So Beet: where you intending to level accusations against Isaac or what? Honestly, what are your thoughts on the matter? Who do you think we should chase after Today?
Honestly? I'm still not sure. I WAS sure (well, 90%) about F-T; I detailed my reasons on Day 1, and I'll mention them at the end of this post.
The problem is that all of the focus is on Issac and me. I've defended myself. With Issac, I don't have nearly the same certainty.
Well, I know one of the reasons you stand out to me is simply because you took a strong stance yesterday. There were so few people who did so, those who do tend to stick in the mind. And of course, there's the potential for evil that goes along with your particular case.
I mentioned on Day 1 that I didn't think Issac was a DF, just because of the massive amounts of text he wrote attacking FT. If Issac was a DF, he'd have known he was setting himself up for suspicion, and probably would have backed off a bit.
Now, Issac's been aggressive towards me today (at least, compared to all of the other players). I find myself in the same dilemma F-T was in: I know I'm innocent, so is this a case of a DF trying to drum up support for a lynch against me, or is it just Issac seizing on one of the few pieces of evidence available, and seeing where it leads?
Annoyingly, I'd have to say Issac seems innocent to me. The rest of you (barring Kronin, I think?) have more or less supported me, or at the least don't seem to find me nearly as suspicious as Issac does. Again, a DF would probably back off, right?
Or it could just be an example of the aggressive playstyle that Issac himself has admitted he uses (hold on... I'll go find the damn quote!).......................................................................................................................................................................................................OK, so I hate the world for hunting through every post to find this stupid thing.
PS I'm not accusing Issac, mostly BECAUSE he's been so dogged in attacking F-T. A DF wouldn't be that blatant, especially on Day 1.
Yes, I would. I hate to say it, but if I don't someone else will. Df or townie, I tend to instigate the majority of Day 1 lynches.
So yeah, the reason I keep mentioning Issac without making a direct accusation is because while it's true he's one of the few things we are ABLE to discuss (along with me, FT, voting records, and the night kills), I don't have enough evidence yay or nay to make a convincing case, even for myself.
We appreciate the quote hunting.
Basically: I Am Open To Ideas. Anyone Have Some?
I guess we ought to see where Fox's accusation against Hieshyn go.
I pretty much agree on this point. I am never EVER sure about anything, and when I am I usually turn out to be wrong. The fact of the matter was that there was no evidence for either side, and both scenarios were just about equally likely.
Actually, since I'm already quoting things, I'll just quote my reasoning from Day 1:
My only main objection is your point saying that a non-random lynch is better than a random lynch. This CAN be true, but isn't always the case. A lynch isn't better simply because it's non-random; a lynch is better because it's non-random and built upon solid logic (or at least solid guesses).
Above, I made a post thinking about F-T's logic. It boiled down to two scenarios:
1) He is a DF, and decided to go from having zero suspicion on him to having major suspicion on him, on Day One. Likely part of an elaborate scheme to preemptively allay suspicion if the cop investigates him.
2) He is a Miller, knew something like this would come up eventually, and decided to do it now, rather than after he'd been investigated.
2 seems much, much more likely to me. It's obviously not working out as well as F-T had hoped, but a similar thing happened to Hopper last game: both had plans they thought would help the town, but instead drew the town's suspicion upon themselves.
Plan 1 requires a long term gambit, flying in the face of accepted DF wisdom, and ignoring the fact that on Day 1, everyone is pretty much equally suspicious- painting a bullseye on your face and telling people its fake doesn't make you less suspicious.
I was basically playing the odds like everyone else, but my rationale was "Which is more likely: A DF exposing himself for no reason, or a Lightsider trying something unorthodox and getting jumped on by nervous villagers?" Add to that the fact that many DFs have alternate abilities that make sacrificing even less attractive, and I felt confident in my choice.
Well, I suppose you were right in the end, but I still think that it was a rather over-confidant assumption. Idk. Both you and Isaac have become Persons of Interest, but we'll see.
Insert theme music here.
Rafo Mafia 4 Day 2 is over.
08/02/2010 06:53:53 PM
- 3410 Views
Well, I guess I'll kick off this discussion
08/02/2010 08:53:49 PM
- 1345 Views
Re: Well, I guess I'll kick off this discussion
08/02/2010 09:28:57 PM
- 1133 Views
Hey, by the way, are you Mafia?
08/02/2010 09:34:46 PM
- 1274 Views
I am not Hopper
08/02/2010 10:37:55 PM
- 1196 Views
Maybe I am AWESOME
08/02/2010 11:19:48 PM
- 1261 Views
A few questions and comments
08/02/2010 09:29:06 PM
- 1225 Views
Re: Well, I guess I'll kick off this discussion
09/02/2010 02:47:03 AM
- 1188 Views
RBIRL ... test tomorrow. Probably not going to post tonight. *NM*
09/02/2010 12:03:38 AM
- 724 Views
You know what?
09/02/2010 01:17:52 AM
- 1153 Views
Re: You know what?
09/02/2010 01:34:42 AM
- 1114 Views
Heh, inorganic chemistry.
09/02/2010 01:57:39 AM
- 1145 Views
Re: Heh, inorganic chemistry.
09/02/2010 02:38:45 AM
- 1155 Views
Re: Heh, inorganic chemistry.
09/02/2010 03:29:32 AM
- 1206 Views
Re: Heh, inorganic chemistry.
09/02/2010 03:36:28 AM
- 1173 Views
Well thanks for the encouragement.
09/02/2010 04:14:50 AM
- 1338 Views
Heh, Mafia: Other than the occasional lynching or assassination, we're one big supportive family.
09/02/2010 04:24:26 AM
- 1152 Views
Hypocop (Table)
09/02/2010 12:59:06 AM
- 1222 Views
I investigated Fox and Ravens and found hi to be for the shadow. *NM*
09/02/2010 04:46:50 AM
- 643 Views
Hmmm,
09/02/2010 06:18:29 AM
- 1141 Views
We didn't lose two of our biggest roles. Also- I wonder if there are more roles?
09/02/2010 06:35:05 AM
- 1065 Views
Re: We didn't lose two of our biggest roles. Also- I wonder if there are more roles?
09/02/2010 07:16:19 AM
- 1166 Views
Huh. Oh boy oh
09/02/2010 06:39:15 AM
- 994 Views
Care to give us your thoughts? *NM*
09/02/2010 07:26:09 AM
- 693 Views
Well, losing Doc and Deputy same night is bound to cause trouble. Especially losing Doc. *NM*
09/02/2010 08:54:49 AM
- 657 Views
I want to throw this out here.
09/02/2010 07:21:04 AM
- 1187 Views
What changed your mind? *NM*
09/02/2010 08:58:09 AM
- 638 Views
Well, I realized I was the one telling everyone to just vote for someone.
09/02/2010 04:56:17 PM
- 1165 Views
Why is everyone assuming we have a SK?
10/02/2010 12:09:47 AM
- 1199 Views
What tips me off is the "melted plastic".
10/02/2010 12:22:56 AM
- 1035 Views
That's so arbitrary, though.
10/02/2010 12:57:09 AM
- 1007 Views
EBWOP: It's probably not a vigilante.
10/02/2010 01:05:57 AM
- 1234 Views
That seems like good reasoning
10/02/2010 01:50:47 AM
- 1169 Views
Re: That seems like good reasoning
10/02/2010 01:58:14 AM
- 1185 Views
That's a vig rule? I did not know that
10/02/2010 08:16:56 PM
- 1169 Views
Well, it's pretty common sense.
10/02/2010 09:09:09 PM
- 1241 Views
I think he might have been referring to vigilante kills being blockable
10/02/2010 09:43:53 PM
- 1086 Views
As the resident expert on vigilantism
10/02/2010 08:04:17 PM
- 1457 Views
Youre the resident expert on vigilantism? *NM*
11/02/2010 11:06:24 PM
- 660 Views
He was a vig once or twice. *NM*
12/02/2010 01:33:57 AM
- 691 Views
Wait, haven't you proposed an arsonist most games. *NM*
10/02/2010 04:37:33 AM
- 638 Views
Because we have a SK *NM*
10/02/2010 05:14:00 AM
- 607 Views
wait a minute
10/02/2010 01:15:32 PM
- 1159 Views
Another thing
10/02/2010 04:42:50 PM
- 1263 Views
F-T, I assume
10/02/2010 05:08:58 PM
- 1092 Views
Probably, might be a hint at an RB but I doubt it *NM*
10/02/2010 06:57:01 PM
- 673 Views
I don't think it could be a RB
10/02/2010 07:47:55 PM
- 1194 Views
We're stalling out a bit
11/02/2010 10:05:09 PM
- 1099 Views
We could talk about my heroic failure to defend the innocent some more? Fine...
12/02/2010 07:12:51 AM
- 1182 Views
You seem engaged in a very active defense so far this game
12/02/2010 09:40:23 PM
- 1340 Views
Yawn...
12/02/2010 11:28:50 PM
- 1298 Views
Re: Yawn...
13/02/2010 12:32:30 AM
- 1263 Views
Re: Yawn...
13/02/2010 01:31:41 AM
- 1187 Views
He's brought up accusations on himself
13/02/2010 02:40:01 AM
- 1296 Views
Alrighty, let's try this again.
14/02/2010 06:38:26 AM
- 1005 Views
Always happy to answer your questions
14/02/2010 07:35:35 AM
- 1022 Views
Thanks for the answers.
15/02/2010 07:29:31 PM
- 1139 Views
On F-T's accusations against you.
14/02/2010 01:54:20 AM
- 1169 Views
Re: On F-T's accusations against you.
14/02/2010 03:43:52 AM
- 1079 Views
That's right, I am the Breaker of Unbroken Records
14/02/2010 05:56:52 AM
- 1159 Views
Actually, quite few of my streaks were broken on that one
14/02/2010 08:43:09 AM
- 1065 Views
I'm in second? Woo!
14/02/2010 02:46:05 PM
- 1140 Views
Yep, welcome to being a lightning rod
14/02/2010 09:10:43 PM
- 1289 Views
I'm not gonna be as targeted as you; I've died a LOT.
14/02/2010 11:17:24 PM
- 1139 Views
Ironically I don't think I've ever killed you
14/02/2010 11:56:03 PM
- 1131 Views
Game 1 I remember.
15/02/2010 12:01:21 AM
- 997 Views
Re: Game 1 I remember.
15/02/2010 12:19:30 AM
- 1356 Views
Three stalled out over the winter holidays and we had to restart.
15/02/2010 01:26:59 AM
- 1304 Views
Actually...
15/02/2010 04:57:50 PM
- 1228 Views
A second line of thought: ranagrande
12/02/2010 07:40:37 AM
- 1397 Views
Vote: Hieshyn
15/02/2010 03:27:04 AM
- 1009 Views
Re: Hieshyn
15/02/2010 12:54:42 PM
- 1277 Views
Well, it's less that discussion is winding down, and more that we don't have any new topics
15/02/2010 05:48:22 PM
- 1033 Views
Well this was unexpected.
15/02/2010 06:07:44 PM
- 1116 Views
Re: Well this was unexpected.
15/02/2010 08:30:57 PM
- 1102 Views
I think he's saying that he's been quiet because he's busy, not a DF
15/02/2010 08:39:53 PM
- 1013 Views
If he was the SK
15/02/2010 07:55:38 PM
- 1233 Views
Game 9 was F-T's Cairhienen Civil War/Succession.
15/02/2010 08:53:03 PM
- 1111 Views
Oh that's right!
15/02/2010 09:03:40 PM
- 1089 Views
Re: Game 9 was F-T's Cairhienen Civil War/Succession.
15/02/2010 11:54:44 PM
- 1181 Views
Lol irony
16/02/2010 12:16:49 AM
- 1136 Views
So, it's just because he hasn't been talking much? That fits a lot of people
15/02/2010 09:31:02 PM
- 1199 Views
OK, I'm glad that vote got some discussion flowing.
16/02/2010 02:58:55 AM
- 1251 Views
Ooo sneaky sneaky
16/02/2010 03:58:37 AM
- 1335 Views
Re: Ooo sneaky sneaky
16/02/2010 04:25:26 AM
- 1155 Views
You know doing this sort of thing can get you lynched
16/02/2010 04:40:23 AM
- 1222 Views
Oh, I know it can.
16/02/2010 05:23:13 AM
- 1171 Views
Re: Oh, I know it can.
16/02/2010 07:00:53 AM
- 1245 Views
It's weird- I've never played Live Mafia, but I imagine it's very different.
16/02/2010 08:58:09 AM
- 1260 Views
I'm still here, I've been busy with studying, and hadn't realized I was gone this long.
16/02/2010 06:50:44 AM
- 1148 Views
Sorry all. Friday thru Monday suddenly got really hectic, I wasn't home much at all.
18/02/2010 01:54:02 AM
- 1147 Views
So, where are we at?
18/02/2010 02:40:32 AM
- 1149 Views
EBWOP: Issac's maybe only a 5.5. No, a 5.7
18/02/2010 06:58:40 AM
- 1185 Views
OK so I apparantly lack the technical know-how to reply to myself
18/02/2010 07:08:36 AM
- 1284 Views
Re: OK so I apparantly lack the technical know-how to reply to myself
18/02/2010 07:54:05 AM
- 1149 Views
Well yeah, all of that is mostly why I haven't been pushing anything
18/02/2010 08:51:14 AM
- 1071 Views
Uggggghhhh...Ok. This post makes me want to vote you off.
18/02/2010 03:28:19 PM
- 1074 Views
You seem to have misunbderstood my question
18/02/2010 04:28:47 PM
- 1091 Views
Re: You seem to have misunbderstood my question
18/02/2010 05:10:14 PM
- 1251 Views
Nice little typo I have there on misundertood, that's gonna be nagging at me for all of Day 2
18/02/2010 05:25:49 PM
- 1114 Views
Re: Nice little typo I have there on misundertood, that's gonna be nagging at me for all of Day 2
19/02/2010 04:45:25 AM
- 1100 Views
Thanks, all right let's review it
19/02/2010 11:41:19 AM
- 1145 Views
Alright then.
19/02/2010 05:20:39 PM
- 928 Views
EBWOP
19/02/2010 05:23:06 PM
- 1211 Views
Re: EBWOP
19/02/2010 06:53:08 PM
- 1214 Views
Naive?
19/02/2010 07:13:14 PM
- 1239 Views
Naive or sinister, take your pick
19/02/2010 07:29:09 PM
- 1178 Views
We could go with "arrogant," instead of either of those, if you like
20/02/2010 01:59:22 AM
- 983 Views
Hmm...well here's something interesting now that you reminded me of that game...
19/02/2010 08:26:33 PM
- 1065 Views
Re: Hmm...well here's something interesting now that you reminded me of that game...
19/02/2010 08:40:47 PM
- 1048 Views
Re: EBWOP
19/02/2010 08:32:55 PM
- 1050 Views
Re: EBWOP
19/02/2010 08:57:50 PM
- 1055 Views
Actually, that reminds me. HEY KRONIN!
18/02/2010 07:09:39 AM
- 1109 Views
Hey.
18/02/2010 04:09:08 PM
- 1152 Views
Re: Hey.
18/02/2010 05:37:33 PM
- 1251 Views
FT had no evidence one way or the other if Issac was a DF
18/02/2010 05:44:43 PM
- 1052 Views
Don't put words in my mouth.
18/02/2010 06:03:55 PM
- 1205 Views
Oh no, I know, I know. I'm just saying, FT has no more credibility than any of us *NM*
18/02/2010 07:48:58 PM
- 669 Views
But he IS a damn good player, and his advice, however limited, should be taken into account. *NM*
18/02/2010 07:49:58 PM
- 653 Views
fistofpainx, Do you have any thoughts?
18/02/2010 05:46:38 PM
- 1141 Views
I think that
18/02/2010 09:45:56 PM
- 1197 Views
Well, if my combine the Vote Record with our previous suspicions...
18/02/2010 09:48:24 PM
- 1111 Views
All right, ranagrande (and everyone else). Why shouldn't we lynch you?
18/02/2010 11:32:07 PM
- 1113 Views
Re: All right, ranagrande (and everyone else). Why shouldn't we lynch you?
19/02/2010 03:01:45 AM
- 1051 Views
Re: All right, ranagrande (and everyone else). Why shouldn't we lynch you?
19/02/2010 04:07:03 AM
- 1174 Views
I think you're overestimating the appearance of your own innocence.
19/02/2010 05:38:53 AM
- 1081 Views
Yeah, it's mostly just about getting the conversation going
19/02/2010 06:40:17 AM
- 1130 Views
In response to Fox and Ravens (down here to stop horizontal scroll)
19/02/2010 09:50:16 PM
- 1152 Views
Re: In response to Fox and Ravens (down here to stop horizontal scroll)
19/02/2010 10:22:37 PM
- 1213 Views
Well, the reason for the prohibition doesn't apply post-game, so I'll go with no
20/02/2010 05:07:38 AM
- 1090 Views
After seeing this thread....
20/02/2010 05:53:47 AM
- 1030 Views
Go ahead and start one then.
20/02/2010 06:08:12 AM
- 1143 Views
Re: Go ahead and start one then.
20/02/2010 06:47:23 AM
- 1241 Views
Isaac, did you say you have Cor's original rules saved somewhere?
20/02/2010 04:50:29 PM
- 1240 Views
Re: Isaac, did you say you have Cor's original rules saved somewhere?
20/02/2010 05:16:09 PM
- 1310 Views
Alright.
20/02/2010 05:43:51 PM
- 1185 Views
Thanks
20/02/2010 07:48:20 PM
- 1048 Views
Re: Thanks
20/02/2010 10:35:26 PM
- 1044 Views
Ranagrande *NM*
21/02/2010 12:55:29 AM
- 625 Views
Really?
21/02/2010 01:58:24 AM
- 1127 Views
Re: Thanks
21/02/2010 01:57:25 AM
- 1133 Views
Well, you kind of said it yourself.
21/02/2010 07:38:32 PM
- 1091 Views
I'm purposefully trying to not be so focussed on ranagrande
21/02/2010 11:06:40 PM
- 1184 Views
Not sure I follow
22/02/2010 06:49:11 PM
- 1195 Views
Items of note from my NB archive:
21/02/2010 09:37:49 PM
- 1260 Views
I am kind of confused about what you're doing here.
22/02/2010 07:20:49 PM
- 1296 Views
I'm feeling the same thing.
22/02/2010 07:36:46 PM
- 1137 Views
I hadn't even seen Beet's post at the bottom there until after I'd posted this.
22/02/2010 07:44:49 PM
- 1141 Views
Re: Rafo Mafia 4 Day 2
22/02/2010 12:09:20 PM
- 1186 Views
Alright. Here's a quick synposis
22/02/2010 07:54:19 PM
- 1188 Views
That sounds about right to me.
22/02/2010 07:58:29 PM
- 1149 Views
I'll try to, I just may not have the time to. If I do, I'll definately read them all. *NM*
23/02/2010 07:05:24 AM
- 589 Views
Another minor piece against ranagrande
22/02/2010 07:13:44 PM
- 1208 Views
Re: Another minor piece against ranagrande
22/02/2010 08:23:48 PM
- 1316 Views
Fair enough
22/02/2010 08:38:51 PM
- 1260 Views
Re: Fair enough
22/02/2010 09:07:57 PM
- 1119 Views
Maybe I missed it....
22/02/2010 09:26:47 PM
- 1205 Views
Re: Maybe I missed it....
23/02/2010 09:38:23 PM
- 1092 Views
I will destroy the world
23/02/2010 11:17:26 PM
- 1227 Views
And yet, that's the exact same thing you called me out on yesterday. *NM*
24/02/2010 01:07:07 AM
- 551 Views
Ok, that's totally different...
24/02/2010 06:36:00 AM
- 1101 Views
All that's different is the presumed final intent.
24/02/2010 12:36:32 PM
- 1195 Views
Yeah ... those are pretty much the same. *NM*
24/02/2010 03:17:25 PM
- 567 Views
Yea.... beet's looking worse and worse every time he opens his mouth, so to speak. *NM*
24/02/2010 09:00:47 PM
- 653 Views
No, this is my view:
24/02/2010 11:23:25 PM
- 1230 Views
And my view was:
25/02/2010 01:29:13 AM
- 1106 Views
shrug. I haven't been attacking you today, you know
25/02/2010 01:46:39 AM
- 1178 Views
Vote: Fox and Ravens *NM*
24/02/2010 04:51:24 AM
- 648 Views
Can I ask why?
24/02/2010 05:06:22 AM
- 1128 Views
We're sort of in a holding pattern here, Hieshyn
25/02/2010 07:01:23 PM
- 1280 Views
You're right, Isaac.
25/02/2010 08:47:03 PM
- 1279 Views
Though I presume this was already somewhat obvious, ^Seconded. *NM*
25/02/2010 08:56:19 PM
- 565 Views
I'll agree. Beet has been suspicious, and we havent found enough with ranagrande to continue *NM*
26/02/2010 02:00:36 AM
- 681 Views
At first I thought he was going for a F&R-style trap
26/02/2010 01:44:16 AM
- 1179 Views
RBIRL. Had a lot of school stuff, gone for the weekend. Sorry. *NM*
27/02/2010 01:05:40 AM
- 658 Views
Sorry I've been insanely busy.
27/02/2010 03:33:43 AM
- 1269 Views
This seems a lot like an OMGUS.
27/02/2010 07:02:12 AM
- 1076 Views
Re: Sorry I've been insanely busy.
27/02/2010 07:06:39 AM
- 1160 Views
Okay, let's try to finish off today
27/02/2010 07:27:09 PM
- 1177 Views
Interesting.
27/02/2010 09:28:33 PM
- 1119 Views
I sort of assumed everyone knew where I'm aiming, I've been pretty open about it
27/02/2010 09:45:50 PM
- 1138 Views
Vote: ranagrande
27/02/2010 09:12:51 PM
- 1110 Views
What, if anything, has changed?
28/02/2010 03:19:49 AM
- 1140 Views
Dang, I didn't know you could make text larger. Fancy! *NM*
28/02/2010 04:57:28 AM
- 617 Views
A little joke
28/02/2010 05:16:14 AM
- 1725 Views
Yikes (warning: lots of text)
28/02/2010 12:35:16 AM
- 1124 Views
Guess I'll set up the other camp: Vote: beetnemesis
28/02/2010 03:22:49 AM
- 1112 Views
my stance on voting
01/03/2010 03:08:33 AM
- 1241 Views
Re: my stance on voting
01/03/2010 03:21:32 AM
- 1274 Views
Perhaps a deadline would liven things up?
02/03/2010 08:46:35 PM
- 1111 Views
I hope you all feel really guilty about this
03/03/2010 06:22:57 AM
- 1003 Views
Not likely, we're pretty draconian about lynches these days
03/03/2010 09:15:00 AM
- 1001 Views
..I can and HAVE rebutted these.
03/03/2010 05:15:32 PM
- 1066 Views
EBWOP: I need to start hitting preview to make sure the formatting is right.
03/03/2010 05:18:43 PM
- 1052 Views
I'm sorry, I am not convinced
03/03/2010 11:16:36 PM
- 1022 Views
I figured it'd be meaningless to RC, but ok...
04/03/2010 01:54:36 AM
- 1089 Views
All right, let's look at this
04/03/2010 02:06:58 AM
- 1208 Views
I find this very, very, very, VERY unlikely.
04/03/2010 05:25:41 AM
- 1224 Views
At this point I feel like anything I could say would only hurt my case
04/03/2010 06:34:43 AM
- 1153 Views
You brought this upon yourself.
03/03/2010 01:06:58 PM
- 1091 Views
Are you a Town Roleblocker? (Table) - Summary: All 'No'
04/03/2010 02:28:55 AM
- 1230 Views
Well, I don't think there is much point in further delay
04/03/2010 11:44:57 PM
- 995 Views
I think that's everyone.
05/03/2010 04:39:23 AM
- 1007 Views
Well, Beet already hammered.
05/03/2010 06:44:08 AM
- 1101 Views
Beetnemesis has been lynched
05/03/2010 05:38:05 PM
- 1178 Views
Sorry Beet! *NM*
06/03/2010 05:11:56 AM
- 633 Views
You shall be the only one I don't haunt *NM*
06/03/2010 06:29:23 AM
- 565 Views
Yo, what did I do to you? *NM*
06/03/2010 06:47:51 PM
- 702 Views
I meant of those who lynched me! You shall be EXALTED!
06/03/2010 06:52:39 PM
- 1226 Views