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A natural experiment fionwe1987 Send a noteboard - 08/06/2020 10:42:34 PM

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While I support generally why they are protesting, it does seem unfortunate timing for mass protests. Will be interesting to see how it plays out, plus how much impact wearing masks will have, as some protests seemed to have lots of mask wearers, versus others that didn't.

That disparity is unfortunate, but does present an opportunity. The real issue will be coming up with reasonable estimates of mask wearing. I believe we have enough photos and videos from these protests to be able to make a statistically reasonable estimate, then go from there, but mask wearing won't be the only factor that differentiates these protests, so we'll have to be very careful with how we analyze the data. But I wouldn't be shocked that someone is looking to do such a study.

Unfortunately, by it's nature, it'll be a few years till such a study is truly doable. So it'll have to be a topic to revisit eventually.

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I'm curious. damookster - 08/06/2020 06:59:18 PM 1123 Views
Knowledge is always uncertain, there will always be under and overreactions. Roland00 - 08/06/2020 07:06:35 PM 348 Views
I would expect so, yes. *NM* Legolas - 08/06/2020 08:00:59 PM 187 Views
That yes is for which question? Or is it for both? *NM* damookster - 08/06/2020 08:23:06 PM 192 Views
The first one. Otherwise I'd have said no and yes. *NM* Legolas - 08/06/2020 09:19:48 PM 185 Views
Yes, I believe we will... fionwe1987 - 08/06/2020 10:15:30 PM 376 Views
Why are you so invested in either closing down the country or the seriousness of the flu? Cannoli - 09/06/2020 06:37:24 PM 416 Views
Because I care about my fellow human being, cockroach. Go infest somewhere else. I'm done with you. *NM* fionwe1987 - 09/06/2020 08:35:42 PM 195 Views
Except you don't. You really, REALLY want this disease to be worse than it is. Cannoli - 12/06/2020 11:06:50 AM 383 Views
Sure. Anyone who disagrees with you wants mass poverty or mass death. No other possibility exists... fionwe1987 - 12/06/2020 02:44:08 PM 370 Views
Fionwe same as other alt-left crazies Nargs - 16/06/2020 05:24:12 PM 400 Views
I dunno what's "alt" about it. We're the mainstream. Which must scare you fionwe1987 - 16/06/2020 06:06:44 PM 360 Views
Dissonance Nargs - 16/06/2020 08:02:08 PM 357 Views
Do you think it's possible to disagree, even vehemently damookster - 16/06/2020 08:14:50 PM 399 Views
I'm sure it is, in some conditions. fionwe1987 - 16/06/2020 09:43:50 PM 385 Views
I am not a middle aged white man. I'm an old white man. damookster - 16/06/2020 06:15:52 PM 395 Views
Evidence is not on your side, damook *NM* Nargs - 16/06/2020 07:27:39 PM 199 Views
Much like... Jeordam - 16/06/2020 07:34:14 PM 414 Views
Statistically Insignificant Nargs - 16/06/2020 08:07:03 PM 351 Views
Stats don't tell the whole story. damookster - 16/06/2020 08:06:17 PM 343 Views
You're right but on race? Nargs - 16/06/2020 08:08:40 PM 387 Views
Yes, you're right. damookster - 16/06/2020 08:17:04 PM 342 Views
You realize that's not a contradiction, right? fionwe1987 - 16/06/2020 09:49:56 PM 373 Views
A few points gban007 - 17/06/2020 09:29:15 PM 364 Views
I wasn't going to say it but... Nargs - 16/06/2020 08:17:57 PM 393 Views
Again: you really are a loathsome little ball of slime. Ghavrel - 10/06/2020 02:11:52 AM 356 Views
It's not my world, it's theirs. Cannoli - 12/06/2020 11:13:14 AM 381 Views
Burning down corporate stores and taking their stolen wealth is a moral good. *NM* Ghavrel - 15/06/2020 12:04:52 AM 197 Views
Stolen Wealth? Jeordam - 15/06/2020 04:50:59 PM 375 Views
How does one determine what is Original Sin? Roland00 - 15/06/2020 05:17:37 PM 366 Views
So then.... Jeordam - 15/06/2020 09:59:31 PM 363 Views
I'm uncertain if this is what Ghavrel meant, but I'd assume you don't need proof that slavery... fionwe1987 - 15/06/2020 07:59:07 PM 354 Views
So we're talking about reparations....? Jeordam - 15/06/2020 09:42:37 PM 369 Views
Why must money solve "all" issues? fionwe1987 - 15/06/2020 11:32:05 PM 344 Views
So then money won't... Jeordam - 16/06/2020 06:09:24 PM 352 Views
fionwe1987 - 16/06/2020 06:29:59 PM 360 Views
Those aren't codified examples Jeordam - 16/06/2020 07:31:49 PM 356 Views
Well that's some special nonsense fionwe1987 - 16/06/2020 09:55:42 PM 368 Views
We're having a discussion...please try and not denigrate me. Jeordam - 17/06/2020 05:26:36 PM 348 Views
But I didn't clearly state I want to denigrate you. You're inferring intent. How's that ok? fionwe1987 - 17/06/2020 06:06:28 PM 353 Views
Pain and Death they *actively* choose... Jeordam - 17/06/2020 06:39:13 PM 379 Views
They make no such choice. Which is why they're out there protesting fionwe1987 - 17/06/2020 07:00:25 PM 400 Views
Sigh Roland00 - 16/06/2020 08:15:12 PM 333 Views
Nah I just straight up think capitalism is evil. Reparations should be paid, though. *NM* Ghavrel - 16/06/2020 09:22:46 AM 174 Views
Fair enough. *NM* fionwe1987 - 16/06/2020 02:54:11 PM 174 Views
aaah... Jeordam - 16/06/2020 06:10:16 PM 368 Views
Re: Stolen Wealth? Ghavrel - 16/06/2020 09:21:32 AM 333 Views
Rather it should be The State? *NM* damookster - 16/06/2020 12:10:59 PM 172 Views
What is "the State" fionwe1987 - 16/06/2020 02:57:34 PM 338 Views
my comment was directed to Ghavrel. damookster - 16/06/2020 04:49:39 PM 342 Views
You shouldn't make assumptions... fionwe1987 - 16/06/2020 06:10:02 PM 341 Views
Lemme tell you about this cool thing called syndicalism... *NM* Ghavrel - 17/06/2020 06:46:38 AM 185 Views
There's a lot I like about that... *NM* fionwe1987 - 17/06/2020 06:07:47 PM 158 Views
Syndicalisme révolutionnaire, peut-être? *NM* damookster - 17/06/2020 06:29:00 PM 158 Views
I'm actually still a reformist, believe it or not. *NM* Ghavrel - 18/06/2020 03:29:18 PM 174 Views
Bah *NM* damookster - 18/06/2020 03:36:20 PM 158 Views
I been thinking about the different religious sects of Himboism, suddenly ... Roland00 - 29/06/2020 01:30:09 AM 329 Views
The only state with legitimacy is the Kingdom of Heaven. *NM* Ghavrel - 16/06/2020 08:57:26 PM 164 Views
Are we talking about the Mormon Sect? Roland00 - 16/06/2020 09:06:14 PM 319 Views
My bad damookster - 16/06/2020 10:20:14 PM 355 Views
In fairness, I usually talk policy goals as a social democrat. Ghavrel - 17/06/2020 12:34:45 AM 340 Views
They The Shrike - 17/06/2020 06:29:35 PM 369 Views
damookster - 17/06/2020 06:40:30 PM 378 Views
I go by she and her, but thank you. <3 *NM* Ghavrel - 18/06/2020 03:45:46 PM 185 Views
I try to be very sensitive to this. damookster - 18/06/2020 03:55:01 PM 377 Views
It means a great deal to me. I can't overstate how much it means to your grandson. *NM* Ghavrel - 18/06/2020 04:04:53 PM 204 Views
Catholicism by itself is a Performance Arts Piece Roland00 - 18/06/2020 01:17:45 AM 346 Views
A Catholic?! What?! I'm an Episcopalian. Ghavrel - 18/06/2020 03:45:24 PM 385 Views
No thanks. Not into non-democracies. *NM* The Shrike - 17/06/2020 06:26:29 PM 166 Views
Ah a fellow Devil's Party Member. *NM* Roland00 - 18/06/2020 01:13:37 AM 152 Views
I can empathize with this view, actually, though I no longer hold it. *NM* Ghavrel - 18/06/2020 03:47:24 PM 186 Views
That's the debate, isn't it. Jeordam - 16/06/2020 06:16:10 PM 335 Views
Economists have been arguing this for over 400 years. Roland00 - 16/06/2020 08:22:57 PM 336 Views
You could let the market determine that, I guess. Ghavrel - 16/06/2020 08:56:23 PM 364 Views
Because we do not live in Paradise. Jeordam - 17/06/2020 05:36:58 PM 331 Views
Exactly. So the worker should own the means of production with other workers. Ghavrel - 17/06/2020 06:11:21 PM 343 Views
So my question then is.... Jeordam - 17/06/2020 06:46:11 PM 369 Views
Sigh...I just can't not. Roland00 - 18/06/2020 01:20:09 AM 325 Views
You know "talent" in the Bible is explictly referring to money, right? Ghavrel - 18/06/2020 03:43:11 PM 364 Views
Jesus also said it is easier for a camel to pass though a needle's eye... damookster - 18/06/2020 03:49:43 PM 331 Views
This is true! Ghavrel - 18/06/2020 04:04:16 PM 381 Views
Thou shalt not steal. *NM* The Shrike - 15/06/2020 11:10:34 PM 165 Views
"Ye blind guides, which strain at a gnat, and swallow a camel." *NM* Ghavrel - 16/06/2020 09:19:26 AM 169 Views
"Render unto Caesar the things that are Caesar's" *NM* damookster - 16/06/2020 12:13:15 PM 147 Views
Pride goes before destruction, and a haughty spirit before a fall. *NM* The Shrike - 16/06/2020 12:15:04 PM 160 Views
"Your gold and silver is cankered; and the rust of them shall be a witness against you..." *NM* Ghavrel - 16/06/2020 10:15:41 PM 177 Views
Is a concern of mine gban007 - 08/06/2020 10:16:09 PM 393 Views
A natural experiment fionwe1987 - 08/06/2020 10:42:34 PM 332 Views
Yes, we probably will. But demonstrators wearing masks are not normal life. Ghavrel - 09/06/2020 07:10:31 AM 375 Views
I'm not sure that's a valid comparison. damookster - 09/06/2020 05:57:31 PM 331 Views
Agreed. These aren't comparable situations. fionwe1987 - 09/06/2020 06:09:27 PM 347 Views
Down South that is called Communism Mookie. Roland00 - 09/06/2020 06:32:06 PM 341 Views
Alabama is down south, right? aerocontrols - 09/06/2020 10:08:15 PM 342 Views
I was comparing it to a control situation of no state action in response to SARS-CoV-2. Ghavrel - 10/06/2020 02:09:19 AM 347 Views
We have all the same rules here in Seattle Bad Ash - 10/06/2020 07:45:59 PM 357 Views
I figured you aerocontrols - 09/06/2020 10:09:36 PM 338 Views
About your original question... fionwe1987 - 17/06/2020 09:25:38 PM 363 Views
that is encouraging damookster - 17/06/2020 09:44:10 PM 368 Views
Re: that is encouraging fionwe1987 - 17/06/2020 10:10:34 PM 346 Views
Seems indoors with strangers is more a predictor than outdoor protests. Roland00 - 27/06/2020 02:38:07 AM 430 Views
Tips, maybe? fionwe1987 - 27/06/2020 05:10:30 AM 384 Views
Perhaps Roland00 - 27/06/2020 10:19:39 PM 322 Views
A 315 city study, BLM protests did not cause a spike in COVID cases. Roland00 - 27/06/2020 10:19:05 PM 336 Views
Sigh, here is some bad news. Case Reports and a Lab study suggests COVID may cause type 1 diabetes Roland00 - 28/06/2020 06:11:45 AM 314 Views
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