Sounds to me like you're going deep into your playbook for excuses and sidesteps.
Joker Send a noteboard - 02/12/2009 08:03:51 PM
Forgetting for the moment the various credible accusations based of their emails of distorting data, tampering with the peer-review process, conspiring to hide information from FOI, etc, there is the repeated exscuse that they could not store all their data in the 80s.
Credible in your opinion
Never a good start to try and be reasonable if you are going to load your very first sentence like that. You seem them as credible, I don't see such carefully selected, out of context snippets as credible.
This, of course, is utter BS. By 1974 IBM gave us nice little cylinders you could hold in your hand that stored 50 MB, we had 3 1/2 drives storing a quarter of a Mb by 82 and tape drives storing 200 MB with rapid access by 84 that were slightly smaller than a paperback - and not a thick fantasy novel.
Now how much data was there, that they felt obliged to toss it away? We're spoiled by videos taking up gigabytes but a one megabyte is a lot of memory where data is concerned.
If they stored it in ASCII, as one byte per character, or in decimal at 4 bit instead, with just numbers 0-9 and maybe a break character or two (16 to play with at 4 bit after all) then one megabyte lets them store either one million characters or 2 millon numerical digits.
What was that data? Was it just high and low for the day, maybe a four digit number in celsius? Some abbreviated timestamp and four digits then, with a longer timestamp from time to time and a location identifier? You could record a hundred years of data on 1 megabyte from one monitor station that way and still have room left over.
But maybe they did more, maybe they took hourly readings of temperature, pressure, humidity, wind direction and speed, rain fall. You wouldn't record that in an easy read format, you'd mash it, so maybe 176928161320145 means 17.69 Celsius, 28.1 pressure, 61% humidity, wind at 320 bearing 14.5 km/h. Toss in a timestamp like 840011445 for 001 - January 1st of 1984 and 1445 or 2:45 PM, what was that, 25 characters, 25 bytes, 26 with a break or more likely 13 since you'd not waste memory with ASCII. At hourly readings, about third of a kilobyte a day per station, about 100 kb a year, per station, hourly readings of everything I can think of with no timestamp abridgement and probably more significant digits then were actually recorded, but maybe they did cloud cover percent, dewpoint, etc too. So let's say 100 kb, keeping in mind that a 400k word book like RJ writes contains millions of characters, so one stations hard copy results for a year could be printed in less than a paperbakc, much less, even with nice formatting. One of those 50 Mb cylinders from 1974 shold have been able to store a decade of data from 50 locations, one of those tape drives from 1984 could have done 200 and fit in less space than a paperback. How many monitoring stations did they have, ten thousand? All 10,000, for a decade, 10 Gig, neatly fitting on to 200 3480 tapes or 800 of the old 3850 ones from 1974. And this whole time, a sdata is coming in, the clutter isn't happening because more compact and cheaper memory devices are arriving faster than you're filling your old ones up
So no, I don't buy the memory limitation stuff some people have been chucking around.
You don't get rid of your raw data, especially when it can't be easily replicated in a lab. Pretty hard to repeat weather on earth. Sure, you've got a neat experiment that can be done over quick and easy and shows no anomalies, you don't really need to keep the data around, but even then you do becuase someone might challenge it, and some enterprising student might come by years later, notice an anomaly and find a whole new field of science from it. "Interesting, your temps are .01 degree to high in this region, even a bit higher at night, turns the ground is warmer than it shoud be because you're sitting on a patch of uranium. Weird, holy heck, it's an asteroid impact! And we dug it up and found out that it dates to an extinction event!" etc. Vast amounts of new science emerges from what often looks and essentially was noise, totally irrelevant often to the experiment being run but a vital clue for something else. SO them losing their raw data is bad just for that.
It also makes all their results that rely on that data garbage, probably true anyway, but still garbage, because no one can look at the data to check. It's not just a bunch of anti-GW people pissed at this, it's a bunch of scientists, many firm advocates of AGW. And we know about this without those emails, we've known for months, probably why they got hacked. Dr Pielke - climatoligist and big advocate of AGW - asked for their data months ago and posted their BS answer along with some very nasty remarks.
I'd not seen about this before, and it does reflect poorly on them as it stands. Though I think you are hugely over estimating public sector IT provision in the UK - as someone who works in the public sector and knows a fair number of other people who do, I wouldn't bet against some places not having that level of storage now
Having looked this up on the internet now though, it seems that it isn't a case of them having thrown away the only copies of thay data. The data was provided to them by local Met Offices around the world and is being stored by those Met Offices locally still (which kinda undermines a nice size paragraph of yours
). They also claimed that the data they got rid of was when they moved building and didn't have space to store the paper and tapes it was stored on, which kind of skews your estimates, without knowing the volume of paper involved (or how much data was on each tape and the total humber of tapes).Still, while not what you seem set on building it into (as they deleted their copies of the original data, not the original data), it is dubious behaviour at best by them.
Now as for the emails, yeah, it was an invasion of privacy, though we now know they were conspiring - out of their own mouths - to avoid FOI, which is contemptible from a scientist. Just because it was obtained immorally doesn't mean we stick our heads in the sand, if someone is peeping in people's bedroom windows and sees some guy with a ten year old tied up on his bed, we don't go "Oh, well you invaded his privacy".
I think you rather miss the point - it is this. When someone (or ones) illegally obtains informtation then releases it at a carefully timed point to further a political end (and I consider timing it to try and influence the Copenhagen talks a political end, given it is now known that UEA was hacked several months ago) then releases their highlights of it, perhaps the right thing to do isn't to dance to their tune unquestioningly, like puppets.
And seriously, you are trying to compare this to paedophilia? Very classy and reasoned, no attempt to load the end of your long post the way you did the start then, I see. It is a pretty stupid comparison but one that is so uncalled and untasteful for I'm not even going to bother picking it apart.
That wasn't much of a response. Long, sure, but filled with nonsense and sidesteps. You really shouldn't bury your head in the sand so deeply.
Global Warming: Climategate
- 28/11/2009 05:42:50 PM
708 Views
I think the problem is that it just isn't actually much of a story, though clearly some wish it was
- 29/11/2009 11:49:19 PM
446 Views
That dog don't hunt
- 30/11/2009 07:49:04 AM
368 Views
What you do or don't do with your dog is between you and your dog. And perhaps the legal system.
- 01/12/2009 04:24:00 PM
407 Views
Sounds to me like you're going deep into your playbook for excuses and sidesteps.
- 02/12/2009 08:03:51 PM
373 Views