I have no idea, normally I'd just find something to frame someone off of, either as scum or a general desire to push things along and see what happens, at the moment I don't see anyone who can be targeted. We can figure out some obvious things, unfortunately they aren't as beneficial as normal. Normally, the three of us who kinda pushed forward the poem aspect might be considered prob-town at this point... unfortunately those three people are myself, beet, and rana... 3 people especially well known for being able to achieve prob-town or even def-town status while being scummier than a truck stop restroom... and none of us actually stuck our proverbial necks out on that one, our behavior was very pro-active but effectively indistinguishable from how we'd behave if we were scum, which in all probability one of us. Beyond that, nobody's been bizarrely reluctant to divulge info... in all likelihood as soon as Rana noticed "Confound" in my message and said he saw a keyword, the scum caught, saw it, and relaxed... so we haven't had anything to see and if anything the scum would have been very inclined to enthusiastically participate, hoping to score some townie cred and crossing their fingers a town role might have a different poem and out their self for a lynch or NK.

In terms of our breakdown, I suspect we're 2-faction, we're pretty small for 2 NKs and I don't think FT likes cults. We'll find out eventually but FT does tend to aim away from the traditional on NKs as the Cairhien game showed, so we can't rule it out but I think for now we should assume we're pretty basic and 2 factions. We probably have 2 or 3 scum, so let's discuss the random lynch aspect on each.

If we have 3 scum, the odds of anyone being one are 30% and the odds of any combo of 2 are 9% and 3 at 2.7%, 30% is actually fairly okay-ish odds for a random lynch, it's not ideal but still likely better than a no lynch, if barely, if we're at 2 scum then it's 20% and any given combo is 4%... 20% is bad odds for a random lynch, if we assume the normal 1 cop and 1 NK night actions. If it's 2, we're better of no lynching until the cop has dirt or can exclude people to better the odds... in a base game, every townie life can be considered an extra half day before LyLo arrives and an extra person to decrease the scums odds of nailing the cop by random NK. This is why I generally support day 1 No Lynches over random Lynch... unfortunately this group regards the words "No Lynch" in the same way people hear phrases like "Can't make an omelette's without breaking a few eggs", instantly dismissing the idea, so we're likely to come up with a random lynch today... I won't back one, I will back semi-random and of course anything with evidence on it, but currently I see none and I personally don't have any avenues of investigation I feel we can explore. Further, I gather our roles won't be explained on death so everyone who dies effectively contributes less in death than normal... my advice to the town is essentially A) Come up with some avenue of investigation, B) Blitz Claim, in code, and hope for something, C) Vote No Lynch, or D) select someone randomly to vote for... and that is my order of preference too.

As I don't see anyone coming up with an A, I'd encourage B - or some variation thereof - on the grounds that it would at the very least make for a fairly quick game.