I especially like that you talk about the forced migrations. I think that's something people tend to forget about.

The only thing I would say to this is that I don't think you gave enough credit to the AS diminished capacity. Before Hawkwing AS were a major part of every nation's politics. They were out in the nations and probably had a much more positive reputation than they have today. Cadsuane is a throw back representative as is Moiraine in many ways. AS who are actively a part of society. Both Mat's and Birgitte's memories hint that once AS (and the SF for that matter) were pretty common place in the world. Now there are only a handful of AS that do more than study in TV. Note that more than 50% of all AS were in the Tower when the rebellion broke out!

After 20 years of siege by Hawkwing and little support (even outright aggression) from many nations/nobles the AS organization has become something of a social pariah. This removal of the only source of stability since the Breaking is contributing to humanities downfall.

Andor is the most openly AS friendly nation and is also the most powerful nation on the main continent. The Borderlands are generally AS friendly as are Cairhien, AD, Tarabon and Illian. Tear seems to be the only truly powerful nation that is hostile to AS, but they have other advantages to keep them strong.