We've had plenty of time for defenses, alternate candidates, and everything else, nothing is changed, he remains not the best candidate but the only one.

At this stage, I would not even say it's 50/50 anymore. The more I tihnk on this, the more it seems to me my ideas of how someone should react are too heavily connected to my own assumption of being a high-prob cop target. Truth is, as FT has already said, a day 1 miller claim has at least a 50/50 of dying, well, your average player has nothing approaching a 50/50 chance of being investigated in a game. Few games of this size go past day 5, and the cop often get's killed before then. Out of 14 players, your odds of being investigated are far less than your odds of being lynched. Therefore, at least while the idea is new, the ideal time to claim miller is after the cop has RC'd or died and revealed a guilty investigation, should that person found guilty begin using 'psychocop' as a reason, and gain some supporters, the miller would be in a good situation. "I am miller, note that I was not hypocopped by the cop and have no obvious reason to claim. However, by my existence I strongly indicate we have a cop and a sane one" I tihnk this has a better chance of survival, though maybe not now I've brought it up, and is, IMHO, about the only way a miller can ever be useful as a role to tthe town. It may be a jump to think FT would come up with this, but it is not to implausible that as a miller he'd be trying to think of reasons not to RC, and this example shows that there are some. That the miller is unlikely to investigated in the first place, and that they can serve a useful role for the town. Alternatively, the death of any townie, even a miller, is anti-town, even though we may profit from it we stil lose more, so stretching one's neck out for cutting on day 1, when one is most likely to be axed for lack of better targets, is not the best route.

One rarely gives much thought how to use a role until one either has it or is confronted with it, in his shoes, I would not have claimed, I would have imbedded "I am a miller" in an early day 1 message to use should it later come up. If anything, having it coded in there, say as the first letter of every sentence in a message, shows people that if it is a fake RC it's one you've been planning from the getgo and moved on right away, which since most RCS are made on the fly to adapt to the current role count, would give extra credibility.

It is, of course, only guesswork to assume any of this might have occured to FT, but he is clever, so it is possible.

Now, many have pointed out the unlikelihood he'd take such a risk if he were a DF. I would point out that it very nearly worked and still may, there certainly was no rush to lynch as one would expect for so risky a plan, therefore it was not amazingly risky and is a legit tactic, the 'Why would he do something so risky?' concept does not appear to hold up.