Trump will "win" if he looks more or less Presidential and doesn't say anything incredibly stupid. Trump loses if he has a major gaffe or betrays complete ignorance while pretending to know something (i.e., something like "I've been to all the countries in Antarctica" ).
Also, Hillary can "lose" if she exhibits any health symptoms or seems unlikeable. Hillary "wins" by Trump "losing" and her not "losing".
So the outcomes are:
Hillary wins, Trump loses
Trump wins, Hillary loses
Both lose
My impression is that the likelihood of the various outcomes are as follows:
Hillary win - 30%
Trump win - 40% (it's a lower bar)
Both lose - 30%
Political correctness is the pettiest form of casuistry.
ἡ δὲ κἀκ τριῶν τρυπημάτων ἐργαζομένη ἐνεκάλει τῇ φύσει, δυσφορουμένη, ὅτι δὴ μὴ καὶ τοὺς τιτθοὺς αὐτῇ εὐρύτερον ἢ νῦν εἰσι τρυπώη, ὅπως καὶ ἄλλην ἐνταῦθα μίξιν ἐπιτεχνᾶσθαι δυνατὴ εἴη. – Procopius
Ummaka qinnassa nīk!
*MySmiley*
ἡ δὲ κἀκ τριῶν τρυπημάτων ἐργαζομένη ἐνεκάλει τῇ φύσει, δυσφορουμένη, ὅτι δὴ μὴ καὶ τοὺς τιτθοὺς αὐτῇ εὐρύτερον ἢ νῦν εἰσι τρυπώη, ὅπως καὶ ἄλλην ἐνταῦθα μίξιν ἐπιτεχνᾶσθαι δυνατὴ εἴη. – Procopius
Ummaka qinnassa nīk!
*MySmiley*
So... care to place any bets ? 
- 26/09/2016 01:22:23 PM
995 Views
- 26/09/2016 01:22:23 PM
995 Views
I think it's simple
- 26/09/2016 08:06:39 PM
559 Views
Curious what you think the outcome was
- 27/09/2016 08:40:55 PM
661 Views
I think the outcome was inconsequential
- 28/09/2016 05:46:47 AM
532 Views
Trump called to meet the bar I set for him
- 28/09/2016 06:13:37 PM
558 Views
Who exactly did Trump call? *NM*
- 28/09/2016 07:49:10 PM
274 Views
i think it's supposed to be "Trump failed" which is about right for his debate performance Monday *NM*
- 28/09/2016 10:14:35 PM
284 Views
They will both make wish had passed a do over amendment.
- 26/09/2016 09:41:19 PM
516 Views
lots of European democracies require at least 50% turnout
- 27/09/2016 11:58:10 PM
449 Views
We have to do something to fix the primary system are we will never get away from extremists and gri *NM*
- 28/09/2016 06:15:36 PM
238 Views
I bet it's going to be hilarious, and I'm super excited about it.
- 27/09/2016 12:15:15 AM
438 Views
After watching it, I think it's clear that the only loser, was the moderator.
- 28/09/2016 02:40:11 PM
440 Views
trump lost BIGLY last night
- 27/09/2016 11:57:21 PM
461 Views
Clinton could've been frothing at the mouth espousing killing every 3rd puppy and you would say that *NM*
- 28/09/2016 01:02:09 PM
215 Views
at least i could sleep comfortably knowing she has a basic grasp of the English language....
- 28/09/2016 07:36:33 PM
442 Views
..says the man that used "lost bigly" in a sentence... *NM*
- 29/09/2016 02:25:20 PM
235 Views
i'm sorry that you didn't watch the debate, maybe you would have learned something.... *NM*
- 30/09/2016 05:48:14 PM
219 Views
Two Things, Bush 41 (Father Bush) Signed NAFTA not Bill Clinton, Second I am a ....
- 28/09/2016 03:42:33 AM
533 Views
Re: Two Things, Bush 41 (Father Bush) Signed NAFTA not Bill Clinton, Second I am a ....
- 28/09/2016 12:59:51 PM
459 Views
I never could stand her. So needy and self centered. Kermit was the man. *NM*
- 28/09/2016 06:17:33 PM
235 Views
I love Piggy, I love Kermit, I hate them married, they are good some of the time when...
- 28/09/2016 09:27:36 PM
416 Views
The relationship always arranged one sided and a little abusive unlike his relationship with Gonzo
- 29/09/2016 06:14:50 PM
564 Views