Active Users:1811 Time:23/01/2025 08:31:44 PM
Well, we may as well HC (Table) Isaac Send a noteboard - 22/02/2011 10:05:16 PM
Just as a reminder, results should approximate random (which would be about 25% guilty on best estimate, so like flip two coins and if they both come up tails do guilty, if not do innocent) but selection should not be. In other words, someone like Beetnemesis, who pushed the vote on the now dead scummer, is not too likely to have been copped last night, the five non-voters - Gher, ?, Scott, me, and Stephen would have been, so might later wagon voters, and the order was Beet, Rana, Fox, FT, Hobo, Yuna, then Berg suicide-hammered. For those who are newer to HCing or who have roles who act on people, below the table I will discuss again how you HC and how a non-cop role should HC if they want to leave a record for us to use posthumously should you die. Please post a reply to this message designating a player and either guilty or not guilty, players in purple have HC'd.

Hypocop Table
?
beetnemesis - Scott, not guilty
Fanatic-Templar - Yunalesca, not guilty
Fox and Ravens - Hobo, Guilty
Hobo - Isaac, guilty
Isaac - Stephen, guilty
ranagrande - ?, not guilty
Scott Blademaster
Stephen - Beetnemesis, not guilty
Yunalesca - Fox, Guilty
Notes on HCing
HC, short for Hypocopping, is where players list who they would have targeted if they had been the cop and what result they got. This is done so that cops can list their results without being targeted for Night Kill, so that if they die we know who they checked. For this reason, we want players to select their HC target as realistically as possible, who they would actually have targeted if they'd been the cop, meaning a dead player might well be copped, similarly players should try to avoid selecting HC targets who would be improbable choices. Players should therefore not select their HC target randomly, however they should select their results randomly. From the perspective of a veteran scummer, without instruction players tend to list guilty far more often then is statistically probable, and the scum generally know who is innocent or guilty, and can thus eliminate someone as a cop for a wrong answer they give since the cop must answer truthfully or essentially sabotage the results and likely get townies killed and generate anti-town confusion. Every player the scum can eliminate as cop is one less person they need to consider in their hunt, and each wrong or improbable result helps narrow things down, as cops rarely make truly random choices but select from a pool. To protect the cop, players need to primarily 'huddle' around high-probability choices and produce as many true responses as probable, to hinder the cop hunt.

Now, if you are a role other than cop, it is often advantageous to leave a record of what you did as well. Docs and vigs should not generally not do this, nor should any "Passive" role or roles which do not target players, such as Bulletproof. Generally, a player doing this should list their target as their HC, and pick the less likely result as guilty, and use the more likely result or an ambigous one as not guilty, so a tracker who tracks someone and gets no result would HC that person as not guilty, but if they got a result, as guilty. Or roleblocker primarily just needs to list who they targeted, and can list guilty if they got back a definite hit saying that player had an action blocked. A role-detector should list someone guilty if they get a role (unless they know they are in a role heavy game in which case they may want to go the other way, the important thing is consistency). While the current probability is we are low on roles and they are fairly standard, if you are roled and have a non vig/doc power that targets people (e.g. Tracker, Watcher, Role Blocker etc) you should make up your mind if you are going to use the HC table to report this - I strongly encourage people to do so - and then to do it consistently, above all else, don't leave a confusing trail by doing it half the days or changing your method, like RBing people as not guilty if they did nothing then changing half way through the game to 'guilty' if they did nothing.

Let me also add that many of us consider it very anti-town to use the table to 'save your own neck' by doing something that strongly indicates you aren't the cop, a good player tries to come off as a possible cop, because they realize that taking a proverbial bullet for the team helps.
The intuitive mind is a sacred gift and the rational mind is a faithful servant. We have created a society that honors the servant and has forgotten the gift.
- Albert Einstein

King of Cairhien 20-7-2
Chancellor of the Landsraad, Archduke of Is'Mod
This message last edited by Isaac on 24/02/2011 at 05:40:31 PM
Reply to message
Mafia 21: Tempting Fate on the Second Day - 21/02/2011 01:34:54 PM 1032 Views
Sorry for the delay. - 22/02/2011 01:56:28 PM 551 Views
FIGHT, ITEM, or RUN? *NM* - 22/02/2011 09:44:50 PM 300 Views
FIGHT - 23/02/2011 11:14:07 PM 573 Views
RBIRL - 22/02/2011 08:26:36 PM 557 Views
Kinda busy myself. - 23/02/2011 08:10:21 AM 602 Views
Well, we may as well HC (Table) - 22/02/2011 10:05:16 PM 826 Views
I targetted Scott Blademaster and found him innocent *NM* - 22/02/2011 10:47:30 PM 292 Views
i found Fox and Ravens to be guilty - 22/02/2011 10:48:07 PM 566 Views
I found beetnemesis to be innocent. *NM* - 22/02/2011 11:09:41 PM 325 Views
I found Isaac guilty. *NM* - 22/02/2011 11:22:07 PM 358 Views
I found ? to be innocent. *NM* - 23/02/2011 12:52:53 AM 304 Views
Yunalesca, innocent. *NM* - 23/02/2011 08:13:40 AM 383 Views
Hobo - Guilty *NM* - 24/02/2011 05:30:13 PM 305 Views
Still need HC's from ? and Scott - 24/02/2011 05:41:38 PM 551 Views
I suppose it's worth asking - 24/02/2011 02:29:51 AM 605 Views
Heh, I was about to ask this - 24/02/2011 03:36:45 AM 606 Views
I didn't get anything. *NM* - 24/02/2011 05:53:54 AM 313 Views
I didn't get anything either... *NM* - 24/02/2011 10:02:07 AM 377 Views
That's enough of that. - 24/02/2011 02:17:46 PM 570 Views
No. - 25/02/2011 02:02:44 PM 565 Views
OK, so... some thoughts. - 24/02/2011 03:49:52 AM 611 Views
More or less my take too - 24/02/2011 05:29:48 AM 903 Views
Re: More or less my take too - 24/02/2011 01:24:24 PM 746 Views
Yeah, I'd have to say that you're my top suspect right now. - 24/02/2011 02:58:55 PM 546 Views
Re: Yeah, I'd have to say that you're my top suspect right now. - 24/02/2011 03:56:41 PM 581 Views
Just to clarify that point - 24/02/2011 05:39:41 PM 855 Views
i have some suspicions - 24/02/2011 03:27:21 PM 570 Views
What's up? - 24/02/2011 05:31:26 PM 585 Views
Re: What's up? - 24/02/2011 07:47:19 PM 667 Views
Anything in particular? *NM* - 24/02/2011 09:45:37 PM 311 Views
yeah, one thing in particular - 24/02/2011 10:20:43 PM 586 Views
Re: yeah, one thing in particular - 25/02/2011 01:12:35 AM 607 Views
I really think you should. - 25/02/2011 02:08:28 PM 592 Views
Re: I really think you should. - 25/02/2011 02:34:00 PM 630 Views
Re: I really think you should. - 25/02/2011 04:05:53 PM 619 Views
Re: I really think you should. - 25/02/2011 05:42:40 PM 624 Views
While I'm thinking about it - 25/02/2011 07:21:29 PM 551 Views
Re: While I'm thinking about it - 25/02/2011 09:21:57 PM 506 Views
Okay, I've reviewed Fox's Day 1 statements - 25/02/2011 07:16:52 PM 593 Views
Yeah we really need Yunalesca to clear this up. - 25/02/2011 08:09:01 PM 605 Views
right, gonna take a big risk here - 25/02/2011 10:04:04 PM 593 Views
I guess that's not too surprising - 25/02/2011 10:22:12 PM 615 Views
Re: I guess that's not too surprising - 25/02/2011 10:38:39 PM 649 Views
Also since the cat's out of the bag... - 25/02/2011 10:23:07 PM 613 Views
That would be nice... - 25/02/2011 10:25:52 PM 542 Views
i am - 25/02/2011 10:43:29 PM 629 Views
EBWOP - 25/02/2011 10:44:32 PM 626 Views
That is a big risk. - 25/02/2011 10:24:50 PM 604 Views
Re: That is a big risk. - 25/02/2011 10:32:15 PM 611 Views
Ah I see. - 25/02/2011 11:15:38 PM 591 Views
Re: Ah I see. - 25/02/2011 11:50:40 PM 608 Views
Well, I could have seen that coming. - 26/02/2011 12:31:43 AM 666 Views
Oh, nice counterclaim. - 26/02/2011 12:55:05 AM 549 Views
Okay... you've claimed Doc - 26/02/2011 12:57:56 AM 592 Views
Re: Okay... you've claimed Doc - 26/02/2011 01:14:39 AM 580 Views
Re: Okay... you've claimed Doc - 26/02/2011 07:43:22 AM 628 Views
Oh no! - 26/02/2011 01:12:23 AM 624 Views
So how do we want to do confirmation? - 25/02/2011 10:39:38 PM 624 Views
I see no problems with these questions... - 25/02/2011 11:18:32 PM 585 Views
Seem like good questions - 25/02/2011 11:54:32 PM 523 Views
Re: So how do we want to do confirmation? - 26/02/2011 12:48:03 AM 556 Views
Re: So how do we want to do confirmation? - 26/02/2011 12:48:56 AM 556 Views
Eh... - 26/02/2011 12:57:11 AM 595 Views
Copping Question (Table) - 26/02/2011 12:53:03 AM 634 Views
No. *NM* - 26/02/2011 12:55:53 AM 317 Views
...isn't anyone who says "yes" going to be roled, and quickly nightkilled? *NM* - 26/02/2011 12:59:01 AM 308 Views
Probably, but it doesn't really matter - 26/02/2011 01:02:41 AM 550 Views
Also if she's lying or wrong it doesn't result in a NK - 26/02/2011 01:03:59 AM 549 Views
The only way we'll determine if she's lying or wrong without lynching Fox is if someone RCs - 26/02/2011 01:11:35 AM 664 Views
Yep - 26/02/2011 01:22:00 AM 548 Views
That, or lying. Thus the benefit to us . *NM* - 26/02/2011 07:45:18 AM 305 Views
No. *NM* - 26/02/2011 01:16:31 AM 293 Views
No, also Vote: Fox and Ravens - 26/02/2011 01:20:49 AM 616 Views
Remember, this is about Yunalesca's claim. - 26/02/2011 07:53:17 AM 566 Views
You do realize the day is over, right? *NM* - 26/02/2011 10:41:12 AM 300 Views
I didn't at the time . *NM* - 26/02/2011 07:22:49 PM 291 Views
Before this gets too out of hand, Vote: Fox and Ravens. And Isaac, if I could vote twice, you too - 26/02/2011 01:05:59 AM 640 Views
I'm in. - 26/02/2011 01:20:47 AM 575 Views
Re: I'm in. - 26/02/2011 01:54:27 AM 588 Views
Wait, what are you accusing me over? - 26/02/2011 01:26:29 AM 544 Views
It felt like you were fishing for roles. - 26/02/2011 01:37:55 AM 523 Views
You mean by telling the doc not to answer? - 26/02/2011 01:47:09 AM 592 Views
Yeah, ok. That's pretty far fetched. - 26/02/2011 02:26:29 AM 554 Views
Vote Table - 26/02/2011 02:33:46 AM 550 Views
I voted - 26/02/2011 02:46:28 AM 517 Views
Oh, my bad. *NM* - 26/02/2011 05:01:51 AM 309 Views
And I'll be Captain Hammer. - 26/02/2011 03:47:52 AM 601 Views
Re: And I'll be Captain Hammer. - 26/02/2011 04:43:23 AM 627 Views
Fox and Ravens has been Lynched *Twilight Pending* *NM* - 26/02/2011 05:02:14 AM 310 Views
Wow. Way to go team. Sorry I wasn't here. *NM* - 26/02/2011 05:38:05 AM 308 Views
Twilight - 26/02/2011 05:40:22 AM 627 Views
Has anyone played the card game 'Bang'? - 27/02/2011 08:05:00 PM 539 Views
Never heard of it *NM* - 27/02/2011 08:49:58 PM 290 Views
Never played it but I've heard of it *NM* - 27/02/2011 10:45:38 PM 308 Views
I've never even heard of it. And will the goddess kill us for talking? *NM* - 27/02/2011 11:04:47 PM 280 Views
I'll have mercy as long as you're not talking about the game. - 27/02/2011 11:36:00 PM 507 Views
Hehe thanks. *NM* - 28/02/2011 12:03:59 AM 271 Views
i've played it a few times - 28/02/2011 04:39:49 PM 531 Views

Reply to Message