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Re: So, Whom Do You Like? random thoughts Send a noteboard - 06/11/2012 06:13:11 PM
That is the question of the day, and Electoral Vote is now asking the same ones Isaac recently posed (I will do a final revision of my own responses there shortly:)

Whom do you like for US president?


Mitt

Whom do you expect to win?


Nothing is certain but I don't really trust the polls this year. Most of them are based on the 2008 turnout and I don't think that is what we will see this year. Some of the polls even show an increases in dem turnout which is unlikely.

If I had to bet all of your money I would say Mitt out preforms the polls and wins by 3% and carried the majority of battle ground states. Wouldn't bet my money though.

My Wild Card pick is that Romney either will win without Ohio or that he will not have needed it to win.

Democrats now have a 53/47 Senate majority but trail Republicans 193/242 in the House; how many seats will they have in each chamber tomorrow?


Republicans pick up two maybe three seats. If it is three then who is VP will matter. Republicans lose a few but maintain control. Generic poll is +1 republican and the out preform about 1.5 points so should end up somewhere around 230.

What, if any, party do you prefer? Ideology?


I prefer libertarian ideals but not the party. I would like to see the republicans become more big tent and stop putting so much focus on social issues and hard right immigration issues.

What is the most important issue to you?


I don't vote on issues. I want the most capable person in office who is looking to improve the country as a whole and not push one group’s ideology. Won't get that of course. I think most people worry too much about what sort of laws will be passed and don't focus on the real power of the office which is the regulatory aspect. I want a candidate who will run a smart efficient government with only as much regulation as needed.

Then four demographic questions: Location, sex, age and education level.


Texas, male, 46 about and lots of college but no degree.


For conservatives convinced pollsters/poll compilations (e.g. ElectoralVote.com) are hopelessly, shamefully, biased against all things GOP, this is a chance to change that, as tomorrow is a chance to address similar feelings on government. In this case it is at least as much about increasing accuracy and precision by future election models as about making ones voice heard. Back later; the new job seems to have given me a cold as well as reduced my post frequency....


More people voting will not change the bias of the media so nothing will change.

EDIT: Just to clarify, while I am curious about how each of you respond, I encourage everyone to vote in the EV.com poll (since that is the one actually trying to compile a complete profile.) Incidentally, foreign respondents are welcome, too, though their choices are tracked separately from those who can register to vote in the US.

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So, Whom Do You Like? - 05/11/2012 11:38:42 AM 801 Views
Oh, goodie! - 05/11/2012 04:06:58 PM 459 Views
Yeah, now you need not vote tomorrow! - 05/11/2012 07:07:07 PM 428 Views
I'm not going to anyway. - 06/11/2012 02:52:07 PM 513 Views
Neither, particularly. - 05/11/2012 04:17:07 PM 550 Views
Heh, fair point. - 05/11/2012 07:28:32 PM 539 Views
Btw. - 07/11/2012 09:27:20 PM 554 Views
Sorry, forgot the link: - 05/11/2012 07:51:56 PM 508 Views
I don't understand. - 06/11/2012 02:56:23 PM 429 Views
That's not what I mean. - 06/11/2012 03:40:58 PM 429 Views
Ok, got it. *NM* - 07/11/2012 04:07:23 PM 174 Views
Sure, let's make a go of it. - 05/11/2012 10:21:02 PM 445 Views
I don't think my answers matter since I don't live in the US, but I'm bored. - 05/11/2012 10:33:45 PM 461 Views
To help you understand better. - 06/11/2012 03:02:22 PM 433 Views
It's not a direct democracy. - 06/11/2012 04:50:41 PM 426 Views
Re: It's not a direct democracy. - 07/11/2012 04:10:16 PM 408 Views
I cannae do it. - 06/11/2012 06:02:36 PM 424 Views
Re: So, Whom Do You Like? - 06/11/2012 06:13:11 PM 416 Views

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