He says the same approach would not work because Axis nations were far more and you because they were far LESS devastated than Afghanistan or Iraq.
He's right of course that there was huge damage in Germany that needed repairing - and his argument that it gave the Germans something to do other than fomenting against the occupiers is a valid one.
My own point doesn't really contradict that, and focuses not so much on how much or how little was destroyed in the war itself, but rather on how much the people had when the war was over. The Germans had a strong economy, a strong civil society, long established traditions of the rule of law and so on - and the war destroyed some of that, but still much of it remained - remained actually standing, or remained in the memories of the people who could rebuild it. Perhaps less was destroyed in the Iraq and Afghanistan wars, but considering how much less they had beforehand, they still came out of those wars rather worse off than the Germans.
My bet is the relative level of devastation is irrelevant to how effective complete martial law would be, that it would be equally effective in any nation conditioned to obey whomever has the most guns. Exterminating or expelling most minorities does not mean post-war Germany had LESS ethnic strife than Afghanistan or Iraq, only that they had run out of targets. I do not think Afghans or Iraqis would be any more (and probably far less) difficult to re-educate than war-time Germans or Japanese were, because they have not been as systematically indoctrinated against peace, democracy and human rights. They do not need to be taught not to send entire races to death camps or conquer an entire continent seeking lebensraum, only to run a democracy and not relegate fellow citizens to second class status.
It most definitely does mean that post-war Germany had less ethnic strife than Afghanistan or Iraq. I'm not sure if you really meant to say what you said there, because it seems so nonsensical. Post-war Germany had little or nothing in the way of ethnic strife, rivalry or power struggles between ethnic groups - the only major thing they had was what I mentioned, displaced Germans who were driven from their homes in Silesia (or Sudetenland in Czechoslovakia, or Siebenbürgen in Romania). Iraq and Afghanistan, well, I don't think I even need to start.
Afghans hadn't been systematically indoctrinated over a longer period, true - but growing up in little more than anarchy doesn't exactly leave people open and welcoming of democracy, either, and the growing group of Afghans under the Taliban yoke certainly did face what you might call indoctrination. The Iraqis lived in a dictatorship of their own, they certainly had indoctrination as well.
But indeed, that's not even really what I'm talking about. A generation being indoctrinated is not something you can just sweep under the map, okay, but when the older generations at least remember how it was before, have an example to return to, they should be able to manage, after a fashion. Iraqis and Afghans had been under dictatorships, anarchy, Soviet domination or some combination of the three for decades and decades, with liberal amounts of bloody war thrown in for good measure - and even before that, they had never had a period of a well-functioning even semi-democratic state that could serve as an example. Germany and Japan had, and it wasn't all that long ago. Moreover, you have the "clash of civilizations" thing going on, the general feeling in the Muslim world of being under siege, their lingering resentment about the colonization and their backward position since a century or two, three. For Japan the same thing was probably true to a considerable extent (like I said, I know rather little about Japan), but not for Germany.
I think you underesimate how completely Geobbels and the Hitler Youth indoctrinated Germans, and Tojos militarists the Japanese. Twelve years is a LONG time, particularly for those who grew up during that period. How much can twelve years change people, especially the young? Ask Afghans, Iraqis, Americans or most of the world: Twelve years ago the WTC was still intact, and would be for another year. I guarantee the intervening time fundamentally and drastically altered most peoples worldview, that a 20 or 30 year old today has a completely different perspective than one in 2000. Maybe folks in Southeast Asia have been isolated from it (outside Indonesia anyway) but few others. How well do you think a 30 year old German in 1946 remembered the democratic institutions that died before they were 18?
I'm 25 (barely), not 30, and I remember the pre-WTC period quite well, thank you. Yes, people who faced Nazi indoctrination from the beginning, had little else in school and all - those born after 1925 or so, say - would need quite strongly anti-Nazi parents to not be swayed. But those people were never going to be the ones leading Germany when the war ended - and by the time that generation did come to power, they'd had enough time for the indoctrination to melt away.
It reminds me of a factor I hadn't yet considered but that is quite relevant: demographics, and more specifically the amount of easily influenced youths out there (and they count double if they're unemployed). Germany post-WW2 was probably in a less extreme situation than either Iraq or Afghanistan with regards to the weight of the youth in the population statistics, in any case; and then of course millions of them had died in the war. Iraqi or Afghanistani youths didn't really die in significant numbers during the brief wars that left them under American control (they had died in large numbers in earlier wars, to be sure, but those were ten or twenty years before).
Indeed, there is little reason for Afghans or Iraqis to feel culpable for war but, once again, post-war Germans and Japanese felt little either, yet pacification and reconstruction worked phenomenally well in both. There is no collective guilt to instill, because one cannot hold all Afghanistan or Iraq accountable for a Taliban and Bath Party they were powerless to resist. I speak of imposing martial law it is as temporary remedy, not punishment.
It's not that I have something against imposing martial law. I'm just saying, it's absurd to pretend that "nation-building" in Iraq or Afghanistan was ever going to be like post-war Germany and Japan. There was far more "nation" to "build", and so it would always have taken far longer - in a time and under circumstances that made extended military occupations harder.
Maybe it was just Allied propaganda, but all those Time magazines I have from the mid-forties do not suggest either Germany or Japan had many civil institutions left intact by 1946: The military had completely controlled society far too long. Compared to the Germany where children turned parents over to the SS as enemies of the state, rehabilitating and democratizing Afghanistan or Iraq would be a cake walk. However, we can no more expect them to develop and administer democratic institutions utterly foreign to them than we could the post-war Axis countries where they were novelties prior to the fascist ascent and dismissed after it. Until/unless they have an adult population educated and experienced with democratic government they cannot implement it, so nation-building demands an entire generation be intensively educated in democracy while an equally aggressive and pervasive military presence keeps the peace necessary both to foster that education and convince people they need not constantly be armed and ready to fight.
Konrad Adenauer became Chancellor of West-Germany in 1949, and could govern quite effectively, over a country that would rapidly become the "economic miracle" of Europe, building on its highly educated workforce, its strong civil society and what remained of its industry (East-Germany is of course a different story, but that's the Soviets' fault). Only a madman could ever have expected something similar to happen in Iraq or Afghanistan, countries that were left an utter mess after those wars, with heavy ethnic strife, little in the way of economic assets other than the Iraqi oil industry, and large amounts of disaffected, unemployed and ill-educated youth.
Biden claims Romney wants war with Syria and Iran.
02/09/2012 10:48:24 PM
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Meh. Sounds like a non-story. But my thoughts, for what they're worth.
02/09/2012 11:05:52 PM
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Biden should be busy preparing to debate Ryan so he is not shredded, instead of saying stupid things
02/09/2012 11:52:35 PM
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We should introduce a new military doctrine
03/09/2012 02:46:33 AM
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I still think the post-war Axis powers the best model, but that requires equivalent manpower.
03/09/2012 03:57:12 AM
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It's a terrible model.
03/09/2012 11:42:36 PM
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Re: It's a terrible model.
04/09/2012 04:09:21 AM
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I recently read Stephen Ambrose's Band of Brothers, about a regiment from the 101st in WW2.
04/09/2012 10:29:01 PM
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wars they didn't start themselves? how do you figure that?
04/09/2012 10:45:07 PM
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We cannot hold all Afghanistan/Iraq accountable for governments against which they were powerless.
04/09/2012 11:54:46 PM
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so what? Governments habe always been who goes to war
05/09/2012 02:55:25 AM
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True, but we cannot hold people responsible for actions of their undemocratic governments.
05/09/2012 03:19:20 AM
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well thanks to the US they now have democratcily elected governments and can be held accountable *NM*
05/09/2012 02:30:41 PM
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Democratically elected? We will be propping it up with the US Army for at least two more years.
05/09/2012 07:19:21 PM
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being propped up by the US military doesn't make it not a democracy
05/09/2012 07:29:42 PM
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Political power that comes out of the barrel of a gun precludes democracy.
05/09/2012 09:01:40 PM
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it was always a lost cost and all governments are backed up by the barrel of a gun
05/09/2012 09:49:51 PM
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No more so than Iraq, but at least there was a threat to America to fight in Afghanistan.
23/09/2012 04:51:14 AM
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I said start. I quite agree with you about the things that went on after the wars themselves ended.
05/09/2012 08:51:58 PM
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shooting at our aircraft is none hostile?
05/09/2012 10:06:07 PM
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It is very difficult to reconcile this post with Toms.
04/09/2012 11:50:06 PM
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Yes, I noticed that.
05/09/2012 09:27:14 PM
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Hey, remember when Bush invaded Iraq? For no reason at all, it turned out?
03/09/2012 01:56:49 AM
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Realistically, I don't think Romney would do MUCH different. But that little bit...
03/09/2012 02:19:14 AM
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After all the moeny he took from Sheldon Adelson he HAS to attack Iran. Adelson will foot the bill. *NM*
03/09/2012 05:19:27 AM
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I don't think Romney is that interested in starting a war with anyone
04/09/2012 02:39:14 PM
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