I agree to some extent with the first sentence but not so much with the predictions after that. It's not like trans people are just going to up and disappear, nor does it seem likely that the debate about puberty blockers / transitioning teenagers will end in a blanket ban. But certainly things have been moving very fast, arguably too fast for healthy scientific consensus to emerge as to what should be done when, what criteria to use for evaluating gender dysphoria and the like. And yeah, also on the right balance to strike in women's sports as you refer to further down - though let's face it, it's rather sad how people who never gave a damn about women's sports before (I don't mean you) are now using that as a cudgel to beat all trans people with.

I guess you don't care about the lack of anything approaching a rigorous foundation when it comes to feeding students propaganda that leads them to wear red, white and blue and chant "My pronouns are USA", though...

There's certainly a lot of worrying trends in education, but considering the rate at which the world is changing, the answer is definitely not to just wax nostalgic about the good old days and think that'll fix everything. I remember at one point in the 2016 election there were some signs that Republicans were seriously looking at how to adjust school curricula in a forward-facing way, but since then I've heard precious little about American education that wasn't all culture war all the way.

Agreed.

As mentioned in the title, I'm rather doubtful about the first sentence, except on certain specific points. For instance, it is certainly a fact that today's teenagers are starting to have sex significantly later than earlier generations, which could be considered more conservative in a way, though obviously at the same time they are also far more likely to identify as LGBTQI and various other terms that many adults wouldn't even know. But as far as I'm aware, see also the link, the trend away from religion hasn't been reversed, even if it has slowed down and the main religions aren't fading as fast as some had anticipated.

Though as for Muslims, well, yes, over here in Europe we've long been a bit mystified by American liberals' delusions about all kinds of minorities happily banding together and all supporting each other's causes. It was never going to be that easy.

I do think Tyr has a point in the sense that on more and more points, your 'common sense' is no longer common at all. Part of that is specifically American socio-political polarization, part is a wider global trend with thanks to social media and globalization. And while I agree with you that nothing lasts forever, action leads to reaction and all that, I'm really not sure what the synthesis will end up being.