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Yes, Romney. Joel Send a noteboard - 14/03/2012 10:59:26 AM
forget for a minute whether or not you prefer one candidate over another, or their electability to the general population. i am wondering if any of the candidates can put together an organization which can pose a threat to obama's re-election. gingrich and santorum could not even get on the ballot in at least two states each. romney apparently did not have anyone working for him in ohio, he basically spent a ton of money getting ads on tv instead of actually campaigning like a real candidate.

all of this speaks to me that none of the current candidates has the organizational skills to put up a sustained, national election campaign against a president who is not as popular as he was the first time, but who definitely has the organization to put people on the ground in all 50 states.

If he really won OH with money-bombs against the conservatives Great White Hope, without even personally campaigning there, that ought to tell you he can compete if he DOES personally campaign there. Latest polls I have seen have him running a couple points ahead of Obama nationally as it is. Looking at the Electoral math, I would go hard in VA and OH if I were Obama, hoping that holding those states will offset the loss of FL. Last time, he won the first two by three (in VA) and two (in OH) times as much as he did FL (where he only won by 2% near the peak of his popularity.) If Romney does as Isaac suggested and puts Rubio on the ticket, FL is nearly hopeless, along with the Southwest, probably excepting NM. At that point, with NH partial to New Engladers it becomes very difficult for Obama to reach 270.

So, yeah, Romney has a very good shot at beating Obama; as Tom has noted, another major hit on the economy and/or foreign policy could sink Obama.
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can *any* republican pose a challenge to obama in november? - 14/03/2012 04:06:59 AM 1177 Views
Yes, absolutely..... - 14/03/2012 04:12:30 AM 630 Views
"anybody but obama" is not a winning strategy - 14/03/2012 02:28:23 PM 609 Views
It can definitely work.....don't compare 2012 to 2004. - 14/03/2012 02:44:39 PM 477 Views
this is why it will be 2004 all over again if romney is nominated - 16/03/2012 02:22:26 PM 514 Views
It sure as Hell is, as long as the candidate is moderate - 14/03/2012 03:04:10 PM 723 Views
Did you vote for Obama in 2008? - 14/03/2012 03:47:55 PM 479 Views
Yes I did. If Romney is the candidate, I will vote Romney this year. *NM* - 14/03/2012 08:39:41 PM 329 Views
Second me on that. *NM* - 15/03/2012 09:25:39 PM 248 Views
Strongly qualifying your statement really weakens the "anyone". *NM* - 14/03/2012 10:14:45 PM 344 Views
The statement "anyone but Obama" can be a rallying cry, but only for the right candidates. - 16/03/2012 01:47:48 AM 631 Views
somehow i don't see romney having much credibility versus obama - 16/03/2012 02:16:32 PM 515 Views
Spoken like a true Obama partisan - 16/03/2012 04:18:21 PM 529 Views
It's actually not about credibility. - 16/03/2012 09:57:41 PM 588 Views
Re: It's actually not about credibility. - 17/03/2012 01:10:52 PM 904 Views
I love that "Gas Costs More!" is the current rallying cry. - 14/03/2012 10:13:04 PM 510 Views
Sure, if Israel hits Iran and Obama looks weak. - 14/03/2012 04:56:23 AM 631 Views
i think iran/israel is probably the biggest issue at the moment - 14/03/2012 02:25:29 PM 635 Views
I would put serious money on an Israeli attack before the election. - 14/03/2012 02:56:55 PM 631 Views
"if netanyahu is smart" is a hell of a qualifier - 16/03/2012 02:28:55 PM 562 Views
FL and/or OH and VA. - 14/03/2012 04:55:04 PM 718 Views
Yes, Romney. - 14/03/2012 10:59:26 AM 625 Views
I know that I would consider voting for Romney - 14/03/2012 01:05:47 PM 606 Views
If you will pardon an impertinent question: Why? - 14/03/2012 03:26:01 PM 586 Views
The answer to the question is yes. *NM* - 14/03/2012 02:24:51 PM 412 Views
I was thinking no, and here's my rationale: - 14/03/2012 03:41:21 PM 545 Views
Romney doesn't have to "steal" people away..... - 14/03/2012 03:48:00 PM 546 Views
Isn't that a pretty tenuous strategy? - 14/03/2012 04:49:42 PM 579 Views
Much as it pains me to agree with trzaska, he is absolutely right in this case. - 14/03/2012 04:21:43 PM 755 Views
- 14/03/2012 04:37:26 PM 445 Views
I need a shower.... - 14/03/2012 05:05:51 PM 674 Views
Interesting. So you guys are basically saying I'm right, but it might not matter - 14/03/2012 04:53:48 PM 617 Views
Yes and no - 14/03/2012 06:23:47 PM 735 Views
Conservative cookies nomz. But I think you missed my main point... - 14/03/2012 07:02:10 PM 586 Views
Conservative cookies nomz. But I think you missed my main point... - 14/03/2012 07:09:24 PM 503 Views
And the cookies are not a lie... at last night's meeting, we had Thin Mints - 15/03/2012 09:51:30 PM 617 Views
Yeah, I just meant perception - 16/03/2012 02:39:30 AM 617 Views
Re: Yeah, I just meant perception - 16/03/2012 03:32:07 AM 537 Views
Maybe I am - 16/03/2012 11:57:04 PM 565 Views
I'm not sure "hole" is really the word for it... - 15/03/2012 10:46:58 PM 513 Views
One day Republicans and internet trolls alike will learn not to say weird shit to people like me. - 15/03/2012 12:30:17 AM 691 Views
This is quite a good post and I can offer further evidence - 15/03/2012 12:37:13 AM 544 Views
I like this post. - 15/03/2012 08:40:07 PM 563 Views
I don't mean to disrespect your seal, but it looks more like a cat. *NM* - 15/03/2012 08:52:26 PM 216 Views
This made me laugh way more than it should have *NM* - 15/03/2012 09:07:08 PM 236 Views
me too *NM* - 15/03/2012 11:58:52 PM 219 Views
Couple notes - 15/03/2012 09:29:23 PM 497 Views
Yeah... - 15/03/2012 09:49:14 PM 527 Views
I like that logo better - 15/03/2012 09:57:39 PM 477 Views
Depends on the state of the economy - 15/03/2012 08:52:32 PM 522 Views

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