I assume you're referring to EFFECTIVE strength here...
Shannow Send a noteboard - 17/12/2009 04:27:53 PM
Recent revelations one One Power strength have created questions as to the relative strength in the Power of certain characters. Although we had a debate on this last week, I've had some time to go research the topic and gather my ideas on the topic.
How strong is Nynaeve compared to her friends, and how strong are they compared to Cadsuane, the strongest woman in the Tower?
Nynaeve
It's always been difficult to put a value on Nynaeve's strength, especially because she's been growing in power, had a block for a large part of the series, and is generally self-effacing. We've also had examples of channelers who are definitely stronger than her, in the form of Alivia and Sharina.
What's clear from Brandon's answers on Nynaeve is that is close to as strong as is possible in saidar. There are only six women who are of greater strength, and although this may span more than one level above her, she is very high up indeed. RJ pretty much equated the highest male and female in power, and therefore Lanfear is comparable to Lews Therin to some degree, if not exactly. For this reason, it's fair to extrapolate that Nynaeve is not too much weaker than Rand in the Power. IMO she's not too close to him either. Alivia is said to be considerably stronger than Nynaeve in strength in WH. Furthermore, Lanfear in a weakened state in the form of Cyndane still exceeds Graendal in strength, and that is a strong pointer to the fact that some greater levels do exist above Nynaeve, if Graendal was indeed one of the stronger women among the Forsaken. We also know from WH (Ideas of Importance) that the Seafolk made a circle of six to beat Nynaeve down if her anger got the better of her after they humiliated her. It's a strong parallel to six women's inability to overwhelm Rand, showing that he's that extra step higher. We also know that two failed against Nynaeve, and that Liandrin thought three could take on Moghedien.
For this reason, Nynaeve is probably 80-90% as strong as Rand - say 85%. You'd probably find Lanfear close to Rand, or slightly weaker, Cyndane at 95%, and Graendal at 90%, with Semirhage and Mesaana at 80-85%.
Egwene, Elayne, Aviendha
I've always believed that they were much weaker than Nynaeve in strength. According to RJ, they are a level below Nynaeve. I'd estimate their power to be about half that of Rand's, or 50%.
Compared to Nynaeve we have the following quotes...
TFOH (Ripped Away) - The amount of saidar that Nynaeve had drawn into herself was amazing.
TSR (Playing with Fire) - With so many exclaiming over their strength – everyone said she and Elayne would be among the strongest Aes Sedai, if not the strongest, in a thousand years or more – she had just assumed they were as strong as he. Near to it, at least. She had just been rudely disabused. Perhaps Nynaeve could come close if she was angry enough…
TGH (Summoned) - … Nynaeve was the Wisdom in their village … Once she gains conscious control of what she does without knowing, she will be as strong as any in Tar Valon. With training, she will shine like a bonfire beside the candles of Egwene and Elayne.
The first quote shows Elayne's surprise at Nynaeve's strength. The second is Egwene's fear of Rand's strength and her thoughts that maybe Nynaeve could match him - which is a clear indicator that Nynaeve is much stronger than Elayne/Egwene. Moiraine's opinion in the last quote is also very specific.
Later in the series Egwene states... ACoS (The Figurehead) - Moghedien has a good reason to dislike her, very personally, and the only sister who could match one of the Forsaken alone, when she could channel at all, was in Ebou Dar. Moghedien could have killed Egwene without anyone noticing …
We also know from Moghedien in ACoS (Mindtrap), that Moghedien was considered to be too weak to be noticed by very strong opponents in the War of Power, until she killed them. This is more than confirmed by Nynaeve's ability to match her in strength as early as TSR, and Egwene's own personal opinion on her relative strength to Moghedien's. We also know from Graendal that Cyndane is 'so much stronger' than Moghedien.
Detractors of Nynaeve's strength refer to her inability to shield Elayne in ACoS (Swoven Night). However, I consider this to be a failure of evidence on many levels...
- Nynaeve has shielded much stronger opponents while they held their maximum.
- Nynaeve lashed out with a reflex and wasn't concentrating.
- The chance that Elayne was holding all her potential at that stage to weave an illusion is not high, which is proof of Nynaeve's massive failure rather than her inability to do this task.
In TFoH, Egwene told Rand that he is probably stronger than she and Aviendha combined, although none of the channelers had reached their potential, it shows that Egwene's strength is not neglible compared to Rand's, if she combines it with her friend. It's paralleled to Egwene's comment that she wouldn't like to face the Forsaken males even if linked with Romanda and Lelaine. In KoD Egwene estimates that she could overcome five Sisters who were not holding the Power, but once they did hold it, she would have no chance.
Cadsuane
Cadsuane is the strongest Sister in the Tower. However, her strength probably isn't all that great. Initially it seems that she is very strong, with an introductory quote of...
ACoS (Diamonds and Stars) - Once Cadsuane Melaidhrin had been the standard by which every new entry into the novice books was judged. Until Elayne Trakand, none had come to the White Tower in her lifetime who could match that standard, much less surpass it…”
and...
NS (An Arrival) - A number of women were stronger than she [Moiraine], but only one [Cadsuane] could be as much stronger as this one… “Meilyn is considerably older. When she and I are gone, that leaves Kerene the strongest… From Kerene, it’s a sharp drop to the next five. Five once this child and the Sanche girl reach their potential.”
However, it seems that this sharp drop from Kerene to Moiraine isn't too great...
ACoS (Diamonds and Stars) - The woman did not stand that far above her [Merana]. Not really. Just higher than any other sister.
We also know from the cleansing of saidin that Cadsuane was drawing more saidar than Elza and Merise combined, and this made Elza believe that Cadsuane was using an angreal, which she was. This indicates that Cadsuane is probably weaker than two combined Aes Sedai. In contrast, we have a quote from Aviendha in TFOH which already states that Egwene is strong enough in saidar to overwhelm both Amys and Melaine together. Amys is as strong as Moiraine in one quote and as strong as Sheriam in another. Melaine has less strength. This already implies that Egwene is very much stronger than Cadsuane. Once again, I don't believe that Cadsuane's strength is greater than 30 compared to Egwene/Elayne's strength of 50.
I haven't included everything because I think it can be added if debates do occur, but overall, my strength tree for these females is...
- Nynaeve - 85 (percent of maximum, al'Thor at 100)
- Egwene/Elayne - 50
- Cadsuane - 30
Other numbers...
- Lanfear - 95 - 100
- Cyndane - 95
- Graendal - 90
- Semirhage - 80
- Mesaana - 75
- Moghedien - 60
- Bode - 45
- Moiraine - 25
- Aes Sedai - 15-25
How strong is Nynaeve compared to her friends, and how strong are they compared to Cadsuane, the strongest woman in the Tower?
Nynaeve
It's always been difficult to put a value on Nynaeve's strength, especially because she's been growing in power, had a block for a large part of the series, and is generally self-effacing. We've also had examples of channelers who are definitely stronger than her, in the form of Alivia and Sharina.
What's clear from Brandon's answers on Nynaeve is that is close to as strong as is possible in saidar. There are only six women who are of greater strength, and although this may span more than one level above her, she is very high up indeed. RJ pretty much equated the highest male and female in power, and therefore Lanfear is comparable to Lews Therin to some degree, if not exactly. For this reason, it's fair to extrapolate that Nynaeve is not too much weaker than Rand in the Power. IMO she's not too close to him either. Alivia is said to be considerably stronger than Nynaeve in strength in WH. Furthermore, Lanfear in a weakened state in the form of Cyndane still exceeds Graendal in strength, and that is a strong pointer to the fact that some greater levels do exist above Nynaeve, if Graendal was indeed one of the stronger women among the Forsaken. We also know from WH (Ideas of Importance) that the Seafolk made a circle of six to beat Nynaeve down if her anger got the better of her after they humiliated her. It's a strong parallel to six women's inability to overwhelm Rand, showing that he's that extra step higher. We also know that two failed against Nynaeve, and that Liandrin thought three could take on Moghedien.
For this reason, Nynaeve is probably 80-90% as strong as Rand - say 85%. You'd probably find Lanfear close to Rand, or slightly weaker, Cyndane at 95%, and Graendal at 90%, with Semirhage and Mesaana at 80-85%.
Egwene, Elayne, Aviendha
I've always believed that they were much weaker than Nynaeve in strength. According to RJ, they are a level below Nynaeve. I'd estimate their power to be about half that of Rand's, or 50%.
Compared to Nynaeve we have the following quotes...
TFOH (Ripped Away) - The amount of saidar that Nynaeve had drawn into herself was amazing.
TSR (Playing with Fire) - With so many exclaiming over their strength – everyone said she and Elayne would be among the strongest Aes Sedai, if not the strongest, in a thousand years or more – she had just assumed they were as strong as he. Near to it, at least. She had just been rudely disabused. Perhaps Nynaeve could come close if she was angry enough…
TGH (Summoned) - … Nynaeve was the Wisdom in their village … Once she gains conscious control of what she does without knowing, she will be as strong as any in Tar Valon. With training, she will shine like a bonfire beside the candles of Egwene and Elayne.
The first quote shows Elayne's surprise at Nynaeve's strength. The second is Egwene's fear of Rand's strength and her thoughts that maybe Nynaeve could match him - which is a clear indicator that Nynaeve is much stronger than Elayne/Egwene. Moiraine's opinion in the last quote is also very specific.
Later in the series Egwene states... ACoS (The Figurehead) - Moghedien has a good reason to dislike her, very personally, and the only sister who could match one of the Forsaken alone, when she could channel at all, was in Ebou Dar. Moghedien could have killed Egwene without anyone noticing …
We also know from Moghedien in ACoS (Mindtrap), that Moghedien was considered to be too weak to be noticed by very strong opponents in the War of Power, until she killed them. This is more than confirmed by Nynaeve's ability to match her in strength as early as TSR, and Egwene's own personal opinion on her relative strength to Moghedien's. We also know from Graendal that Cyndane is 'so much stronger' than Moghedien.
Detractors of Nynaeve's strength refer to her inability to shield Elayne in ACoS (Swoven Night). However, I consider this to be a failure of evidence on many levels...
- Nynaeve has shielded much stronger opponents while they held their maximum.
- Nynaeve lashed out with a reflex and wasn't concentrating.
- The chance that Elayne was holding all her potential at that stage to weave an illusion is not high, which is proof of Nynaeve's massive failure rather than her inability to do this task.
In TFoH, Egwene told Rand that he is probably stronger than she and Aviendha combined, although none of the channelers had reached their potential, it shows that Egwene's strength is not neglible compared to Rand's, if she combines it with her friend. It's paralleled to Egwene's comment that she wouldn't like to face the Forsaken males even if linked with Romanda and Lelaine. In KoD Egwene estimates that she could overcome five Sisters who were not holding the Power, but once they did hold it, she would have no chance.
Cadsuane
Cadsuane is the strongest Sister in the Tower. However, her strength probably isn't all that great. Initially it seems that she is very strong, with an introductory quote of...
ACoS (Diamonds and Stars) - Once Cadsuane Melaidhrin had been the standard by which every new entry into the novice books was judged. Until Elayne Trakand, none had come to the White Tower in her lifetime who could match that standard, much less surpass it…”
and...
NS (An Arrival) - A number of women were stronger than she [Moiraine], but only one [Cadsuane] could be as much stronger as this one… “Meilyn is considerably older. When she and I are gone, that leaves Kerene the strongest… From Kerene, it’s a sharp drop to the next five. Five once this child and the Sanche girl reach their potential.”
However, it seems that this sharp drop from Kerene to Moiraine isn't too great...
ACoS (Diamonds and Stars) - The woman did not stand that far above her [Merana]. Not really. Just higher than any other sister.
We also know from the cleansing of saidin that Cadsuane was drawing more saidar than Elza and Merise combined, and this made Elza believe that Cadsuane was using an angreal, which she was. This indicates that Cadsuane is probably weaker than two combined Aes Sedai. In contrast, we have a quote from Aviendha in TFOH which already states that Egwene is strong enough in saidar to overwhelm both Amys and Melaine together. Amys is as strong as Moiraine in one quote and as strong as Sheriam in another. Melaine has less strength. This already implies that Egwene is very much stronger than Cadsuane. Once again, I don't believe that Cadsuane's strength is greater than 30 compared to Egwene/Elayne's strength of 50.
I haven't included everything because I think it can be added if debates do occur, but overall, my strength tree for these females is...
- Nynaeve - 85 (percent of maximum, al'Thor at 100)
- Egwene/Elayne - 50
- Cadsuane - 30
Other numbers...
- Lanfear - 95 - 100
- Cyndane - 95
- Graendal - 90
- Semirhage - 80
- Mesaana - 75
- Moghedien - 60
- Bode - 45
- Moiraine - 25
- Aes Sedai - 15-25
I take it that when you're comparing the likes of Egwene and Aviendha to Rand, you are comparing their effective strengths, in other words, what they can accomplish with the Power compared to what Rand can accomplish. Effectively balancing out the males' greater strength with the females' greater dexterity.
That would partly account for the incredibly high placing you assign to the women compared to Rand. Partly, but not completely.
Lews Therin states that no three women could shield him unless they were as strong as Semirhage or Mesaana. It is generally estimated that you have to exceed someone's strength by about 50% to comfortably shield him if he is already holding the Power. If you exceed his strength by less than that, you can still shield him, but it just grows progressively more difficult until it eventually becomes impossible.
That means that two average Forsaken females cannot shield Lews Therin. Therefore the effective combined strength of Semirhage and Mesaana together cannot be close to 50% greater than Lews Therin's strength. If their combined effective strength even approximated 150, they'd still have a chance of shielding Lews Therin, they just wouldn't succeed every time. So I would say that a combined effective strength of around 120-130 is the maximum range for Lews Therin to be so confident in his prediction.
Now I'm unsure how much to take away for the linking loss, as there is the argument of added precision which has been demonstrated by circles, but let's say you lose 10% of the strength of a circle due to linking. That means that Semirhage and Mesaana together cannot be more than 140 in strength. Putting them at about 70% of Rand's strength - in EFFECTIVE STRENGTH terms. That means they are probably around half as strong as Rand in the volume of the Power they can draw, but their added dexterity brings them up to about 70% of his strength. Or rather 75% for Semirhage and say 65% for Mesaana.
And according to Sanderson, Semirhage and Nynaeve are VERY close in strength. So close that he wasn't 100% sure that Nynaeve was the stronger. It sounds a lot like the Nynaeve/Talaan situation in terms of their closeness.
This would also allow for the necessary levels above Nynaeve for Cyndane, Graendal, Alivia, Sharina and Lanfear to fit in.
So I'd put Nynaeve at 75% of Rand's effective strength, Graendal at 80%, Cyndane at 85%, Alivia at 90% and Lanfear at 95%.
Therefore, my list would look as follows - in EFFECTIVE strength terms:
100 -Rand
95 - Lanfear
90 - Alivia
85 - Cyndane
80 - Graendal
75 - Nynaeve, Semirhage
70 - Mesaana
55-60 -Moghedien
And since Moghedien is considerably stronger than Egwene, I'd put Egwene at about 40-45. This would also make sense for another reason, as a strong Aes Sedai is at about 25, an average Aes Sedai at 20 and a weak Aes Sedai at about 15.
So Amys at 25 and Melaine at 20, together, would equal Egwene, as stated by Amys in FoH or tSR.
Remember that all of these are EFFECTIVE strengths, so in terms of sheer volumes of the Power, the women would be far lower on a combined gender scale, if Rand = 100.
This message last edited by Shannow on 17/12/2009 at 04:34:12 PM
The relative strength in the Power of Nynaeve vs Cadsuane vs Egwene/Elayne/Aviendha
17/12/2009 03:32:03 PM
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I assume you're referring to EFFECTIVE strength here...
17/12/2009 04:27:53 PM
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Re: I assume you're referring to EFFECTIVE strength here...
17/12/2009 05:05:18 PM
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Re: The relative strength in the Power of Nynaeve vs Cadsuane vs Egwene/Elayne/Aviendha
17/12/2009 04:52:56 PM
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Alivia's rings and chains angreal multiplies strength by 4 times or more...
17/12/2009 04:57:17 PM
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Re: Alivia's rings and chains angreal multiplies strength by 4 times or more...
17/12/2009 06:07:39 PM
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Moiraine at 45 strength is way too high. She can't be that high. *NM*
17/12/2009 07:44:50 PM
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why?
17/12/2009 07:57:37 PM
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Re: why?
17/12/2009 08:11:13 PM
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I don't think there is one scale you can put both men and women on is the point
17/12/2009 08:21:21 PM
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and yet RJ does
17/12/2009 08:27:39 PM
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Re: and yet RJ does
17/12/2009 09:49:20 PM
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Re: and yet RJ does
18/12/2009 04:20:16 AM
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No more liberty than you are taking assuming only a woman like Graendal could do it!
18/12/2009 05:08:04 PM
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Re: No more liberty than you are taking assuming only a woman like Graendal could do it!
19/12/2009 11:53:24 AM
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Re: No more liberty than you are taking assuming only a woman like Graendal could do it!
19/12/2009 05:12:47 PM
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Re: The relative strength in the Power of Nynaeve vs Cadsuane vs Egwene/Elayne/Aviendha
17/12/2009 05:07:28 PM
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Re: The relative strength in the Power of Nynaeve vs Cadsuane vs Egwene/Elayne/Aviendha
17/12/2009 06:24:12 PM
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Let's work with your figures...
17/12/2009 06:45:46 PM
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Re: Let's work with your figures...
17/12/2009 07:16:49 PM
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You have a good point about Daigian and Semirhage. That may have been a BS mistake. *NM*
17/12/2009 07:50:25 PM
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Re: You have a good point about Daigian and Semirhage. That may have been a BS mistake.
17/12/2009 07:59:13 PM
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Re: You have a good point about Daigian and Semirhage. That may have been a BS mistake.
17/12/2009 08:14:01 PM
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Re: two women holding Nynaeve
17/12/2009 08:17:10 PM
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Re: two women holding Nynaeve
17/12/2009 08:19:34 PM
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I personally think Nynaeve gained strength slower than most because of her block.
17/12/2009 08:30:44 PM
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but we know as late as WH that she has not reached her full potential
17/12/2009 09:50:12 PM
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What? Where? *NM*
18/12/2009 04:22:36 AM
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I'll have to dig up the quote, apologies but I'm at work and don't have the books
18/12/2009 05:00:20 PM
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Gateway theory refutes this. The size of gateway is relevant to strength
17/12/2009 07:46:55 PM
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Re: Gateway theory refutes this. The size of gateway is relevant to strength
17/12/2009 07:55:38 PM
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What do you think of the gap between Moghedien and Semirhage in relation to
17/12/2009 05:40:41 PM
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It means even Moghedien is vastly stronger than the average modern Aes Sedai...
17/12/2009 05:48:09 PM
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Re: What do you think of the gap between Moghedien and Semirhage in relation to
17/12/2009 08:15:58 PM
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Re: The relative strength in the Power of Nynaeve vs Cadsuane vs Egwene/Elayne/Aviendha
17/12/2009 06:47:23 PM
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Except tthat Egwene herself says she has no chance against Moghedien...
17/12/2009 06:53:18 PM
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Re: Except tthat Egwene herself says she has no chance against Moghedien...
17/12/2009 07:26:55 PM
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uhm.... yes she knows
17/12/2009 08:04:08 PM
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Re: Except tthat Egwene herself says she has no chance against Moghedien...
17/12/2009 07:28:00 PM
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Re: Except tthat Egwene herself says she has no chance against Moghedien...
17/12/2009 08:23:01 PM
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Ishamael told her that she would never be strong enough to face him
17/12/2009 09:52:47 PM
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And Ishamael was killed be a shepherd and Bel'al balefired by a "weak" Aes Sedai.
17/12/2009 10:33:41 PM
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How can we be certain Egwene was at full strength when she said that?
17/12/2009 07:58:39 PM
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Elayne says Egwene was at her full strength in TSR, and thus was stronger than she currently was.
17/12/2009 10:25:31 PM
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Elayne says Egwene was forced and was thus currently stronger
17/12/2009 10:51:28 PM
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Definitely TSR, because I re-read that book constantly - will try to find the section!
17/12/2009 11:23:20 PM
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Re: Definitely TSR, because I re-read that book constantly - will try to find the section!
17/12/2009 11:25:31 PM
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Didn't the glossary say that Cadsuane was not far behind Eg/El? *NM*
17/12/2009 08:05:32 PM
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This thread has achieved absolutely nothing. When people don't accept quotes, what's the use...
17/12/2009 10:22:45 PM
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But you ignore RJ's own quotes... who're you to talk?
17/12/2009 11:13:40 PM
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I think they are secretly just trying to make Lanfear appear that much stronger *NM*
17/12/2009 11:17:38 PM
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You also forget something.
17/12/2009 11:36:50 PM
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That has nothing to do with what I said...
18/12/2009 12:21:06 AM
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Re: That has nothing to do with what I said...
18/12/2009 01:28:53 PM
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Dude, prove it in a random sample, not in a skewed sample like "women who want to be Aes Sedai".
18/12/2009 05:43:22 PM
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Show me a random sample in the series that we can use *NM*
18/12/2009 06:45:08 PM
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I cannot. That's the point...
18/12/2009 08:33:38 PM
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The One Power Bell Curve's average strength is not 50, it is more like 15...
17/12/2009 11:41:48 PM
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In a Bell curve, mean=median=mode. I suppose that is untrue now?
18/12/2009 12:37:47 AM
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Re: In a Bell curve, mean=median=mode. I suppose that is untrue now?
18/12/2009 12:47:52 AM
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What do you mean, relative scale?
18/12/2009 12:53:29 AM
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OK, I have no interest in OP Strength, but you comments about statistics and bell curve got me
18/12/2009 12:20:27 AM
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1 to 100 works perfectly well as a range...
18/12/2009 12:47:44 AM
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Here is an example with an absolute scale, converted to relative
18/12/2009 01:03:38 AM
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The Tower is not the whole range of channeler population!
18/12/2009 01:28:38 AM
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Re: The Tower is not the whole range of channeler population!
18/12/2009 02:03:00 AM
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Re: The Tower is not the whole range of channeler population!
18/12/2009 03:16:25 AM
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You're right, and that proves my point - here are the calculations and the evidence...
18/12/2009 07:51:26 AM
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Dude, read up on some statistics, then we'll continue this debate...
18/12/2009 06:05:26 PM
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Explain one thing to me...
18/12/2009 10:40:00 PM
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Who said she's stronger than two very strong AS? Silviana can shield her alone! *NM*
18/12/2009 11:01:01 PM
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Aviendha said so in FoH. It is a direct quote.
18/12/2009 11:04:21 PM
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which is also suspect
19/12/2009 12:04:14 AM
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OK, the Tower AS don't fall into a bell-curve, then.
18/12/2009 10:34:16 PM
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Re: But you ignore RJ's own quotes... who're you to talk?
18/12/2009 04:31:53 AM
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Re: But you ignore RJ's own quotes... who're you to talk?
18/12/2009 04:42:33 AM
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I've discussed this before...
18/12/2009 01:06:07 AM
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Re: I've discussed this before...
18/12/2009 04:37:30 AM
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Re: I've discussed this before...
18/12/2009 04:58:48 AM
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Egwene + Lelaine + Romanda is weaker than one male Forsaken...according to Egwene herself...
18/12/2009 07:02:28 AM
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Why are you entertaining this?
18/12/2009 01:19:25 PM
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The other poster showed no proof that RJ's math was wrong. Read what he said again! *NM*
18/12/2009 06:09:49 PM
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Verin's circle matched Granedal dude. And average strength does not mean great strength.
18/12/2009 06:07:51 PM
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Re: Egwene + Lelaine + Romanda is weaker than one male Forsaken...according to Egwene herself...
19/12/2009 12:46:18 AM
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I can't imagine it being about skill
19/12/2009 12:06:42 PM
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of course it's about skill
19/12/2009 05:22:45 PM
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Not it isn't!
19/12/2009 05:52:02 PM
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If she was only thinking about strength why then didn't she have a plan to add Sheriam
19/12/2009 07:09:08 PM
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