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I didn't try hard at all; Demandred found me... Mik Send a noteboard - 06/11/2012 03:31:41 PM
I didn't try hard at all; Demandred found me...I just went looking for a group where no Forsaken was hiding. *shrugs*
I thought of the Sea Folk. Their position matched with the best hint we were given about Demandreds whereabouts (Sammael's thoughts). I then looked for the best place among them for a 'secure rule' and found the Master of the BLades (the "Asha'm'hael" ..LOL)
Not hard at all. Easy actually.

We have two sets of paramaters set by Jordan.

First by the mid to late series he answered a question about it that we could figure out who both Demandred and Mesaana were hidden as.
Fine by me. We could have figured it out during ACoS, I think. Maybe even with just the info from LoC.

We know from the few clues about Danelle that he was telling the truth. We could get lucky, spot the clues and figure it out. It didn't rest on solid facts, but we could still suspect it was Danelle based on flimsy clues and turn out to be right.

The same must be true for Demandred.

I don’t see anything that should harm my position/ theory; the same is true for Demandred

That rules out Amel, who was never mentionned before KOD.

That doesn’t rule out Amel at all. First mention was in LoC, chapter 5 actually. That we didn’t have a name doesn’t mean anything. It was enough to know he was ‘Swordmaser to Zaida’. *shrugs*

And he rose to prominence following a series of events Demandred could not possibly control.

The previous Mistress of the Ships and her Swordmaster / Master of the Blades was killed by a force that we know for a fact was influenced heavilly by the Shadow through both Ishamael and Semirhage. We know Semirhage was part of Demandreds alliance.
Getting current owner of coveted position killed; easy (and making mortal enemies of the Seanchan and Altarans as a bonus!)

Harine was brought to Tear instead of Illian by Verin, a know Darkfriend who we know recieved orders from Mesaana atleast twice, that coincidently is also part of Demandreds little alliance. Both the killing of the Mistress of the Ships and the detour for Harine –one of the Twelve to unanimously choose a new Mistress of the Ships- gave Demandred his coveted position opened up and the time needed to arrange for Zaida to be picked as the new Mistress.
Getting enough time to ensure Zaida will be picked over contenders; easypeasy. As I’ve already explained in the theory.

A lot of your "suspicious" stuff about Zaida isn't suspicious at all, you just overlook politics.

No, I don’t. RJ used those politics as a cover for keeping Demandred’s position hidden.


Had Mat seen Harine, she would have looked as acting just as weirdly as he found Zaida to be acting strangely. It's not any deep mystery: women of Zaida and Harine's rank are almost never seen. They're the next thing to the Mistress of Ships. It was unique that they lead embassies on the land, and the reason for this exceptional event was plain and simple, they were the embassies to the Coramoor...

Sure, sure. But still.
Harine travelled on a ship of her Clan. To the Atha'an Miere, a ship is the most important member of their clan and crew.
Zaida left clan and ship behind. Harine stayed on her ship to await negatiations with the Coramoor. Zaida refused (and probably broke Atha'an Miere protocol) an invitation to stay in the Royal Palace and instead choose to stay in an Inn (!) for months!
Zaida’s behaviour is the total opposite of what can be expected of the Atha'an Miere, whereas Harine behaves as can be expected of the Atha'an Miere, given the circumstances.

You overlooked the political contest between Zaida and Harine. Both had to be the one succeeding at making a Bargain with Rand. Harine won, but her Bargain was very onerous and Zaida got the advantage of learning earlier about the death of the MoS and to play all this against Harine. It's as simple as that.

For starters, it’s odd that two embassies were send in the first place. I don’t think I overlooked politics at all. I think you just overlooked the possibility of Forsaken meddling in affairs of the Sea Folk; a people with their own version of the prophesies and with a strict hierachy. Key-factors for easy meddling in affairs as we can see with both the Aiel & the Seanchan.

The Sea Folk have no real army.

Are you kidding me? Back in TSR, we read of a Sea Folk ship (The Wavedancer) going toe to toe with a Seanchan ship when the Sea Folk vessel was attacked and the Sea Folk won that battle even though the Seanchan surprised the Sea Folk with the attack! The so called ‘Ever Victorious Army’ was beaten by the crew of the Sea Folk ship who defeated the Seanchan in hand to hand combat and the Windfinder who won the battle against the Damane, sinking the Seanchan ship! How’s that for ‘having no army?’

They never needed one, their islands are almost unreachable except for their own ships, and if attacked at sea or at home, they can fall back on Windfinders and leave no survivors to tell the tale...

I agree that the Windfinders are an army in and by themselves. :-)

When organized military faced them, they were fairly easily defeated. They lost an island to the Seanchan, and at Ebou Dar they did damage by surprise but the damane got the upper hand pretty fast.

You overlook the influence of three Forsaken who have a hand in the positions and dealings of both the Sea Folk fleet and the Seanchan fleet. A good general like Demandred meddling in both (one direct, the other through Semi / Ishy), would esnure victory for the side that was decided by Demandred up front. That ‘upper hand’ you mention the Seanchan ‘gaining’, is because what happened was –rightfully called- the Sea Folk ‘Escape’. *shrugs*
You fail to mention that the only relatively fair battle (in numbers of different troop types involved) we can be sure was evenly matched between Atha'an Miere and Seanchan was won by the first where the latter drew first blood.

The husband of a captain (by whatever name) is in charge of Trade and protecting the goods and the traders.

Thats all true, but NOT when ‘the blades are bare’. The Cargomaster / Swordmaster / Master of the Blades outranks the Shipmistress / Wavemistress / Mistress of the Ships then. You think ‘Swordmaster’ and ‘Master of the Blades’ are referrals to how good they manage to trade?

Demandreds ‘rule is secure’ because he (and the world) gathers for war. That’s RJ’s humor for you, right there. Graendal just doesn’t see it and she even ponders how she would ‘trade’ all her knowledge of the other Chosen to find out where Demandred is hiding. That, Dom, is priceless, right there.

What you call "an army" is more akin to merchant's guards.

What’s in a name, Dom? What you call ‘merchant guards’ kicked Ever Victurious Army buttocks in TSR. Fact.
Whatever you say Dom, the Sea Folk are ammased in ports that are hardly defended, because everyone –readers included- think the threat comes from elsewhere. The Sea Folk have channelers and thousands of men and women gathered. The Sea Folk, in those numbers and with channelers to boot pack a mighty punch.
And through their strict hierarchy and culture they will punch where the Master of the Blades points in times of war.

He has not authority whatsoever over the Windfinders, who are strictly under the female hierarchy.

Sure he does! At the only times when it actually matters to Demandred; when there’s a war to be fought! Simple.

It's not enough for Demandred to "have an army". He needs a way to either turn it against the Light (fat chance of that with the likes of SF, Aiel etc.) or use them in a proxy war.

I hope you did read the part of the theory that explained how Sea Folk culture is based on ‘instant obedience’ and how they ‘stick strictly to their hierarchy’. I didn’t write that; RJ did. And as we could have read, all it took Asmodean was one overambitious wannabee clan chief and two tattoos to have a whole clan run rampage through several books. With a bit of manipulation and wrong interpretation of prophesy (wich we know the Sea Folk have for their Coramoor), the Sea Folk will leap to obey their Master of the Blades wishes. All Demandred has to do, is unsheathe his blade.

Aside from the Seanchan, the Sea Folk have no enemies, and they're proven not to be any match to the damane, so what would be the point?

As we have already seen, tweaked or misinterpreted prophesy goes a long, long way…so as far as enemies go..I guess either Ishamael or Demandred are smart enough to influence events to their liking. At least for vital first few hours of when Demandred decides to play his ace. RAFO on the point and how big a ‘match’ they are to the Damane. Demandred doesn’t need the Sea Folk to win the Last Battle for him. He needs them to start battles where no one expects attack.

The other point is that Amel, if not by name, has showed up on screen in that scene where Mat saw him. Jordan said we never saw Demandred in disguise on screen (that was valid up to KOD). Brandon confirmed we haven't seen him in TGS/TOM either.

You’re wrong. Mat didn’t see the Swordmaster, nor Zaida. He saw –by seeing their parasols- that a Wavemistress and her Swordmaster had to be present in the ‘cluster of people’ and the ‘sea folk arrivals’. Mat never saw Amel. He saw that Amel had to be present by seeing an object that indicated his presence. The odd part is; we never get to see him again.
We only see Demandred in T’a’r 4 chapters later in the Royal Palace. Hint hint!
There are few, very few characters fitting the criteria, and the only one who makes sense among them is Roedran.

Amel fits. And yes, I figured it had to be Roedran too before I went looking for Demandred myself after that Timolan thread over @ D’mount.
I've fought against the idea for years but have given up.
You gave up too soon, I’d say. ;)

The clues are slightly better than those for Danelle, but they are there. Toward ACOS (or POD?), reports that Roedran had changed and was becoming clever showed up. He's developped an interest for old war treatises (that's Demandred learning all he can about third age tactics...).
No need to re-hash Roedran thoeries. Like I said; he’s still a possibility. And ever since I started looking the other way around for Demandred by searching for groups without obvious Forsaken meddling and thought ‘Why is there no Forsaken among the Sea Folk?’ now so is Amel I think.
Cheers,
Mik
Mik ~ Ishamaels halfmad 'brother'

Death dances in my footsteps....
This message last edited by Mik on 06/11/2012 at 03:41:42 PM
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[Mik's Warp] - Demandred is.....*click to find out* - 05/11/2012 01:06:42 PM 2751 Views
There are only 2 months left before AMOL comes out (or less)... - 05/11/2012 02:10:07 PM 1307 Views
Nah.. forget that - 05/11/2012 08:29:53 PM 1152 Views
Re: Nah.. forget that - 05/11/2012 10:07:46 PM 1007 Views
Re: There are only 2 months left before AMOL comes out (or less)... - 06/11/2012 12:40:54 PM 1195 Views
I'm not saying it's not a well-reasoned theory; it is. - 06/11/2012 06:02:36 PM 1208 Views
I say Roederan is a better choice simply because of where he is located - 06/11/2012 11:01:28 PM 1106 Views
Re: I say Roederan is a better choice simply because of where he is located - 07/11/2012 09:42:00 AM 1363 Views
I applaud your effort, but to be honest I just can't see it - 07/11/2012 04:48:17 PM 979 Views
Re: I applaud your effort, but to be honest I just can't see it - 07/11/2012 08:36:34 PM 1236 Views
There has been a lot of waste in WOT..... - 06/11/2012 06:26:56 PM 926 Views
LIKE! *NM* - 09/12/2012 02:37:49 PM 1036 Views
Whoops *NM* - 06/11/2012 07:27:06 PM 562 Views
Plausible, albeit antilclimactic *NM* - 05/11/2012 06:32:38 PM 614 Views
Unless Mat is Demandred, at this point it will be anticlimactic. *NM* - 06/11/2012 04:02:38 AM 572 Views
That would be EPIC *NM* - 06/11/2012 07:53:30 PM 578 Views
That would be EPIC *NM* - 06/11/2012 07:53:31 PM 574 Views
You've tried too hard... - 05/11/2012 07:53:41 PM 2819 Views
Will be so disappointed if the Shadow's greatest (non-crazy) leader is defeated by Mr Happy Go Lucky - 05/11/2012 08:57:59 PM 1148 Views
I doubt Mat will kill him personally but - 05/11/2012 09:24:48 PM 902 Views
I don't know - 06/11/2012 02:01:41 AM 912 Views
My prediction of how it plays out... - 06/11/2012 07:12:15 AM 1010 Views
I don't think that's likely - 06/11/2012 06:04:55 PM 969 Views
LOL ... it will be a saying in the next Age - 06/11/2012 10:36:04 PM 908 Views
Re: I don't think that's likely - 06/11/2012 11:21:21 PM 907 Views
Re: I don't think that's likely - 07/11/2012 08:14:28 PM 1035 Views
Re: I don't think that's likely - 07/11/2012 09:05:07 PM 1138 Views
Re: I don't think that's likely - 08/11/2012 05:52:16 PM 952 Views
It sounds like we're at the same stage of vision of the AOL - 08/11/2012 07:48:17 PM 907 Views
Statistics refute some of that... - 09/11/2012 07:35:59 AM 918 Views
We're not talking about the same things... - 09/11/2012 11:31:12 PM 901 Views
It doesn't mean no one in this Age can be at Talented or Intelligent. - 09/11/2012 11:43:26 PM 1096 Views
Re: It doesn't mean no one in this Age can be at Talented or Intelligent. - 10/11/2012 07:34:34 AM 1011 Views
You seriously believe that? - 10/11/2012 04:17:09 PM 941 Views
Mat has grown quiet a bit since those days - 06/11/2012 01:55:48 AM 1068 Views
You're putting the Evil on a pedestal. - 06/11/2012 03:12:38 AM 833 Views
No, just desperately trying to raise the stakes a bit... - 06/11/2012 07:00:59 AM 981 Views
That's essentially what I was saying - 06/11/2012 03:35:45 PM 1101 Views
hmmm - 06/11/2012 10:27:00 AM 1235 Views
... is defeated by Mr Happy Go Lucky - 06/11/2012 08:45:02 PM 1060 Views
Mat is essentially the man (men) who wrote the books Demandred studied - 06/11/2012 10:42:40 PM 889 Views
Exactly... - 06/11/2012 11:45:36 PM 1057 Views
... is defeated by Mr Happy Go Lucky - 06/11/2012 08:45:29 PM 1101 Views
I didn't try hard at all; Demandred found me... - 06/11/2012 03:31:41 PM 1069 Views
My biggest contention with Demandred being with the Sea Folk - 06/11/2012 10:54:50 PM 1040 Views
Re: My biggest contention with Demandred being with the Sea Folk - 07/11/2012 12:07:02 AM 1090 Views
Well, it instantly gives the Shadow access to attacking every coastal city... - 07/11/2012 10:32:23 AM 964 Views
Exactly! - 07/11/2012 10:54:14 AM 1512 Views
If he married Nynaeve and Moiraine he'd have his wives at Rand's side in the Pit too.... - 07/11/2012 03:28:38 PM 934 Views
I find that approach unnecessarily convoluted. Just hit them with 1 billion Trollocs and crush them. - 08/11/2012 07:00:36 AM 917 Views
Not likely he has that many... - 08/11/2012 03:00:32 PM 851 Views
May I ask some practical questions? - 08/11/2012 05:28:41 PM 856 Views
Re: May I ask some practical questions? - 08/11/2012 10:35:38 PM 993 Views
Re: May I ask some practical questions? - 10/11/2012 12:09:15 AM 924 Views
Re: May I ask some practical questions? - 10/11/2012 03:11:59 AM 931 Views
LOL ... Seems more than a little far fetched *NM* - 10/11/2012 06:17:34 AM 518 Views
Well you asked for an explanation - 13/11/2012 10:23:41 PM 844 Views
fair enough *NM* - 14/11/2012 01:31:52 AM 491 Views
Re: May I ask some practical questions? - 10/11/2012 07:15:58 PM 972 Views
Exactly! - 11/11/2012 07:38:46 AM 974 Views
Good practical questions... - 09/11/2012 07:24:14 AM 971 Views
He doesn't need the SF for that - 09/11/2012 03:00:34 PM 751 Views
Well, they hadn't planned on them being Traveling grounds as they didn't know about - 09/11/2012 02:57:16 PM 805 Views
Re: Well, they hadn't planned on them being Traveling grounds as they didn't know about - 09/11/2012 09:03:14 PM 927 Views
I know. I'm saying they were not doing this with Traveling in mind. - 09/11/2012 11:57:34 PM 897 Views
Re: I know. I'm saying they were not doing this with Traveling in mind. - 10/11/2012 10:08:04 PM 2435 Views
I see what you are getting at ... And I see how Zaida used it to her advantage - 11/11/2012 07:45:19 AM 957 Views
Re: I see what you are getting at ... And I see how Zaida used it to her advantage - 12/11/2012 02:57:08 PM 975 Views
Nesta sent 2 ambassadors to the Coramoor. Both looking for the same thing - 12/11/2012 04:11:50 PM 1005 Views
Re: Nesta sent 2 ambassadors to the Coramoor. Both looking for the same thing - 12/11/2012 06:01:33 PM 1098 Views
Well there is also the fact that Harine pretty much tells us she MUST make a Bargain - 12/11/2012 06:51:24 PM 1123 Views
Re: Well there is also the fact that Harine pretty much tells us she MUST make a Bargain - 12/11/2012 09:30:57 PM 923 Views
Not to belabor the point - 12/11/2012 10:56:39 PM 874 Views
Re: Not to belabor the point - 13/11/2012 12:46:21 AM 833 Views
I think you are way off base on the economics - 13/11/2012 01:24:35 AM 802 Views
Re: I think you are way off base on the economics - 13/11/2012 03:48:40 PM 925 Views
no reason to *NM* - 14/11/2012 01:35:55 AM 509 Views
I don't see the problem... - 07/11/2012 10:52:49 AM 1643 Views
This is preposterous - 07/11/2012 04:15:11 PM 1346 Views
Who? - 06/11/2012 07:29:46 PM 873 Views
Paah, he's clearly on the Isle of Madmen to the south. - 10/11/2012 03:28:26 AM 1295 Views

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