Active Users:1185 Time:22/11/2024 10:43:57 PM
i think iran/israel is probably the biggest issue at the moment moondog Send a noteboard - 14/03/2012 02:25:29 PM
If the economy stalls.

If there is a huge Obama scandal of some sort.

A bad exit from Afghanistan.

Bad tax policy.

There are ways, and I think it depends on who the nominee is for the Republicans. If Santorum denies Romney the delegates and it goes to a brokered convention, it hurts the Republicans, but I think Romney could win even without major problems if he appeals to enough voters in swing states. Disgruntled elderly Jewish voters in Florida and Ohio independents could kick Obama out on his ass.


netanyahu is determined to start a war with iran and iran seems willing to fight back. i'm not sure how that will play out yet, but my gut feeling is that it will not come to an actual skirmish beyond the rhetoric. there is just too much at stake for everyone involved to jump into something so permanent.

also, i am pretty sure obama can win without florida as long as he carries new york and california. he would have to win in a couple big swing states in the midwest, but i honestly see this year's race for the republicans shaping up like the 2004 race did for the dems. a weak, unliked candidate who has no credibility against the president's policies, and can be shown to be a flip-flopper is going to end up being defined by his opposition and will not have a chance of even coming close to winning.
"The RIAA has shown a certain disregard for the creative people of the industry in their eagerness to protect the revenues of the record companies." -- Frank Zappa

"That's the trouble with political jokes in this country... they get elected!" -- Dave Lippman
Reply to message
can *any* republican pose a challenge to obama in november? - 14/03/2012 04:06:59 AM 1181 Views
Yes, absolutely..... - 14/03/2012 04:12:30 AM 634 Views
"anybody but obama" is not a winning strategy - 14/03/2012 02:28:23 PM 613 Views
It can definitely work.....don't compare 2012 to 2004. - 14/03/2012 02:44:39 PM 482 Views
this is why it will be 2004 all over again if romney is nominated - 16/03/2012 02:22:26 PM 520 Views
It sure as Hell is, as long as the candidate is moderate - 14/03/2012 03:04:10 PM 726 Views
Did you vote for Obama in 2008? - 14/03/2012 03:47:55 PM 482 Views
Yes I did. If Romney is the candidate, I will vote Romney this year. *NM* - 14/03/2012 08:39:41 PM 329 Views
Second me on that. *NM* - 15/03/2012 09:25:39 PM 248 Views
Strongly qualifying your statement really weakens the "anyone". *NM* - 14/03/2012 10:14:45 PM 345 Views
The statement "anyone but Obama" can be a rallying cry, but only for the right candidates. - 16/03/2012 01:47:48 AM 634 Views
somehow i don't see romney having much credibility versus obama - 16/03/2012 02:16:32 PM 519 Views
Spoken like a true Obama partisan - 16/03/2012 04:18:21 PM 536 Views
It's actually not about credibility. - 16/03/2012 09:57:41 PM 591 Views
Re: It's actually not about credibility. - 17/03/2012 01:10:52 PM 909 Views
I love that "Gas Costs More!" is the current rallying cry. - 14/03/2012 10:13:04 PM 514 Views
Sure, if Israel hits Iran and Obama looks weak. - 14/03/2012 04:56:23 AM 639 Views
i think iran/israel is probably the biggest issue at the moment - 14/03/2012 02:25:29 PM 641 Views
I would put serious money on an Israeli attack before the election. - 14/03/2012 02:56:55 PM 634 Views
"if netanyahu is smart" is a hell of a qualifier - 16/03/2012 02:28:55 PM 568 Views
FL and/or OH and VA. - 14/03/2012 04:55:04 PM 723 Views
Yes, Romney. - 14/03/2012 10:59:26 AM 629 Views
I know that I would consider voting for Romney - 14/03/2012 01:05:47 PM 610 Views
If you will pardon an impertinent question: Why? - 14/03/2012 03:26:01 PM 589 Views
The answer to the question is yes. *NM* - 14/03/2012 02:24:51 PM 415 Views
I was thinking no, and here's my rationale: - 14/03/2012 03:41:21 PM 549 Views
Romney doesn't have to "steal" people away..... - 14/03/2012 03:48:00 PM 550 Views
Isn't that a pretty tenuous strategy? - 14/03/2012 04:49:42 PM 582 Views
Much as it pains me to agree with trzaska, he is absolutely right in this case. - 14/03/2012 04:21:43 PM 758 Views
- 14/03/2012 04:37:26 PM 448 Views
I need a shower.... - 14/03/2012 05:05:51 PM 679 Views
Interesting. So you guys are basically saying I'm right, but it might not matter - 14/03/2012 04:53:48 PM 619 Views
Yes and no - 14/03/2012 06:23:47 PM 743 Views
Conservative cookies nomz. But I think you missed my main point... - 14/03/2012 07:02:10 PM 591 Views
Conservative cookies nomz. But I think you missed my main point... - 14/03/2012 07:09:24 PM 508 Views
And the cookies are not a lie... at last night's meeting, we had Thin Mints - 15/03/2012 09:51:30 PM 622 Views
Yeah, I just meant perception - 16/03/2012 02:39:30 AM 621 Views
Re: Yeah, I just meant perception - 16/03/2012 03:32:07 AM 542 Views
Maybe I am - 16/03/2012 11:57:04 PM 570 Views
I'm not sure "hole" is really the word for it... - 15/03/2012 10:46:58 PM 519 Views
One day Republicans and internet trolls alike will learn not to say weird shit to people like me. - 15/03/2012 12:30:17 AM 695 Views
This is quite a good post and I can offer further evidence - 15/03/2012 12:37:13 AM 547 Views
I like this post. - 15/03/2012 08:40:07 PM 567 Views
I don't mean to disrespect your seal, but it looks more like a cat. *NM* - 15/03/2012 08:52:26 PM 217 Views
This made me laugh way more than it should have *NM* - 15/03/2012 09:07:08 PM 238 Views
me too *NM* - 15/03/2012 11:58:52 PM 221 Views
Couple notes - 15/03/2012 09:29:23 PM 499 Views
Yeah... - 15/03/2012 09:49:14 PM 530 Views
I like that logo better - 15/03/2012 09:57:39 PM 482 Views
Depends on the state of the economy - 15/03/2012 08:52:32 PM 526 Views

Reply to Message