As I mentioned, I felt role repetition a high probability from the moment I got the guilty back on Beet, my first time as cop and your first game I was a cop, and a psycho cop, and I copped someone guilty one night 1... that he was actually guilty and that I'd strongly suspected myself of being nuts, as Kronin can probably confirm, is a touch irrelevant, I'm automatically suspiscious of first returns of 'guilty', especially in a game with roles being difficult to determine. I investigated beet because I had no one else better, and I viewed rana and beet with DK dead as those most likely to trouble me if they were scum, both having very good recent scum performances, but rana was fairly inactive so I felt Beet was the more eimmediate threat were he guilty, so I checked him. The selection was not random but it was also not even vaguely based on actual suspicion, and I consider 2 scum the most probable, so I had 2 in 8 or 25% chance to get a scummer, fairly on par with the historical odds of being a crazy cop or hitting a miller etc.

Now, I have to wait for Rana to confirm his last decode step, since that's the important one and the others could all have been manufactured b him quite rapidly if he's trying to screw us, but assuming that is done correctly we have either 2 cops who both lucked out and got guilty results on night 1 and on 2 people who seem unaligned, or we have weirdness, or one or both of us was willing, from Day 1, to commit to claiming cop. From my perspective, this would be a heck of a risk on Day 1 especially since I'd been deliberately trying to push the idea of an early mass RC into everyone's heads, specifically to minimize the odds of cop or doc fake claims.