Active Users:348 Time:25/03/2025 05:01:53 AM
Some of this is fair enough - some, not so much. And the ending is... um. Novel? Legolas Send a noteboard - 11/03/2025 10:57:41 PM

View original postI think it depends. Most European members still do not meet their minimum expenditures on defense, which many Americans are not happy with. We essentially backstop their defense so that they can spend more on healthcare. For the US to stay in NATO, NATO members need to meet their obligations.

Fair enough so far.
View original postThey also need to not engage in bellicose actions that are designed to drag the US into a needless war. If no one ever wanted to let Ukraine into NATO, it could have been agreed on with Russia in 2022 and millions of young Ukrainians and Russians would still be alive today. Instead, Tony Blinken and Jake Sullivan decided to see what would happen if they refused to try diplomacy, much like what would have happened in 1962 if the USSR hadn't removed missiles from Cuba.

View original postEurope has gotten into a box it can't get out of. Putin is Hitler and any negotiations are appeasement, and the mantra is "Russia cannot be allowed to prevail", but the reality is Russia will prevail, and by the Summer of 2026 at the absolute latest (assuming total support by Europe at a level able to replace lost US funding), and the only way to stop that from happening is for NATO states to enter into direct war with Russia.

Last I checked, Tony Blinken and Jake Sullivan weren't Europeans - you've been railing so hard and so long at past US administrations about their Ukraine policy that it's rather bizarre to see you now talk as if it's really Europe that was responsible for all that. I think we've debated the Ukraine topic enough in the past that we more or less know where the other stands - and for the purposes of this discussion, we do agree on quite a bit in terms of how Russian-speaking Ukrainians had very legitimate grievances and how there is no way the war could end with Ukraine reclaiming all of its pre-2014 territory.

Nevertheless, it's Putin who started this foolish war and is responsible for the casualties, not the Biden administration nor the European countries in NATO. And while as mentioned we agree that Ukraine will inevitably have to give up the Crimea and Donbas, it's also clear that any serious peace will need to provide Ukraine and the rest of Europe security guarantees. Otherwise, if it's just supposed to serve as a recovery period for Russia before it attacks Ukraine again, or the Baltics, then it may be better to not stop the war at all.


View original postAs a result, Europe has no plan as to how to move forward, only pathetic PR statements and some wishful thinking. If Europe continues down this path or, God forbid, wants to let Ukraine in NATO, then the US should give Ukraine the US spot in NATO and run, not walk, away from the alliance.

Fair enough that Europe has no serious plan at this point, yet. And if the US walks away from NATO, whether officially or just in practice, then obviously it's dead and Europe would have to arrange its own defense against Russia through some new setup, in which no doubt Ukraine would have a significant role to play, yes.
View original postFinally, NATO was always about projecting US power and influence, and it was clear to earlier generations that this made the European states effectively vassals of the US. The newer generation doesn't like to be reminded of the power imbalance, but Europe combined is only 50% of the US economy, and it's dropping. If they ratchet up defense spending it will be at the cost of more social programs, which an aging and dying Europe cannot afford to cut without risking even bigger unrest than it has seen.

This is just factually wrong. In purchasing power parity terms, the EU is only slightly behind the US and ahead of it when combined with the UK. In nominal terms, the gap is bigger but still the EU is at something like two thirds of the US economy, not half.

In per capita terms, the gap is bigger as the EU has roughly 100 million more inhabitants, but in this context the total numbers seem more relevant. And as for 'aging and dying', the US isn't exactly in a much better position - and is spending far more on healthcare for worse results, on average. Same with unaffordable social programs, the US hardly has its house in order to preach at others. Perhaps you do actually want to seriously reform the ones in the US and get the federal budget in order again, but as you might have noticed by now, after all the failed attempts to do that in the past decades, your current president couldn't care less and just bullies any dissenting Republicans until they either cave in or get primaried out of Congress.


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View original postMerz and Tusk have both expressed a desire to acquire nuclear weapons via nuclear sharing, with France or the UK providing the weapons.

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View original post2. Is this a development you support or find acceptable?

View original postNo, under no circumstances. Total economic blockades of those states that try is acceptable, military action is totally acceptable as well, up to and including the use of our nuclear weapons against them.

That is rather hilarious, coming after all the preceding parts about Europe needing to pull its weight in NATO and how the US would leave otherwise. So instead of pulling back from foreign entanglements as Trump claims to want - sometimes - and certainly many of his voters want, your own preference would be to go hit your allies with nukes, huh?
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Thoughts on NATO and nuclear proliferation - 11/03/2025 02:05:20 AM 181 Views
Re: Thoughts on NATO and nuclear proliferation - 11/03/2025 04:47:15 PM 47 Views
Re: Thoughts on NATO and nuclear proliferation - 11/03/2025 09:48:32 PM 40 Views
Re: Thoughts on NATO and nuclear proliferation - 18/03/2025 02:40:01 PM 32 Views
I agree with most of what you wrote here - 18/03/2025 02:55:08 PM 23 Views
Re: I agree with most of what you wrote here - 18/03/2025 04:19:05 PM 23 Views
Re: Thoughts on NATO and nuclear proliferation - 11/03/2025 06:19:01 PM 48 Views
Re: Thoughts on NATO and nuclear proliferation - 11/03/2025 08:52:57 PM 35 Views
Some of this is fair enough - some, not so much. And the ending is... um. Novel? - 11/03/2025 10:57:41 PM 33 Views
This reads like a Jeremy Strong character running for minor office *NM* - 14/03/2025 10:54:47 AM 8 Views
I guess I should reply also here. - 11/03/2025 11:21:16 PM 37 Views
Re: I guess I should reply also here. - 12/03/2025 01:35:49 AM 32 Views
Ok, I can answer also from a wider long term perspective. - 14/03/2025 08:05:10 AM 29 Views
Re: Ok, I can answer also from a wider long term perspective. - 18/03/2025 01:56:11 AM 30 Views
Re: Ok, I can answer also from a wider long term perspective. - 18/03/2025 07:25:45 PM 22 Views
I think it's largely irrelevant now - 14/03/2025 11:14:10 AM 37 Views
You’re probably right about that. - 18/03/2025 04:50:24 AM 31 Views
Re: Thoughts on NATO and nuclear proliferation - 14/03/2025 01:27:34 PM 34 Views

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