Statistically, yes; realistically, the primary, and Romneys opponents, are all finished.
Joel Send a noteboard - 04/03/2012 12:09:48 AM
he is merely the most likely winner by a fair margin.
Change everything "OH" to "MI" and I agree with Rollins and the (other) "senior party strategist" (and have been saying so since last week, thinking it since Santorums huge MI poll leads hit the press.) MICHIGAN was the "tipping point" and it is definitely "hard to see how Santorum credibly presses on" after that loss. "Republicans are" ALREADY so "weary with the primary" that "even those who don’t really like Romney" have begun "to coalesce behind him in order to move on to Obama, which everyone is increasingly anxious to do." That is why the MI GOP gave Romney BOTH at large delegates instead of splitting them as their own rules dictate.
Maintaining a constant stream of moneybombs against first one Not-Romney and then another have strained Romneys resources, but only to the point that, according to one story just before MI, he is now asking for small donations at rallies, and may even (GASP!) dip into his own $200 million fortune to finish the race. Sheldon Adelson can keep Romney going as long as they both agree to (though I DO agree with the Post and Romney that he is toast unless he wins his home state.) Santorum... it is hard to see how Santorum FINANCIALLY presses after losing MI, and even though all the stories out of OH even a couple days ago were of Santorum near double digit lead over Romney, we are already seeing the same tell tale money bombing shift the doomed his equal lead in MI and Gingrichs in IA (incidentally reviving Santorum.) The days, and money, of Not-Romneys are numbered, and Romneys momentum has never really reversed, only slowed. It has now reached irresistible levels, but it will take some time for that to become unmistakable.
I would not want to call the election now (though I think Romney has a slight edge at this point,) but barring a career ending scandal I was more certain in November 2008 Romney would by the 2012 nominee than I was in February that Obama would beat Hillary or of the Congressional outcome in 2006. I stand on my record.
Honorbound and honored to be Bonded to Mahtaliel Sedai
Last First in wotmania Chat
Slightly better than chocolate.
Love still can't be coerced.
Please Don't Eat the Newbies!
LoL. Be well, RAFOlk.
Last First in wotmania Chat
Slightly better than chocolate.
Love still can't be coerced.
Please Don't Eat the Newbies!
LoL. Be well, RAFOlk.
Why Romney Is (Still) the Only Republican Presidential Candidate.
27/02/2012 02:07:18 PM
- 1144 Views
also, do we really want president "ass juice" running this country? *NM*
27/02/2012 03:06:06 PM
- 239 Views
Oh, I am not worried about that; Romney is also the only potential nominee who can be elected.
27/02/2012 04:12:35 PM
- 475 Views
Didn't you notice? We have approximately 16-20 years more of that?
05/03/2012 04:46:32 PM
- 494 Views
it was more of a comment on the alternate meaning of santorum not a political statement *NM*
06/03/2012 02:59:04 AM
- 203 Views
Why do you go to so much effort to state the obvious? *NM*
27/02/2012 05:10:14 PM
- 176 Views
Because many people still have the idea it is not obvious.
27/02/2012 06:42:00 PM
- 421 Views
But he's not
03/03/2012 12:23:45 AM
- 450 Views
All road maps for Santorum (or anyone) go through the GOP leadership.
03/03/2012 01:01:07 AM
- 498 Views
So, four more years then?
29/02/2012 06:36:03 AM
- 444 Views
Most likely, but Tom is almost certainly right the economy will tell the tale.
29/02/2012 10:12:28 AM
- 521 Views
Most likely he is the nominee, but
03/03/2012 12:18:23 AM
- 435 Views
Unless he comes out as a wife swapper or something, he is unstoppable.
03/03/2012 01:28:09 AM
- 498 Views
He isn't unstoppable
03/03/2012 10:01:51 PM
- 511 Views
Statistically, yes; realistically, the primary, and Romneys opponents, are all finished.
04/03/2012 12:09:48 AM
- 492 Views
If the election were held now
04/03/2012 08:17:34 AM
- 464 Views
The primary certainly helped Obamas chances, as do marginally better economic numbers.
04/03/2012 06:02:25 PM
- 431 Views