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Re: Well... Shannow Send a noteboard - 27/09/2012 08:17:07 AM

We are expressly told that Moghedien stood no chance against Lanfear.

I think I've completely forgotten, but where is this?
We are expressly told that Cyndane has enough of a strength advantage over Graendal that she immediately notices it. This when Aes Sedai often can't tell who is the stronger channeler if two channelers are very close in strength, other than both channeling as much as they can to measure the difference.

But that means nothing. Graendal would notice anyone even a little stronger than her. She has probably known only a handful of women able to exceed her, and even if none of them exceeded her by all that much, finding a newcomer with that kind of strength would shock her.
We are also told by Graendal that Cyndane is "MUCH" stronger than Moghedien: "Where did the Spider find someone so MUCH stronger than her?"

Yes, but by what metric? If the Foresaken are all clumped together, she could consider a woman at 98 much stronger than a woman at 88. Wouldn't change the fact that Moghedien isn't necessarily far from the others, given what we got from the prologue.
We are also told that Lanfear is sufficiently stronger than Cyndane that the other Forsaken can clearly sense this difference at first glance.

Again... so? Demandred and Rand were close, but differentiable. Same with Taim or Logain and Rand. Nothing says Cyndane isn't the same distance from Lanfear. Everything supports it in fact.
To me, the important thing to remember is that unless you can effortlessly shield another channeler, any encounter will be dangerous, even if you are significantly stronger. Because weak balefire will kill as easily as strong balefire. And someone who is very fast and skilled with Compulsion can probably strike you much more quickly than your more powerful lightning bolt can, even if you exceed their strength significantly.

Shielding isn't a 100% thing anyway. Shields can be misplaced, or not take hold on one go and take hold the next. We've seen both on screen in the books. Shielding isn't the be all and end all.
We have formed a good idea that you probably need to be between 50% and 70% stronger than someone to shield them relatively effortlessly if they are already holding the source. No one claims that Lanfear exceeds Moghedien by that margin.

The number is 50%. I seem to remember us agreeing to a 66% rule, which said that the person you shielded had to be at least weaker than 66% your strength for you to shield them effectively all the time. This is ignoring skill in shielding, of course.
But a situation of Moghedien at 65 and Lanfear at 95-99 is very possible, especially as we are told Moghedien had no hope of ever matching Lanfear in battle.

I really doubt there is this huge gap between Moghedien and Mesaana that no known character fills. RJ's 21 level list has no empty levels, as far as I know.
Moghedien is an extreme outlier, but given the 50% strength advantage rule for shielding other channelers if they're holding the source, a battle between Lanfear at 95 and Graendal at 85 would be very dangerous, especially if Graendal can strike faster with her speciality Compulsion weave than Lanfear can with her 15% more powerful general weaves.

Its more likely to be Lanfear at 100 (exactly why is she 99? RJ said the strongest woman equals the strongest man, and there's good evidence for Lanfear being the strongest woman) and Graendal at around 96, with Cyndane falling in between at around 98.


In the BWB it says that while Moghedien could never hope to match Lanfear's strength in the real world, she was her equal in the Dreamworld.

Seeing as Moghedien absolutely equals Nynaeve when Nynaeve was still blocked and at only her partial strength,

and that a full strength Nynaeve (unblocked and after being forced to her maximum by use of the Choedan Kal) equals an average female Forsaken like Semirhage,

and that Graendal is stronger than Nynaeve,

and that Cyndane is stronger than Graendal,

and that Lanfear is stronger than Cyndane, well, it really should never be in doubt, should it.

Moghedien has no chance against Lanfear.
This message last edited by Shannow on 27/09/2012 at 08:17:56 AM
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AMOL Prologue : Analysis of Forsaken section *major spoilers* - 19/09/2012 05:47:21 PM 3092 Views
You left out that Taim and Demandred have met before. - 19/09/2012 06:19:01 PM 1345 Views
Part of me keeps screaming Logain, though that can't be right... - 20/09/2012 12:14:00 PM 1299 Views
I thought of Logain as well... - 20/09/2012 06:10:58 PM 1173 Views
We have our answer as to why Cyndane and Moiraine are reduced in power. - 20/09/2012 05:14:01 AM 1261 Views
It was spelled out before. - 20/09/2012 05:25:05 AM 1119 Views
And some of us guessed that's what happened, we just didn't have evidence. *NM* - 20/09/2012 12:04:18 PM 656 Views
Nor a lot of support for the idea... - 22/09/2012 06:28:14 PM 1097 Views
Really? Seemed like the obvious series of events - 23/09/2012 02:32:35 PM 1047 Views
I know... - 23/09/2012 05:30:42 PM 1091 Views
I'm not so sure - 24/09/2012 05:32:50 PM 1073 Views
Why question it? - 25/09/2012 01:40:39 AM 969 Views
Re: Why question it? - 25/09/2012 06:12:32 AM 926 Views
Six Chosen... - 20/09/2012 05:19:17 AM 1276 Views
It's fan fiction, but it's cannon fan fiction - 20/09/2012 06:55:18 AM 1241 Views
Demandred - the wasted Forsaken - 20/09/2012 08:14:15 PM 1144 Views
RJ's writing was bad. Sanderson's is far worse. *NM* - 21/09/2012 06:19:04 AM 655 Views
Re: Demandred - the wasted Forsaken - 22/09/2012 07:23:19 PM 1039 Views
Talmanes - 23/09/2012 12:42:27 AM 1449 Views
Re: Talmanes - 02/10/2012 03:27:05 PM 896 Views
Two interesting Forsaken issues you haven't raised - 22/09/2012 06:21:34 PM 1310 Views
Seems to me that Taim himself was behind going to Rand - 23/09/2012 02:53:32 AM 1033 Views
Re: Seems to me that Taim himself was behind going to Rand - 23/09/2012 05:50:48 PM 1044 Views
I think I rebel against this thought process because of the Taimandred Red Herring - 23/09/2012 06:35:19 PM 980 Views
Re: I think I rebel against this thought process because of the Taimandred Red Herring - 23/09/2012 07:46:59 PM 1222 Views
The first time we hear about Transmigration is in LOC - 23/09/2012 08:50:10 PM 1223 Views
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I have to wonder at Hessalam - 23/09/2012 01:20:13 PM 1243 Views
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Re: I have to wonder at Hessalam - 24/09/2012 05:18:29 PM 1471 Views
I don't think she's old. Just really really really ugly! - 25/09/2012 03:22:56 AM 958 Views
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So based on this new info, what is Demandred's big game? Shara or Isle of Madmen back on the table? - 23/09/2012 08:01:03 PM 1051 Views
Re: So based on this new info, what is Demandred's big game? - 23/09/2012 08:52:48 PM 1180 Views
Interesting... - 23/09/2012 09:06:18 PM 1004 Views
Re: Interesting... - 23/09/2012 11:31:31 PM 1200 Views
Just one comment.. - 23/09/2012 11:53:09 PM 1670 Views
If I had to take a guess right now I'd say he has been setting up various Shadow armies thought the - 23/09/2012 09:30:34 PM 992 Views
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All he needed to do was train 10 guys personally.. - 23/09/2012 09:51:46 PM 899 Views
It took Taim nearly a year to train a dozen men to a place where they could teach - 23/09/2012 10:00:40 PM 875 Views
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Direct quote from Demandred refutes this... - 23/09/2012 10:49:10 PM 945 Views
Demanded is much more like Mesaana in his ways - 23/09/2012 10:55:00 PM 974 Views
Re: Demanded is much more like Mesaana in his ways - 23/09/2012 11:36:54 PM 978 Views
Not really - 24/09/2012 12:31:48 AM 1030 Views
"My rule is secure." Could Demandred be ruling an entire Mirror World? - 23/09/2012 10:43:51 PM 1066 Views
I can certainly something like this happening - 23/09/2012 10:50:35 PM 868 Views
I'm not sure it's possible... - 24/09/2012 03:02:26 AM 1007 Views
I think ... - 24/09/2012 05:36:38 PM 986 Views
The changes in Moghedien - 25/09/2012 03:29:15 AM 867 Views
I believe she commented on Graendal's strength, comparing it to Nynaeve or something? - 25/09/2012 11:07:24 PM 1011 Views
Well.. - 25/09/2012 11:15:21 PM 871 Views
Thanks for the quote, but reading that, it kind of implies the opposite, to me... - 25/09/2012 11:35:53 PM 1182 Views
Hmmm.... - 26/09/2012 12:00:33 AM 934 Views
Hehe, that old argument again. - 26/09/2012 12:09:25 AM 825 Views
Yes. - 26/09/2012 12:58:03 AM 817 Views
I agree the Forsaken are all pretty close in effective Strength - 26/09/2012 04:11:16 AM 915 Views
Re: I agree the Forsaken are all pretty close in effective Strength - 26/09/2012 08:53:02 AM 874 Views
Well... - 26/09/2012 09:09:38 AM 836 Views
Re: Well... - 26/09/2012 10:17:03 AM 968 Views
Nice speculation. I like that type of calculation. - 26/09/2012 10:59:43 AM 899 Views
Re: Well... - 27/09/2012 03:12:06 AM 850 Views
Re: Well... - 27/09/2012 08:17:07 AM 844 Views
Re: I agree the Forsaken are all pretty close in effective Strength - 27/09/2012 03:00:04 AM 918 Views
Re: I agree the Forsaken are all pretty close in effective Strength - 27/09/2012 07:23:11 AM 881 Views
Actually...... - 26/09/2012 02:30:00 AM 981 Views
Agree with this.. - 26/09/2012 06:12:34 AM 793 Views
Not sure that's completely true.. - 26/09/2012 06:42:51 AM 857 Views
Re: Not sure that's completely true.. - 26/09/2012 03:02:41 PM 990 Views
This is what I've been saying for years! - 26/09/2012 05:48:01 PM 727 Views
Re: Not sure that's completely true.. - 27/09/2012 03:17:00 AM 874 Views
Probably something like this - 26/09/2012 08:36:40 AM 879 Views
Probably true, but maybe a hint from a Sanderson interview should be considered here... - 26/09/2012 08:56:32 AM 847 Views
Re: Probably true, but maybe a hint from a Sanderson interview should be considered here... - 26/09/2012 10:01:08 AM 799 Views
Graendal almost has to be Stronger than Nynaeve - 26/09/2012 05:57:35 PM 1044 Views
One thing about that... - 27/09/2012 02:58:56 AM 936 Views
Possible, but I find it unlikely - 27/09/2012 06:16:56 AM 832 Views
The reason I think that... - 27/09/2012 06:25:48 AM 876 Views
I always assumed Nynaeve at the top was a list he later revised as he decided to bring in - 27/09/2012 06:39:35 AM 952 Views
Of course that's the correct answer, yes. - 27/09/2012 08:12:45 AM 1019 Views
I wasn't making a Strength comparison ... I was commenting on her lack of cowardice - 26/09/2012 03:45:36 AM 918 Views
Re: I wasn't making a Strength comparison ... I was commenting on her lack of cowardice - 26/09/2012 05:30:36 PM 987 Views
That is the question I was getting at - 26/09/2012 06:00:03 PM 943 Views
Re: That is the question I was getting at - 26/09/2012 07:01:34 PM 965 Views

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