I still think no. The media want ratings and feed the hype, that's all.
Legolas Send a noteboard - 06/08/2015 06:54:25 PM
View original postI know the popular opinion is he will say something really stupid and flame out but he has already insulted POWs and pissed off every Latino in the country and he keeps getting more popular.
It's still just a couple months in the early stages of the nomination process, though. I don't immediately expect tonight to have a huge effect one way or the other, but at the end of the year when things are heating up for real, I can't see it lasting. Contrary to popular European opinion, I have more faith in the average Republican voter than that. And in the Republican establishment - the Kochs, the RNC etc. are smart people, and if the viable candidates keep Trump alive by splitting the sane vote in one primary after another, they'll do whatever it takes to kick some candidates out of contention. For me the real question is how serious he is about an independent run - and to what extent his fans would follow him in that.
View original postI can't decide which will hurt the party more, him winning the nomination or him running as an independent. Either way the Dems win the election but I think him on the top of the ticket would be a huge drag on the other elections taking place. A negative coattail effect where republicans are so disgusted they don't bother to vote at all. With all the republicans up for reelection this cycle it could be a blood bath. If he just runs as an independent the party loses and election they were positioned to win but get to shed some of its more fringe elements and move back towards the center.
Agree, though I'm not so sure about "positioned to win" even without Trump.
View original postI have voted for every republican nominee since Reagan but I cannot and will not vote for Trump. To me the republican party has always been about fiscal responsibility and personal accountability. If it becomes the I blame China and Mexicans for all my problems party I don't think I could call myself a republican any longer.
You and many others. In the unlikely event that he does win the Republican nomination, if I were Michael Bloomberg, I would be thinking it's now or never.
So can Trump actually win the nomination?
06/08/2015 06:02:41 PM
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I still think no. The media want ratings and feed the hype, that's all.
06/08/2015 06:54:25 PM
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Bloomberg is a democrat
06/08/2015 11:14:03 PM
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You misunderstand me.
07/08/2015 06:49:15 AM
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I think Trump hurt himslef in the debate last night
07/08/2015 01:20:51 PM
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Yeah, that's weird - you almost never hear about Cruz being born in Canada.
07/08/2015 09:49:32 PM
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Immediate post-debate polls showed most thought FOX bullied TRUMP, who stared it down
10/08/2015 01:14:59 PM
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Trumps exceptionally high presidential AND disapproval ratings are due to the GOP civil war
10/08/2015 01:12:27 PM
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I don't think so.
07/08/2015 01:51:18 PM
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Kasich is such a good choice I do not know whether to want or fear his nomination
10/08/2015 01:19:05 PM
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I am horrified that this is even a legitimate question. But it is.
07/08/2015 04:42:31 PM
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Some partially related thoughts after actually watching the debate...
07/08/2015 09:28:42 PM
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Kasich is easily the GOPs best choice, so probably has no shot
10/08/2015 01:31:44 PM
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Probably. In a field this big he might still rise to the top five, but probably not to victory.
10/08/2015 07:36:57 PM
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Betfair betting markets say no
08/08/2015 08:41:36 AM
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it just shocks me that his numbers stay high no matter he says
09/08/2015 03:40:47 PM
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Yeah, but betting markets are proven to be far more accurate than polls
11/08/2015 07:54:55 AM
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Where did the have Obama this far out from his first primary?
11/08/2015 04:42:00 PM
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Re: Where did the have Obama this far out from his first primary?
12/08/2015 01:22:19 AM
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i think i would need to see proof that they were picking him in August 2007
12/08/2015 01:40:31 AM
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Watching a bunch of old men tear themselves apart over women being people...
09/08/2015 06:22:54 PM
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Trump probably *can* win the nomination
13/08/2015 10:24:49 PM
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please show the poll with Bush trailing Clinton by anywhere 20points
14/08/2015 12:49:47 AM
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