It sure as Hell is, as long as the candidate is moderate
Tom Send a noteboard - 14/03/2012 03:04:10 PM
Putting up Santorum, for example, on an "anyone but Obama" platform might be a losing strategy, but there's a key difference between "anyone but Obama" now and "anyone but Bush" in 2004:
In 2004, the economy was growing and all discontent with the President was over a heavy-handed foreign policy that about half the country supported anyway. The discontent was removed from the voters' wallets. In 2012, Obama has saddled a massively expensive new Federal program on voters, the economy is recovering but the jobs outlook is still anemic, Obama just talks about spending more and more money without even admitting that entitlement reform is needed, and many people are still nervous because so many legal changes have been threatened (should I buy a house if the mortgage deduction goes away? How much will it cost me to hire an employee due to Obamacare? Will the capital gains rate go up?).
It may sound cliché to say that people vote with their wallets, but it is no less true for that. If the economy is good, people can vote for all sorts of other reasons (I like his haircut, he doesn't want to murder babies and neither do I, he supports gay marriage and so do I), but when a voter is nervous about the economy, it trumps everything else.
In 2004, the economy was growing and all discontent with the President was over a heavy-handed foreign policy that about half the country supported anyway. The discontent was removed from the voters' wallets. In 2012, Obama has saddled a massively expensive new Federal program on voters, the economy is recovering but the jobs outlook is still anemic, Obama just talks about spending more and more money without even admitting that entitlement reform is needed, and many people are still nervous because so many legal changes have been threatened (should I buy a house if the mortgage deduction goes away? How much will it cost me to hire an employee due to Obamacare? Will the capital gains rate go up?).
It may sound cliché to say that people vote with their wallets, but it is no less true for that. If the economy is good, people can vote for all sorts of other reasons (I like his haircut, he doesn't want to murder babies and neither do I, he supports gay marriage and so do I), but when a voter is nervous about the economy, it trumps everything else.
Political correctness is the pettiest form of casuistry.
ἡ δὲ κἀκ τριῶν τρυπημάτων ἐργαζομένη ἐνεκάλει τῇ φύσει, δυσφορουμένη, ὅτι δὴ μὴ καὶ τοὺς τιτθοὺς αὐτῇ εὐρύτερον ἢ νῦν εἰσι τρυπώη, ὅπως καὶ ἄλλην ἐνταῦθα μίξιν ἐπιτεχνᾶσθαι δυνατὴ εἴη. – Procopius
Ummaka qinnassa nīk!
*MySmiley*
ἡ δὲ κἀκ τριῶν τρυπημάτων ἐργαζομένη ἐνεκάλει τῇ φύσει, δυσφορουμένη, ὅτι δὴ μὴ καὶ τοὺς τιτθοὺς αὐτῇ εὐρύτερον ἢ νῦν εἰσι τρυπώη, ὅπως καὶ ἄλλην ἐνταῦθα μίξιν ἐπιτεχνᾶσθαι δυνατὴ εἴη. – Procopius
Ummaka qinnassa nīk!
*MySmiley*
can *any* republican pose a challenge to obama in november?
14/03/2012 04:06:59 AM
- 1181 Views
Yes, absolutely.....
14/03/2012 04:12:30 AM
- 634 Views
"anybody but obama" is not a winning strategy
14/03/2012 02:28:23 PM
- 614 Views
It can definitely work.....don't compare 2012 to 2004.
14/03/2012 02:44:39 PM
- 482 Views
this is why it will be 2004 all over again if romney is nominated
16/03/2012 02:22:26 PM
- 520 Views
It sure as Hell is, as long as the candidate is moderate
14/03/2012 03:04:10 PM
- 727 Views
Did you vote for Obama in 2008?
14/03/2012 03:47:55 PM
- 482 Views
Yes I did. If Romney is the candidate, I will vote Romney this year. *NM*
14/03/2012 08:39:41 PM
- 329 Views
Strongly qualifying your statement really weakens the "anyone". *NM*
14/03/2012 10:14:45 PM
- 345 Views
The statement "anyone but Obama" can be a rallying cry, but only for the right candidates.
16/03/2012 01:47:48 AM
- 634 Views
somehow i don't see romney having much credibility versus obama
16/03/2012 02:16:32 PM
- 519 Views
Spoken like a true Obama partisan
16/03/2012 04:18:21 PM
- 536 Views
actually, i did not vote for obama in 2008 and i won't this time either
17/03/2012 01:02:09 PM
- 565 Views
Sure, if Israel hits Iran and Obama looks weak.
14/03/2012 04:56:23 AM
- 639 Views
i think iran/israel is probably the biggest issue at the moment
14/03/2012 02:25:29 PM
- 641 Views
I would put serious money on an Israeli attack before the election.
14/03/2012 02:56:55 PM
- 634 Views
I know that I would consider voting for Romney
14/03/2012 01:05:47 PM
- 610 Views
If you will pardon an impertinent question: Why?
14/03/2012 03:26:01 PM
- 589 Views
Because Obama is a complete and utter failure.....
14/03/2012 03:44:14 PM
- 528 Views
Again, I get Republicans voting Anybody but Obama, but not how anyone can be comfortable w/ Romney.
14/03/2012 04:06:14 PM
- 662 Views
Pre-convention only the incumbents favorability ratings matter much
14/03/2012 01:19:04 PM
- 624 Views
obama is not popular, but at least he has the ability to organize a national campaign
14/03/2012 02:18:04 PM
- 567 Views
No, the democratic party does, so does the GOP
14/03/2012 03:16:31 PM
- 636 Views
That's true- despite how divisive the primaries seem, the GOP will unite behind the winner
14/03/2012 03:44:16 PM
- 658 Views
Re: That's true- despite how divisive the primaries seem, the GOP will unite behind the winner
14/03/2012 03:59:25 PM
- 588 Views
Actually, my experience has been a lot of libs mean it when they say they will not for anyone.
14/03/2012 04:19:46 PM
- 451 Views
I don't want to grossly over-generalize but there are distinct trends to party demographics
14/03/2012 06:04:09 PM
- 668 Views
I was thinking no, and here's my rationale:
14/03/2012 03:41:21 PM
- 549 Views
Much as it pains me to agree with trzaska, he is absolutely right in this case.
14/03/2012 04:21:43 PM
- 758 Views
Interesting. So you guys are basically saying I'm right, but it might not matter
14/03/2012 04:53:48 PM
- 619 Views
Yeah, pretty much, and I would even say that is the trend in all Dem vs. Rep elections.
14/03/2012 04:59:30 PM
- 648 Views
Yes and no
14/03/2012 06:23:47 PM
- 743 Views
Conservative cookies nomz. But I think you missed my main point...
14/03/2012 07:02:10 PM
- 591 Views
Conservative cookies nomz. But I think you missed my main point...
14/03/2012 07:09:24 PM
- 508 Views
And the cookies are not a lie... at last night's meeting, we had Thin Mints
15/03/2012 09:51:30 PM
- 623 Views
Yeah, I just meant perception
16/03/2012 02:39:30 AM
- 621 Views
One day Republicans and internet trolls alike will learn not to say weird shit to people like me.
15/03/2012 12:30:17 AM
- 695 Views
I like this post.
15/03/2012 08:40:07 PM
- 567 Views
I don't mean to disrespect your seal, but it looks more like a cat. *NM*
15/03/2012 08:52:26 PM
- 217 Views
You've obviously never heard of a kitten seal, Mr. I-Write-An-Animal-Blog. *NM*
15/03/2012 09:38:47 PM
- 332 Views
Maybe it's a leopard seal. That someone put a cat-ear band on. *NM*
15/03/2012 10:07:46 PM
- 232 Views
Does it matter if they do? At this point, does it matter who is president? Probably not.
16/03/2012 02:11:45 AM
- 686 Views