View original postView original postOne of the things all of us here can probably agree on is that the first month and a half or so of Donald Trump’s return to office has not been boring.
View original postI don't see how it matters what anyone outside the US answers to that. Certainly the Trump administration seems intent on alienating all of its allies, whether in NATO or outside it, as much as possible - so the more immediate question is probably about where the US itself will end up two years from now, or five, or ten. There seems to be a very wide range of possible outcomes here - from Trump getting a grip and returning to some semblance of normalcy more like his first term, over him being impeached or 25th-amendment-ed (or just dying), to a full-blown constitutional crisis and the end of American democracy as we know it.
I completely disagree about it not mattering what anyone outside the US says. That just reinforces the idea that non-US members of NATO aren’t really committed to doing enough to make the organization work, or at least that’s how it comes across to me. If you want to focus solely on the here and now where Trump is injected into everything, okay, I get it. But even if you remove Trump and his antics there are plenty of problems that have been ongoing and ignored by too many countries for far too long.
View original postConsidering the above, Germany having nukes seems far less concerning than a civil war or a dictatorship in the US with nukes. Plus, you know, there have been nukes sitting in various European countries including my own and I suppose also Germany for decades - the only difference would be the colour of uniform of the soldiers firing them in case of war.
I’m aware of America’s nuclear sharing policy. It would be interesting to get an answer to the question without the frustration and anger. The emotions are understandable enough though.
View original postIf you want me to start listing countries that can be trusted more with nukes than the Trump administration, we're going to be here a while. Obviously I have more faith in the US military than in its current government, but since they've already been trying to replace Pentagon leadership and the Republicans in Congress have proven even more spineless than my already very low expectations, I don't know if that will remain the case over the months and years to come. And Tom's reply above about how he would nuke Germany and Poland didn't exactly help matters either.
I asked because I figure the chances are high that multiple countries will go nuclear in the next 5-10 years. Iran, KSA, and South Korea were on my shortlist, which would constitute real nuclear proliferation. Nuclear sharing for Germany and Poland is something lesser. The greater the number of countries that are interested in acquiring nukes means the greater the chance of eroding the resistance to doing so. I’m not going to go with a goofy answer like the DRC, but I could add Japan and Turkey to the list because they have the capital and the brainpower to do so. Withdrawal from the NPT is allowed for countries with genuine security concerns. And right about now the world seems to be like a big zit that might pop or possibly be popped.
*NM*
- 14/03/2025 10:54:47 AM
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