First, we have to consider whether Rana or I are telling the truth, coding yourself as cop on Day 1 when you're not is a big risk, and not on my estimate one I'd have taken as a scummer, but it is one I would have considered seriously for this game format if I was scum. I'm assuming neither Yuna or ? are cops or they'd have said as much, we'll need to wait to see if any of the other 4 claim cop, Stephen, Fox, beet, or Hieshyn... as that would change the analysis a lot on possible weirdness. We could simply have a psycho cop and a regular cop or both of us might be nuts in the same or different fashion, and I can't see testing ?/Kron or Beet to destruction to find out which, though the former would be my choice since Rana has a case, if one I consider thin, on ?/Kron whereas my reasons for selecting beet were strictly threat analysis. We need everyone to confirm they aren't a cop first though.
Assuming Rana and I are both telling the truth, then I'd say the odds of us having 3 scum are low, as one or more flawed investigators is a heck of an anti-town bent to throw on top of 3 scum in a 10 player game. Such being the case, both of us basically had a 1 in 4 chance of finding a scummer in our investigations, having 8 people each to pick from, and a 1 in 16 if we're both sane of having gotten two different people who were both guilty, which is worsened since my target as previously mentioned seems unaligned to rana's target. It's actually pretty good odds we're both nuts, since the odds of the 'true cop' getting a scummer result weren't great. We also don't know what kinda nuts either or both of us might be, we could have the 'get the opposite result' insane cop, or the 'get guilty all the time' cop, or one of the variations often seen in themed games like Whitecloak Inquisitor who gets guilty results off any darkfriend or channeler/warder. I'd not be surprised if the poem shed some light on this too, and the flavor of it already fed my suspiscion of nuts. Either way, it's a good thing we know now... we can also assume ?'s old character wasn't a cop, as he was town and said he had no active ability, we don't and won't know about DK though.
Personally I think we're both telling the truth, that seems most probable, and I doubted my result more because I've been a psycho-cop before and because unlike Rana I didn't have prior suspicions involved in my choice, to him, he suspected his target and got the answer he expected, to me, it was an improbable result to be distrusted and I suppose one could argue that I went looking for evidence to support my own expectations
Assuming Rana and I are both telling the truth, then I'd say the odds of us having 3 scum are low, as one or more flawed investigators is a heck of an anti-town bent to throw on top of 3 scum in a 10 player game. Such being the case, both of us basically had a 1 in 4 chance of finding a scummer in our investigations, having 8 people each to pick from, and a 1 in 16 if we're both sane of having gotten two different people who were both guilty, which is worsened since my target as previously mentioned seems unaligned to rana's target. It's actually pretty good odds we're both nuts, since the odds of the 'true cop' getting a scummer result weren't great. We also don't know what kinda nuts either or both of us might be, we could have the 'get the opposite result' insane cop, or the 'get guilty all the time' cop, or one of the variations often seen in themed games like Whitecloak Inquisitor who gets guilty results off any darkfriend or channeler/warder. I'd not be surprised if the poem shed some light on this too, and the flavor of it already fed my suspiscion of nuts. Either way, it's a good thing we know now... we can also assume ?'s old character wasn't a cop, as he was town and said he had no active ability, we don't and won't know about DK though.
Personally I think we're both telling the truth, that seems most probable, and I doubted my result more because I've been a psycho-cop before and because unlike Rana I didn't have prior suspicions involved in my choice, to him, he suspected his target and got the answer he expected, to me, it was an improbable result to be distrusted and I suppose one could argue that I went looking for evidence to support my own expectations
The intuitive mind is a sacred gift and the rational mind is a faithful servant. We have created a society that honors the servant and has forgotten the gift.
- Albert Einstein
King of Cairhien 20-7-2
Chancellor of the Landsraad, Archduke of Is'Mod
- Albert Einstein
King of Cairhien 20-7-2
Chancellor of the Landsraad, Archduke of Is'Mod
Game 24, Day 2 - Game has ended
06/11/2011 06:04:27 PM
- 1186 Views
I'm actually a bit surprised by the choice of ?
06/11/2011 07:34:57 PM
- 1092 Views
I think a second look at our poetry is in order too, now we have more of it
07/11/2011 12:43:21 AM
- 899 Views
Re: I think a second look at our poetry is in order too, now we have more of it
07/11/2011 12:57:32 AM
- 773 Views
... and the two things
07/11/2011 01:29:31 AM
- 918 Views
UM UM UM ALERT ALERT ALERT
07/11/2011 02:59:27 PM
- 694 Views
Re: UM UM UM ALERT ALERT ALERT
07/11/2011 06:23:42 PM
- 831 Views
Re: UM UM UM ALERT ALERT ALERT
07/11/2011 08:17:53 PM
- 729 Views
Wait, would everyone be picking their own two letters? Ah, ok, it's not as dangerous as I thought
07/11/2011 08:20:32 PM
- 732 Views
no *NM*
07/11/2011 06:19:20 PM
- 461 Views
FT already banned it *NM*
07/11/2011 06:20:45 PM
- 420 Views
Vote: ?
07/11/2011 02:33:43 PM
- 955 Views
He could have just been being polite
07/11/2011 06:34:30 PM
- 1121 Views
Very good point, I think a roleclaim from ?, using Kronin's coded roleclaim from yesterday
07/11/2011 08:22:45 PM
- 896 Views
? can't decode Kronin's RC, and he wouldn't be allowed to give his own
07/11/2011 08:45:50 PM
- 840 Views
yeah I could go ahead and roleclaim if you want...
07/11/2011 08:56:41 PM
- 808 Views
No, I don't want you to claim
07/11/2011 08:57:47 PM
- 716 Views
Wait what's the difference?
07/11/2011 09:06:06 PM
- 746 Views
is this gonna turn into that game where i got lynched thrice in one game but for ? instead?
07/11/2011 10:24:15 PM
- 804 Views
Anybody else get a chuckle out of this? *NM*
07/11/2011 06:36:28 PM
- 400 Views
out of what? *NM*
07/11/2011 07:51:06 PM
- 396 Views
you have to go into the messege like i said ignore the *NM* prompt *NM*
07/11/2011 08:54:22 PM
- 353 Views
Shrug, I think we should still get a roleclaim from ?/Kronin
08/11/2011 01:51:24 PM
- 874 Views
I coded a claim above...in response to Isaac I think...
08/11/2011 08:46:07 PM
- 811 Views
Vote: Beetnemesis
09/11/2011 10:24:06 PM
- 947 Views
Bah, now I have to claim as well
09/11/2011 10:46:37 PM
- 800 Views
decoding:
09/11/2011 11:22:31 PM
- 837 Views
Would you mind walking through that last step?
09/11/2011 11:44:30 PM
- 807 Views
Hmm...You mention me a lot in that post...Was that me as ? or me as Kronin? I'm a tad confused.
09/11/2011 11:28:55 PM
- 933 Views
So, what now?
10/11/2011 12:49:12 AM
- 1072 Views
Is or Is Not a Cop (Table)
10/11/2011 12:52:52 AM
- 844 Views
I'm the daycop. Vote: Ranagrande.
10/11/2011 01:41:59 AM
- 785 Views
EBWOP: here's the code.
10/11/2011 01:43:00 AM
- 656 Views
EBWOP again
10/11/2011 01:44:04 AM
- 631 Views
Stand by for the moment
10/11/2011 01:49:38 AM
- 823 Views
Jesus...I REALLY need to read everything before I start posting.
10/11/2011 01:54:11 AM
- 810 Views
Add to that the next follow up, that ? might previously have been a Day Cop too
10/11/2011 02:04:29 AM
- 846 Views
I am a daycop. I found Isaac innocent. *NM*
10/11/2011 02:02:05 PM
- 445 Views
We still need you role decode *NM*
10/11/2011 06:19:53 PM
- 374 Views
i am a cop
10/11/2011 07:00:14 PM
- 644 Views
Ah, I was wondering how come there was suddenly thirty new posts in this thread.
10/11/2011 03:02:10 AM
- 630 Views
I think it's time to consider mass RC
10/11/2011 08:15:36 PM
- 723 Views
Sure...
10/11/2011 09:19:49 PM
- 1003 Views
There's a lot of options still, and decode confirmed by the way
10/11/2011 09:48:05 PM
- 971 Views
The wasy I see it, anybody not claiming cop is going to get lynched
10/11/2011 11:57:24 PM
- 887 Views
Lying and claiming cop when you can't decode your RC will get you lynched faster. *NM*
11/11/2011 12:33:05 AM
- 377 Views
Fox, did you get a response on your investigation? *NM*
11/11/2011 12:20:12 AM
- 468 Views
I hadn't performed one yet.
11/11/2011 12:34:48 AM
- 801 Views
I'll investigate ? because yuna's the other daycop
11/11/2011 04:00:49 AM
- 679 Views
Wait a minute....I meant that I would be testing it against rana. Not yuna
11/11/2011 01:39:16 PM
- 945 Views
It kinda seems like Hieshyn and ? are our logical lynch targets, plus Cop (Table)
11/11/2011 10:09:52 PM
- 1023 Views
Vote: ?
11/11/2011 10:46:43 PM
- 683 Views
I'm down with voting for ?, as long as everyone is clear on what our night actions should be
12/11/2011 04:49:53 AM
- 804 Views
Game ends.
14/11/2011 10:25:04 PM
- 765 Views
Role list:
14/11/2011 10:26:32 PM
- 811 Views
Jeeez.
14/11/2011 11:43:47 PM
- 771 Views
Kronin originally RC as a Tracker so we might have done better if we had been able to continue *NM*
15/11/2011 12:06:07 AM
- 388 Views
Also I would like to be added to the list of future Moderator
15/11/2011 12:07:51 AM
- 641 Views
You'd have first dibs via our order of precedence system
15/11/2011 02:05:04 AM
- 894 Views
Also whoever Mods should probably post a recruitment thread on some other NBs
15/11/2011 02:50:02 AM
- 815 Views
I expect my next game to draw in some new players.
15/11/2011 02:58:59 AM
- 769 Views
More is better, okay that would be Hieshyn or Beet then, unless ? wants to toss in
15/11/2011 03:26:25 AM
- 755 Views
I don't have anything prepared, so if Hieshyn wants it, I'll be happy to go after him
15/11/2011 03:28:40 AM
- 785 Views
I'm not ready to go next
15/11/2011 02:43:07 PM
- 882 Views
Aight, I think it's me then.
15/11/2011 03:15:21 PM
- 653 Views
ooooh
15/11/2011 11:27:26 PM
- 695 Views
Before the next game starts, we probably need to discuss RC coding
15/11/2011 02:15:27 AM
- 990 Views
Yeah, I really didn't like that idea.
15/11/2011 02:58:21 AM
- 1074 Views
An informal agreement is probably the way to go then
15/11/2011 03:08:17 AM
- 887 Views
Although really, it's the same as if in IRL everyone just wrote down their role on a piece of paper
15/11/2011 03:28:00 AM
- 803 Views
Yeah, I don't think it warrants being banned (hence why I didn't), but I don't like it. *NM*
15/11/2011 03:37:59 AM
- 441 Views