle to make 6 foot gateways in LoC. And yet Egwene and Aviendha combined are swatted aside like flies by Lanfear in the same book.

The answer is yes, my model fits the fact that Egwene and Aviendha combined in FoH must be significantly less than Lanfear's strength. But your's doesn't, since you put Egwene at 80 and someone of Moiraine's strength (as Aviendha was at that point) at 50.

And last of all, for now, does my model fit the comparative gateway sizes that have been demonstrated by the known channelers?

Rand 144 square feet.
Egwene 64 square feet in LoC
Aviendha 49-64 square feet in FoH
Strong Aes Sedai about 6 feet by 6 feet in LoC? (which equals 25% of Rand's size, by the way)

The answer is, yes it does.

In short, my model fits ALL the evidence in the books very well.

Yours, in contrast, has huge discrepancies with the evidence, and cannot be corroborated by a thorough examination of the text. In fact, it is contradicted by the text.

So clearly, your model is incorrect. How we make the obsevational evidence fit into some kind of statistical distribution, well, that is the challenge before us. And so far, the best bet is that there was a different Bell Curve in the Age of Legends than there is in the Third Age. But maybe there is another solution waiting to be proposed by some theorist on this board.

What cannot be argued away is that a large number of independent pieces of evidence support the view that a modern Aes Sedai is about 25% of the strongest channeler's effective strength, Egwene/Elayne/Aviendha at full potential are at about 50%, the male Forsaken and Lanfear are at 90-100 and Rand, of course, is right at the top.