We should all be voting Aye.
First of all, bioterrorism is a serious offense, with grave economic and environmental impact, and we cannot allow Sivria's crimes to go unpunished.
Secondly, it's in everyone's best interest anyway.
Obviously, anyone with Agricultural Fiefs is going to want to vote Aye. Anyone without Agricultural Fiefs is also going to want to vote Aye, but that might be less obvious. I shall explain.
A Nay vote nets us all 3000 MS. That's pretty good right?
An Aye vote gets us 2d6 stock. As our illustrious Adjutant General mentioned, the average of 2d6 is 7.
According to the Round schedule presented in the rules, the Crisis will be resolved before the Round's income is distributed, so we'll earn income on that stock. For the average of 7, that will be 700 MS. At the start of Round 3, if you so desired, you could then liquidate your 7 stock shares for 2800 MS. That's 3500 total, 500 MS more than the Aye vote.
If you only get 6 shares of stock, you would get an income of 600 and could then liquidate them for 2400, getting you 3000 MS, which is exactly what you would have gotten with a Nay vote.
The odds of getting a 6 or higher on a roll of 2d6 are 13/18 which is pretty darn good. That will allow you to at least break even, and of course you can get considerably more. If you're lucky enough to get 12 shares of stock, you could earn an income of 1200 and then liquidate for 4800 for a total of 6000, double the payout for a Nay vote.
Or of course, you don't have to liquidate at all. The Nay vote offers a one-time payment, while Aye offers options. You could choose to just keep your stock and enjoy a steady stream of income. Over the long-term, that's going to get you far more than the dirty money that yet another criminal is attempting to bribe us with.
First of all, bioterrorism is a serious offense, with grave economic and environmental impact, and we cannot allow Sivria's crimes to go unpunished.
Secondly, it's in everyone's best interest anyway.
Obviously, anyone with Agricultural Fiefs is going to want to vote Aye. Anyone without Agricultural Fiefs is also going to want to vote Aye, but that might be less obvious. I shall explain.
A Nay vote nets us all 3000 MS. That's pretty good right?
An Aye vote gets us 2d6 stock. As our illustrious Adjutant General mentioned, the average of 2d6 is 7.
According to the Round schedule presented in the rules, the Crisis will be resolved before the Round's income is distributed, so we'll earn income on that stock. For the average of 7, that will be 700 MS. At the start of Round 3, if you so desired, you could then liquidate your 7 stock shares for 2800 MS. That's 3500 total, 500 MS more than the Aye vote.
If you only get 6 shares of stock, you would get an income of 600 and could then liquidate them for 2400, getting you 3000 MS, which is exactly what you would have gotten with a Nay vote.
The odds of getting a 6 or higher on a roll of 2d6 are 13/18 which is pretty darn good. That will allow you to at least break even, and of course you can get considerably more. If you're lucky enough to get 12 shares of stock, you could earn an income of 1200 and then liquidate for 4800 for a total of 6000, double the payout for a Nay vote.
Or of course, you don't have to liquidate at all. The Nay vote offers a one-time payment, while Aye offers options. You could choose to just keep your stock and enjoy a steady stream of income. Over the long-term, that's going to get you far more than the dirty money that yet another criminal is attempting to bribe us with.
Dune: Round 2
11/01/2011 03:33:07 AM
- 1237 Views
CHOAM Auction Round 2 Phase 1
11/01/2011 03:35:53 AM
- 909 Views
E2B - Agricultural Fief - 1 Militia (Min Bid 2000 MS, Inc 50 MS)
11/01/2011 04:17:53 AM
- 879 Views
2000 MS - Edited because of mistype, read 200 MS originally. *NM*
11/01/2011 11:33:08 PM
- 618 Views
2050 MS *NM*
13/01/2011 01:58:12 AM
- 380 Views
2100 MS *NM*
13/01/2011 11:38:52 AM
- 470 Views
EDIT: 2100 MS - Invalid bid, my stupidity
13/01/2011 11:43:24 AM
- 761 Views
Incidentally you could just offer Beet a sum to buy it off of him
13/01/2011 12:20:31 PM
- 726 Views
Wait, what is 9 PM EST time in GMT +2? this one closed before my second bid, right? *NM*
13/01/2011 11:40:26 AM
- 402 Views
I checked it. thats 4 AM my time.
13/01/2011 11:42:50 AM
- 705 Views
Ouch
13/01/2011 12:17:33 PM
- 713 Views
Too bad we don't have a chat room- that'd be perfect for outcry *NM*
13/01/2011 04:47:34 PM
- 884 Views
Rich Planet - Parmentier, Min Bid 3000 MS, 50 MS increment
11/01/2011 04:20:34 AM
- 936 Views
3000 MS *NM*
11/01/2011 02:26:00 PM
- 444 Views
3100 MS *NM*
11/01/2011 03:13:03 PM
- 425 Views
3300 MS *NM*
11/01/2011 04:00:49 PM
- 489 Views
3350 MS *NM*
11/01/2011 10:58:22 PM
- 432 Views
3400 MS *NM*
11/01/2011 11:30:49 PM
- 499 Views
3450 MS *NM*
12/01/2011 12:50:32 AM
- 499 Views
Pah, minimum bids. 3600 MS *NM*
12/01/2011 02:28:44 AM
- 513 Views
They're pretty abitrary for non-LiqVal items *NM*
12/01/2011 02:56:49 AM
- 449 Views
I think he was just Pahing the fact that we're bidding the minimum increments *NM*
12/01/2011 02:34:42 PM
- 511 Views
Quite probably - this seems a good point to mentioning Horizontal scroll in bidding wars
12/01/2011 02:59:56 PM
- 709 Views
3650 MS *NM*
12/01/2011 07:47:15 AM
- 504 Views
3700 MS *NM*
12/01/2011 02:33:41 PM
- 441 Views
3750 MS *NM*
12/01/2011 04:23:05 PM
- 463 Views
3850 MS *NM*
12/01/2011 07:04:46 PM
- 417 Views
3900 MS *NM*
13/01/2011 01:57:57 AM
- 377 Views
Cut that out! 4400 MS! *NM*
13/01/2011 06:17:52 AM
- 368 Views
I'm tempted to offer 4450... But not now.
13/01/2011 11:35:00 AM
- 793 Views
Well, as for the Crisis- is everyone pretty firm in what they're voting for? Dunno if I am
12/01/2011 05:45:11 AM
- 717 Views
Well I wouldn't mind listening to some persuasive arguments, if anybody has some to offer.
12/01/2011 05:51:48 AM
- 772 Views
This crisis is a no-brainer.
12/01/2011 03:12:21 PM
- 758 Views
Court Gossip - Chancellor’s Challenge
12/01/2011 09:20:43 AM
- 1126 Views
Vote: Accept Chancellor's Challenge. (Erm...?)
12/01/2011 05:46:38 PM
- 755 Views
I was attacked by the Bandits of Surewood Forest
12/01/2011 07:08:16 PM
- 772 Views
I think "pirates" just means "NPC raiders"
12/01/2011 07:35:04 PM
- 665 Views
Pirate Name: Pirates of Carib Ion Sea *NM*
12/01/2011 09:51:25 PM
- 432 Views
(Others should do this, too)
13/01/2011 07:31:09 AM
- 694 Views
I thought that as Adjutant General you could simply report our conclusions. *NM*
14/01/2011 06:02:38 AM
- 436 Views
4 players have to "confirm" the names HINT HINT
14/01/2011 08:21:23 AM
- 639 Views
Yeah, I did so below. I was explaining why I didn't do so earlier. *NM*
14/01/2011 07:15:00 PM
- 468 Views
"Pirate Name: Pirates of Carib Ion Sea" Yes, 4 of you have to do this for each pirate group *NM*
14/01/2011 04:05:29 AM
- 400 Views
Pirate Name: Pirates of Carib Ion Sea *NM*
14/01/2011 05:33:45 AM
- 435 Views
Pirate Name: Bandits of Surewood Forest *NM*
14/01/2011 05:34:11 AM
- 400 Views
Pirate Name: Pirates of Carib Ion Sea
14/01/2011 06:47:25 PM
- 713 Views
I think that makes 4 of us for every name.
15/01/2011 12:02:20 AM
- 759 Views
Oh, he already has. Nevermind then.
15/01/2011 12:03:30 AM
- 916 Views
Even when drunk, the magic of smartphones keeps message board games alive! *NM*
15/01/2011 06:50:33 AM
- 459 Views
Battle Plans
14/01/2011 02:44:01 PM
- 728 Views
As for the money... (and a couple other things)
14/01/2011 06:05:04 PM
- 754 Views
Weird. I thought I replied to this. Hm. Anyway, I could attack one of the pirate Strongholds. *NM*
14/01/2011 08:17:00 PM
- 434 Views
So yeah, we need 3 volunteers with decent Diplomacy/Intrigue stats
14/01/2011 09:43:58 PM
- 716 Views
As stated above, I will be one of them
15/01/2011 12:54:44 AM
- 769 Views
So is anyone else investigating pirates?
16/01/2011 02:28:06 AM
- 792 Views
I guess I could do one. *NM*
16/01/2011 02:43:05 AM
- 435 Views
Which group do you want?
16/01/2011 04:41:04 AM
- 711 Views
I'll deal with the Bandits of Surewood Forest, after all, they did make the mistake of attacking me.
16/01/2011 05:30:36 AM
- 765 Views
Some More Notes
15/01/2011 03:47:59 AM
- 714 Views
I'd be all for condensing it into one auction phase
15/01/2011 04:07:56 AM
- 781 Views
It'd be fairer for players like Bergioyn who aren't present near the deadline though.
15/01/2011 04:18:19 AM
- 762 Views