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Much as it pains me to agree with trzaska, he is absolutely right in this case. Joel Send a noteboard - 14/03/2012 04:21:43 PM
I elaborated on it further in my response to Isaac in that subthread between you, him and moondog. Obama absolutely must win FL or OH, and will probably need VA, too, if he only gets OH. He won all three last time, plus NC, on high enthusiastic turnout that will simply not be there this time, and did not have a large margin even then (FL was closest, at 2%; if Rubio is Romneys VP that race is hopeless for Obama.) If Romney runs even as well as McCain did but Obamas turnout dips even a little he loses FL, and possibly OH as well: Game over.
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This message last edited by Joel on 14/03/2012 at 04:25:36 PM
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can *any* republican pose a challenge to obama in november? - 14/03/2012 04:06:59 AM 1182 Views
Yes, absolutely..... - 14/03/2012 04:12:30 AM 635 Views
"anybody but obama" is not a winning strategy - 14/03/2012 02:28:23 PM 614 Views
It can definitely work.....don't compare 2012 to 2004. - 14/03/2012 02:44:39 PM 483 Views
this is why it will be 2004 all over again if romney is nominated - 16/03/2012 02:22:26 PM 521 Views
It sure as Hell is, as long as the candidate is moderate - 14/03/2012 03:04:10 PM 727 Views
Did you vote for Obama in 2008? - 14/03/2012 03:47:55 PM 483 Views
Yes I did. If Romney is the candidate, I will vote Romney this year. *NM* - 14/03/2012 08:39:41 PM 330 Views
Second me on that. *NM* - 15/03/2012 09:25:39 PM 249 Views
Strongly qualifying your statement really weakens the "anyone". *NM* - 14/03/2012 10:14:45 PM 345 Views
The statement "anyone but Obama" can be a rallying cry, but only for the right candidates. - 16/03/2012 01:47:48 AM 635 Views
somehow i don't see romney having much credibility versus obama - 16/03/2012 02:16:32 PM 519 Views
Spoken like a true Obama partisan - 16/03/2012 04:18:21 PM 537 Views
It's actually not about credibility. - 16/03/2012 09:57:41 PM 591 Views
Re: It's actually not about credibility. - 17/03/2012 01:10:52 PM 909 Views
I love that "Gas Costs More!" is the current rallying cry. - 14/03/2012 10:13:04 PM 515 Views
Sure, if Israel hits Iran and Obama looks weak. - 14/03/2012 04:56:23 AM 639 Views
i think iran/israel is probably the biggest issue at the moment - 14/03/2012 02:25:29 PM 641 Views
I would put serious money on an Israeli attack before the election. - 14/03/2012 02:56:55 PM 635 Views
"if netanyahu is smart" is a hell of a qualifier - 16/03/2012 02:28:55 PM 568 Views
FL and/or OH and VA. - 14/03/2012 04:55:04 PM 724 Views
Yes, Romney. - 14/03/2012 10:59:26 AM 629 Views
I know that I would consider voting for Romney - 14/03/2012 01:05:47 PM 611 Views
If you will pardon an impertinent question: Why? - 14/03/2012 03:26:01 PM 590 Views
The answer to the question is yes. *NM* - 14/03/2012 02:24:51 PM 415 Views
I was thinking no, and here's my rationale: - 14/03/2012 03:41:21 PM 549 Views
Romney doesn't have to "steal" people away..... - 14/03/2012 03:48:00 PM 550 Views
Isn't that a pretty tenuous strategy? - 14/03/2012 04:49:42 PM 583 Views
Much as it pains me to agree with trzaska, he is absolutely right in this case. - 14/03/2012 04:21:43 PM 759 Views
- 14/03/2012 04:37:26 PM 449 Views
I need a shower.... - 14/03/2012 05:05:51 PM 680 Views
Interesting. So you guys are basically saying I'm right, but it might not matter - 14/03/2012 04:53:48 PM 620 Views
Yes and no - 14/03/2012 06:23:47 PM 744 Views
Conservative cookies nomz. But I think you missed my main point... - 14/03/2012 07:02:10 PM 592 Views
Conservative cookies nomz. But I think you missed my main point... - 14/03/2012 07:09:24 PM 508 Views
And the cookies are not a lie... at last night's meeting, we had Thin Mints - 15/03/2012 09:51:30 PM 623 Views
Yeah, I just meant perception - 16/03/2012 02:39:30 AM 622 Views
Re: Yeah, I just meant perception - 16/03/2012 03:32:07 AM 543 Views
Maybe I am - 16/03/2012 11:57:04 PM 570 Views
I'm not sure "hole" is really the word for it... - 15/03/2012 10:46:58 PM 519 Views
One day Republicans and internet trolls alike will learn not to say weird shit to people like me. - 15/03/2012 12:30:17 AM 696 Views
This is quite a good post and I can offer further evidence - 15/03/2012 12:37:13 AM 548 Views
I like this post. - 15/03/2012 08:40:07 PM 567 Views
I don't mean to disrespect your seal, but it looks more like a cat. *NM* - 15/03/2012 08:52:26 PM 217 Views
This made me laugh way more than it should have *NM* - 15/03/2012 09:07:08 PM 238 Views
me too *NM* - 15/03/2012 11:58:52 PM 221 Views
Couple notes - 15/03/2012 09:29:23 PM 500 Views
Yeah... - 15/03/2012 09:49:14 PM 531 Views
I like that logo better - 15/03/2012 09:57:39 PM 482 Views
Depends on the state of the economy - 15/03/2012 08:52:32 PM 527 Views

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