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I LOST PORKINS! Joel Send a noteboard - 11/04/2012 07:26:41 AM
Really don't need the tangential remarks about your opinion of 2011's redistricting in my state... nor your opinion on the GOP view of oligarchy... or Nixon and Ford... what the fuck man?

Hey, it was no tangent; the point was someone inadvertently losing proof they committed voter fraud eight years ago is about as likely as Ford inadvertently losing proof Nixon sold him the presidency. Even an idiot of his stature does not keep THAT kind of thing around a second longer than necessary, precisely because it might fall into the wrong hands. Ironically, disposing of such evidence in the course of covering up needless election tampering he probably did not even know about until after the fact was the reason Nixon resigned. Any 2004 fliers with false election dates were burned the first Wednesday after the first Monday in November.

As to voting machines, a simple and less nefarious answer is that there is a certain minimum each polling precinct must have, thus a precinct with 300 reg voters might have 2 and one with 500 might have 2 and one with 900 might have 3 and 1500 4, you can't have half a machine and you obviously can't only have one in case it breaks or malfunctions. Hence, non-linear skew towards machine density in low populace areas... which are also Republican. Bad marks for the guy that made that bar graph too, to show Kerry's monstrous graph towering over Bush's and swing territory like MT Everest next to a molehill... which is also deliberately falsified... look at the bar graph for Bush at 212 hanging under the 210 line, where as Kerry's and the swings peak over their lines... at 249 and 223 respectively. None of which counters the net effect of having a minimum number of voting machines in a given precinct no matter how small... a proper analysis would have compared districts of parallel pop count separately, such an oversight is proof of perfidy to those of us who are data-crunchers. As was the lack of margins for uncertainties. Also it deals with Columbus not Cleveland.

Actually, Kerrys 249 stops WELL below the 250 line, the uttermost point on the graph; 249 SHOULD be just below the 250 line, but is shown about halfway between it and the 240 line. Obviously, the 223 swing total should be above the 220 line; if anything, the graph underrepresents that just as it does the Bush and Kerry precincts, albeit not as much. "Deliberate" is a big word, and since the illustration under-represents all the totals I think it is just a bad graph, not bad intent. On a graph that starts at 200 and runs to 250, yes, 249 towers over 212 and 223, but it should be obvious the average number of voters per machine was significantly higher in blue precincts than in red ones (say, about 20% higher.)

None of THAT, nor machine density per REGISTERED voter, addresses the decision in many areas to allocate machines on the basis of "ACTIVE" voters, despite the tremendous registeration spike immediately before the election. It is one thing to note many registered voters do not actually vote; it is another to ignore massive new registration, or assume people registered to vote in next months election with no intent to actually do so.

Sorry about confusing Franklin and Cuyahoga Counties; non-resident. The OTHER only heavily Democratic area in the state only had to contend with four hour lines (but at least it was not ten,) except in upscale white (Republican) suburbs. I get that voting machines cannot be divided in half, but when it takes fifteen minutes to vote in a red precinct vs. four hours in a blue one, there is more going on than that. We do not need a graph with 240 towering over 15 to know that. :P

By the way none of that would deal with practical issues, like maybe having one machine left with another breaking down and two approximetly equal districts to split it with, but the truck going out to the one has a fair amount of empty space and the other doesn't. That's a hypothetical, but don't get in the habit of thinking that even legitimate non-partisan analysis is ironclad especially when dealing with small pools and a minor difference, in this case that blue districts had 11.7% more active voters then swing precincts, and red districts 4.9% less... in one county, where is the analysis of other counties? Where is the testimony from the persons (and all BoE's in Ohio are bi-partisan) explaining the apparent discrepancies?

In the NYT and Washington Post articles chronicling the same phenomenon of nearly all red areas having more voting machines per capita than blue ones: They explained it on the grounds they allocated voting machines based on "active" rather than registered voters, ignoring the massive registration spike immediately prior to the election.

So that's 1 down, as to the others, you're mostly talking about anecdotal evidence gathered by reporters, that's one thing right after something happens, it's another years later when there has been ample time for someone to have put together affadavits, phone records, and other things generally considered evidence which a bunch of people mutter off record with no threat of perjury or divine wrath to make them reconsider exaggerations or falsehoods very much is not. A couple days after, yes, months or years, no. I deal in verifiable facts, they need not be definitely true or utterly substantiated but they must hold up to at least cursory examination without turning into dust or I don't want to hear about them.

What can I say? Take it up with people interviewed, whose first and last names were provided in the articles. Another funny thing about the passage of time: People tend to remember things that happened to them yesterday in greater detail than those that happened six months ago. That tends to affect their willingness to swear to it under oath and risk five years in prison if they misremembered some otherwise trivial detail. Or, when people have been running around telling them they face prison for voting if they have even had a traffic ticket, even if they remember the details perfectly but fear wrongful prosecution by the same authorities who disenfranchised them in the first place.

Sure, that is a lot of speculation, but so is suggesting someone who cited specific times four hours apart had them embellished or exaggerated by memory; if that were all it was the passage of time tends to increase rather than reduce that effect. Given the candidate who might have lost the presidency over it did not even demand a recount, despite being legally entitled to do so and REPEATEDLY PLEDGING TO DURING THE CAMPAIGN, I am less the convinced investigations received due diligence in any event. If Badnarik and Cobb had not forced the issue they probably would have received none. Pretend it was a historically Democratic state with a notorious Democratic Secy. of State (not that any come to mind) and then tell me how much you think the government should be trusted. Or should I just remind you this whole thread started with Holder saying, "trust us; we are the government" and Republicans saying, "go to Hell, commie!" ;)

You didn't provide any, except that voting machine analysis which I have offered a very compelling explanation for... one frankly I would have thought you could see. Now Blackwell not letting in reporters to video tape the recount, this is what is known as 'circumstantial evidence' something you seem to genuinely not understand, it's utterly irrelevant to voting machines or voter suppression. It's also not even vaguely abnormal and after the debacle four years prior of videotaping those recounts in Florida no one wanted a repeat, the Dems had their people in, so did the GOP, and seeing as it is highly improbable they were conspiring to steal green/lib votes it's irrelevant.

Yes, you explained that allocating machines by resitered voters or any method would skew the numbers toward low population areas. Except the very point of doing it proportionately is to minimize that effect, and, of course, some precincts obtained machines on the basis of "active" rather than registered voters (and had no reported issues of four hour lines) while others did not. It is similar to what I said to Tom about the absence of federal and often even state requirements creating very ununiform standards that invite accusations of impropriety.

As for barring the media to prevent a national spectacle, with all due respect, conducting ones local elections in a manner that avoids throwing the presidency into limbo prevents that far better. IF, on the other hand, one cannot or will not do so, and DOES throw the presidency into limbo, expect a national media spectacle, just as I expect close media scrutiny of an obviously and flawed election process. He is my president, too, and folks in HI, NY, AK, FL and everywhere between them. Do NOT expect us to simply trust local pols ability to count votes they cannot even be trusted to collect. Again, only God knows how many Kerry votes two dozen machines awarded Bush before they even NOTICED; SOME public oversight of the recount might be a good idea.

Now, what specific irregularities? What affadavit or case was filed and not tossed out on its ass citing someone being denied or seriously delayed in their vote with documentation from witnesses who aren't totally biased or of an objective variety like a camera or time sheet is there that you'd like to use to back any of this up? Because a bunch of sore losers howling about something for years until the uninformed simply believe its true is not 'proof' just gossip and griping.

Another funny thing: Winners rarely complain much; that does not mean every loser who ever complained was just bitter and graceless. You think Chicagos 1960 elections were fair and square? Or maybe those in TX (mercifully, the last time I know of any serious improprieties alleged there.) Since no cases of fraud were ever successfully prosecuted, they must have been, right? Though as I recall from my last perusal of the Wikipedia article, the Nixon campaign dropped its challenges when staffers pointed out continuing them might open a nasty can of worms that wound up proving fraud they knew had been perpetrated on their behalf elsewhere.

Of course, you cited a proven case yourself, but dismissed it on the grounds the judge stated there was no partisan intent, an opinion to which he is entitled, but not definitive. Put it this way: If Democrats and Republicans working in concert without constant active public oversight could be trusted to run government honestly and competently, our debt would not equal our GDP. And that is WITH a 24-7 media spectacle covering them. Unfortunately, the recent record of the two major parties indicates they are far more adept (and experienced) at working with each other against the people than with the people against each other.

We are back to the same old thing: If politicians are so trustworthy to conduct elections without scrutiny, why does this thread exist? ;)
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No voter fraud Mr. Holder? I beg to differ..... - 09/04/2012 07:13:46 PM 660 Views
The irony of a Republican-leaning person pointing this out... *NM* - 09/04/2012 08:37:33 PM 153 Views
Why is it ironic? - 09/04/2012 09:54:10 PM 411 Views
The irony is merely that of the pot and the kettle - 10/04/2012 01:05:39 AM 305 Views
If you are referring to FL in 2000.....those machines were bought by Dems..... - 10/04/2012 01:17:26 AM 295 Views
Was thinking more about Ohio to be honest - 10/04/2012 01:22:55 AM 305 Views
Intentional Voting Suppression is what they are trying to do in Florida right now(due to a 2011 law) - 10/04/2012 04:22:25 AM 451 Views
Honestly, I'm fine with convicted felons permanently losing their right to vote..... - 10/04/2012 04:34:31 AM 286 Views
I am also fine with stupid people not being allowed to vote - 10/04/2012 04:36:20 AM 250 Views
Agreed - stupid people should not be allowed to vote, maybe an IQ test? - 10/04/2012 05:17:43 AM 253 Views
Also the poor should not be allowed to vote - 10/04/2012 10:13:27 PM 253 Views
Hey, to jump in here. - 18/04/2012 04:12:15 AM 250 Views
I don't know about permanently... - 10/04/2012 02:10:10 PM 272 Views
Who is talking about letting felons vote in prison? - 10/04/2012 02:24:29 PM 350 Views
The League of Women Voters, for one - 10/04/2012 08:50:39 PM 273 Views
Ohio? When? *NM* - 10/04/2012 04:30:29 AM 103 Views
2008. - 10/04/2012 04:37:15 AM 249 Views
Once again, Dems were running those polls and counties. - 10/04/2012 05:19:14 AM 225 Views
they were not in 2004 and still had vote supression and irregularities - 10/04/2012 04:44:36 PM 260 Views
I think you've got your facts wrong - 10/04/2012 09:00:55 PM 269 Views
Stating something doesn't make it true - 10/04/2012 04:10:33 AM 318 Views
I'm impressed that you wrote so much in reply - 10/04/2012 04:36:02 AM 274 Views
How long voting takes is a function of machines, not voters. - 10/04/2012 02:08:39 PM 345 Views
It's a function of various factors, that can certainly be one - 10/04/2012 08:12:08 PM 294 Views
Ohio in 2004 was hinky enough to prompt the only Congressional challenge since 1876s Corrupt Bargain - 10/04/2012 11:36:52 PM 416 Views
I know it's a bit pot/kettle but dude... stay on topic - 11/04/2012 01:34:26 AM 320 Views
I LOST PORKINS! - 11/04/2012 07:26:41 AM 336 Views
As long as people need not purchase their voting requirements, voter IDs are fine by me. - 10/04/2012 12:53:35 PM 355 Views
It's frightening when I agree with you. - 10/04/2012 02:52:23 PM 272 Views
Law of averages, maybe. - 10/04/2012 04:44:55 PM 389 Views

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