Re: Where did the have Obama this far out from his first primary?
Sports_Gambler Send a noteboard - 12/08/2015 01:22:19 AM
If I recall correctly, Betfair betting markets had Hillary Clinton and Obama running neck-and-neck (50% chance each) at this stage for Democratic nominee, whereas the polls showed Hillary ahead.
But yes, of course both polls and betting markets should get more accurate as the election draws closer.
This message last edited by Sports_Gambler on 12/08/2015 at 01:26:21 AM
So can Trump actually win the nomination?
06/08/2015 06:02:41 PM
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I still think no. The media want ratings and feed the hype, that's all.
06/08/2015 06:54:25 PM
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Bloomberg is a democrat
06/08/2015 11:14:03 PM
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You misunderstand me.
07/08/2015 06:49:15 AM
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I think Trump hurt himslef in the debate last night
07/08/2015 01:20:51 PM
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Yeah, that's weird - you almost never hear about Cruz being born in Canada.
07/08/2015 09:49:32 PM
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Immediate post-debate polls showed most thought FOX bullied TRUMP, who stared it down
10/08/2015 01:14:59 PM
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Trumps exceptionally high presidential AND disapproval ratings are due to the GOP civil war
10/08/2015 01:12:27 PM
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I don't think so.
07/08/2015 01:51:18 PM
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Kasich is such a good choice I do not know whether to want or fear his nomination
10/08/2015 01:19:05 PM
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I am horrified that this is even a legitimate question. But it is.
07/08/2015 04:42:31 PM
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Some partially related thoughts after actually watching the debate...
07/08/2015 09:28:42 PM
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Kasich is easily the GOPs best choice, so probably has no shot
10/08/2015 01:31:44 PM
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Probably. In a field this big he might still rise to the top five, but probably not to victory.
10/08/2015 07:36:57 PM
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Betfair betting markets say no
08/08/2015 08:41:36 AM
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it just shocks me that his numbers stay high no matter he says
09/08/2015 03:40:47 PM
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Yeah, but betting markets are proven to be far more accurate than polls
11/08/2015 07:54:55 AM
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Where did the have Obama this far out from his first primary?
11/08/2015 04:42:00 PM
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Re: Where did the have Obama this far out from his first primary?
12/08/2015 01:22:19 AM
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i think i would need to see proof that they were picking him in August 2007
12/08/2015 01:40:31 AM
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Watching a bunch of old men tear themselves apart over women being people...
09/08/2015 06:22:54 PM
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Trump probably *can* win the nomination
13/08/2015 10:24:49 PM
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please show the poll with Bush trailing Clinton by anywhere 20points
14/08/2015 12:49:47 AM
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