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I think it's still in play Larry Send a noteboard - 18/10/2012 12:04:55 AM
I notice that no one even really sees North Carolina as a toss-up - Obama won by a couple thousand votes and no one expects him to come anywhere near the turnout that he got in 2008. I think that Virginia is probably the same.

If I were Romney I'd be hitting Iowa and Nevada hard in addition to Ohio. If I were Obama I don't think I'd try wasting money or time in Virginia or Florida, instead targeting just Ohio, Iowa, Colorado and Nevada.


But it's like a 40% shot sort of deal; worth some investment, but not as much as the states you list, about all of which I think are more likely to vote Obama than Romney as a whole.
Illusions fall like the husk of a fruit, one after another, and the fruit is experience. - Narrator, Sylvie

Je suis méchant.
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Is the election over? NEW GALLUP - ROMNEY +6% - 51% to 45% - - 17/10/2012 06:50:26 PM 544 Views
why do you hate america so much? *NM* - 17/10/2012 06:57:23 PM 177 Views
Funny, I have the same question for you. *NM* - 17/10/2012 06:59:11 PM 184 Views
I think that we can all agree on.... - 17/10/2012 07:16:01 PM 391 Views
Re: I think that we can all agree on.... - 17/10/2012 07:23:54 PM 359 Views
Yeah the elections over all right, a slam dunk to Obama, check with the bookies - 17/10/2012 07:35:14 PM 580 Views
You persist in this fiction - 17/10/2012 10:06:07 PM 353 Views
obama still has the easier path to victory - 17/10/2012 10:22:58 PM 330 Views
I wouldn't dispute that for an instant. - 17/10/2012 10:25:46 PM 369 Views
I think Silver's model tries to account for historical turnouts - 17/10/2012 10:32:24 PM 359 Views
I think that Virginia is still really a "red" state. - 17/10/2012 11:07:35 PM 350 Views
I think it's still in play - 18/10/2012 12:04:55 AM 336 Views
It ain't over till the fat lady sings, and all that. - 17/10/2012 10:07:11 PM 364 Views
Hawaii. - 17/10/2012 10:36:09 PM 497 Views
Yes, but they are also utterly predictable. - 17/10/2012 10:43:45 PM 360 Views
As evidenced recently by Germany - Sweden *NM* - 21/10/2012 05:17:38 PM 171 Views

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