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The number is much higher than that Roland00 Send a noteboard - 27/07/2016 02:59:45 AM

I do not believe the chances of Trump winning are high, but they are much higher than 0.005%

They are much higher than

1 A vs 19,999 Bs

Nate Silver's 538 puts the current odds at 52.4% Clinton, 47.5% Trump, the rest going to the House of the Representatives or the Courts to settle this out

http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/?ex_cid=mobilebar

Previously same guy in his model stated the chances of trump winning is about 20%. The link I gave has graphs and timelines of when the model says X vs Y.

Arguably the most important 3 states to watch in polls are North Carolina, Ohio, and Florida to see who is going to win Clinton or Trump.

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as the GOP convention winds down one question remains.... moondog - 21/07/2016 09:16:35 PM 732 Views
Why doesn't an enlightened person such as yourself use her last name, like with male politicians? Cannoli - 21/07/2016 10:08:51 PM 561 Views
perhaps i should simply refer to her as Clinton 45 from now on *NM* moondog - 25/07/2016 10:36:48 PM 251 Views
Don't count your chickens before they hatch. Legolas - 22/07/2016 12:23:36 AM 526 Views
I hear they will be setting up stalls so we can shower after we vote to wash the smell off. *NM* random thoughts - 22/07/2016 06:35:34 PM 269 Views
Re: Don't count your chickens before they hatch. Cannoli - 23/07/2016 02:53:36 AM 510 Views
Not at all. Plenty of valid reasons to dislike her, some of which I agree with and others not. Legolas - 23/07/2016 11:30:09 AM 651 Views
Mansplaining now? Arrgh! Sexists EVERYwhere... Cannoli - 24/07/2016 01:49:19 AM 632 Views
the Electoral College map suggests Trump has too much ground to cover moondog - 25/07/2016 10:28:12 PM 511 Views
Depends which prediction you're looking at. Legolas - 25/07/2016 11:15:40 PM 485 Views
Two things Roland00 - 26/07/2016 01:35:52 AM 526 Views
Re: Two things moondog - 26/07/2016 11:27:22 PM 457 Views
The number is much higher than that Roland00 - 27/07/2016 02:59:45 AM 507 Views
Con men do sometimes win Roland00 - 22/07/2016 05:37:01 AM 694 Views
Do you ever get tired of this? Talk about con men... Cannoli - 23/07/2016 03:22:09 AM 655 Views
I have told you in the past I am not going to respond to your content or your response to my posts Roland00 - 23/07/2016 11:06:45 AM 534 Views
You replied to his marriage vows post *NM* ßelals Girl - 23/07/2016 12:11:55 PM 237 Views
Your sloppy use of pronouns led me to think they were Cannoli - 23/07/2016 03:10:53 PM 581 Views
1984 is a non-starter. The Shrike - 22/07/2016 01:05:45 PM 535 Views
It is a bit early to let Bill start highering interns random thoughts - 22/07/2016 06:34:22 PM 480 Views
Hillary should win by around 5-10% of the popular vote Sports_Gambler - 28/07/2016 12:54:35 PM 486 Views
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