Oh, certainly, I'm over-generalizing but I was already getting long-winded
Isaac Send a noteboard - 03/03/2012 06:52:04 AM
Even though I am inclined to just nuke some popcorn, sit back and watch the show....
During the primaries the candidates spend a lot of time in the non-swing states. Iowa isn't one.
In passing, I must note that is a very good point: Because the primaries mirror the Electoral College to a great degree, many states that are "safe" in the general election (and therefore receive little attention) are hotly contested during the primaries, often by both parties. That forces all candidates to visit most states and become somewhat familiar with (or at least aware of) the issues most relevant to residents. Without the Electoral College the primaries would probably be decided by popular vote also and the whole affair become a purely urban concern.
Yes, I really feel running for president as we currently making them do it is one of the best instructions on being a decent president, a year and change of racing everywhere and meeting everyone and eternal jet lag is good leadership experience.
We can talk about red state blue state but there's really no such thing, a state with few exceptions is essentially red or blue based on its urban vs rural breakdown, cities are not really capable of rebellion, one could do it but not all of them at once. Cleveland isn't going to break off with NYC to form a new country.
Here I must quibble; while I realize you qualified your statement, it is not as simple as red vs. blue equaling rural vs. urban (and to the extent it is, the suburbs swing.) Correct me if I am wrong (it is your home state, after all) but Columbus and Cleveland would make OH pretty blue despite its large rural population—except Cincinatti is pretty red. It was one of things I found hinky about the 2004 election; despite all the reports of folks in Cleveland and Columbus giving up on voting after 10 hours in the cold November rain due to insufficient electronic voting machines, no such problems were reported in Cincinatti. Given that Bush won re-election by (essentially) 160,000 votes in OH, that bothered me a lot.
Cincinatti is essentially the old bastion of the GOP, and it wasn't a big margin, the Mayor, Mark Mallory, is a Dem. But you're seeing Hamilton County not the City, on those maps, and the Metropolitan area includes roughly a dozen counties in KY and IN too. Red v blue county breakdowns are illuminating but one has to remember that unless they have purple shadings it's a touch questionable and a county can flip just by having two medium-small cities in it. Ditto a city, in terms of effective metro area, can easily sprawl over two counties that both break red. It's less surprising though, regarding the voting, complaints of that sort really originate - not saying they aren't real or legit, just who blows the horn - with hardline partisans usually working at the BoE or holding office.
Insofar as elections and polls are controlled almost entirely by the County in Ohio, from a pragmatic POV, we usually consider it ironic when someone in, say, Cleveland, which is hard blue in terms of governance, blows a horn essentially saying that the local Democratic leadership has successfully disenfranchised it's own voters, which is not entirely fair but still pretty on the mark. In Ohio the local county parties get together (unofficially) to decide where the hell to draw the precinct lines and where to put the voting locations, generally an entirely non-partisan effort that in my area at least most revolves around trying to un-fuck whatever new weird ass division of school districts has made voting school board and school levies a nightmare. But there's 2 dem and 2 GOP precinct judges for each precinct and we tend to keep our precincts on the small side in Ohio, what happens is an area that nobody's really bothered to adjust in a while from general business and indifference can swell in size and voter level, and if a couple of precincts are in the same place it can cause a glut, especially when some whacked out person comes in trying to vote with a bottle of prescription medicine as proof of ID... no seriously... general policy in Ohio is just to hand anyone a provisional ballot even if they're trying to vote in the wrong county if they make enough of a fuss just to keep the line moving and to prevent them from, say, going on a shooting spree when you deny Batman the opportunity to vote. Not to be un-PC but that sort of stuff just happens more in the cities... in the country we have our loons vote absentee from their bunker or cult compound. Anyway that clogs things up.
Cannoli recently suggested all the liberals in Houston and Dallas should not be allowed to turn TX blue, but the fact is there ain't that many liberals in Houston or Dallas, else they would do exactly that whether he liked it or not. In fact, as I pointed out to him, the most liberal, or at least Democratic, areas in TX consist of a single city (Austin) and rural areas in the Rio Grande Valley and the Piney Woods. Those are the areas that benefited most from farm subsidies and other largely Democratic federal programs designed for subsistence farmers, though Democrats embracing and Republicans largely abandoning racial equality helped in the Valley (but hurt in the more traditionally Southern east.)
Well... define liberal, have the time I can't remember if I am one, a GOP moderate, or an Arch-conservative. As Jon Stewart said re: Scott Brown "A Massachusetts Republican is still considered like a gay Democrat in other parts of the country", I'm pretty sure from my time spent Exiled to Montana in the middle of the damned winter that 'democrat' there may translate as someone who doesn't believe you have constitutional right to own artillery pieces, except maybe the small 105 mm sort. I personally analyze my own county by precinct and you get some weird bubbles, blue area that aren't cities are usually mostly upper-mid to rich, whereas red parts of cities tend to be very old and/or wealthy. It's just general statistical effect, but when I talk about urban vs rural I'm not really talking red vs blue but more of the historical sense, there tends to be a marked contrast between cities and country where often two cities separated by large distances have more in common in many respects than either do with the villages five miles away.
We didn't abandon racial equality either, barring some assholes, which the Dems have too, we stuck to the old party line, ignore skin color, or do your hardest too. The perception of that being the case is certainly true but I've never felt that charge was valid.
Without the Electoral College, presidential elections would become an almost purely urban campaign, but it does not follow from that Democrats would own the White House (though even if it did that would be a partisan and poor reason for changing election laws.) Rural areas tend to be red and urban areas tend to be blue, but it is only a very loose tendency, close enough in most places that it is not automatic unless the state as a whole is very partisan and/or one of the nominees is absolutely awful. I suspect those arguing for a direct popular vote from purely partisan motives would quickly find that out the hard way if it were adopted. Democrats lost the rural regions when they turned their backs on farmers, and turning their backs on (the rest of) labor is hurting them in cities now, too, else OH would not even be close and PA, MI and WI would never be in play.
Pretty much agree
And you base that off what? Any particular clause of the Constitution or federal law? Also, do keep in mind I'm discussing general voting concepts to someone who is not an American. Concepts like paying voters, mandatory reg or voting, electoral holidays, etc all deserve commentary in the general theme of why the birthplace of modern Democracy does things differently then many who have taken up the practice and find our ways incomprehensible.
I do not think that entirely fair, for two reasons.
First and foremost, while the terms can be parsed both ways, America is more a constitutional representative republic than a democracy. Hence our first impulse when the validity of something is challenged is not to consider the majoritys preference, but whether it complies with the Constitution and other federal laws. That is no accident, and ultimately a good thing; it prevents atrocities resulting from a mad and/or inflamed majority deciding all Muslims are terrorists or all pro lifers are fascists, and perpetrating some appalling national tragedy.
Precisely... and by the way I do appreciate your efforts regarding DA in that other thread but 'lost cause' comes to mind. We're not a majority rules places, we're land of law where voting acts as one of many checks.
I still contend the Ninth and Tenth Amendments effectively prohibit slavery on a similar basis, because that is the idea the Constitution repeatedly reflects: Because we are ultimately governed by LAWS our elected representatives enact, rather than simple referenda by those represenatatives or the general public, minority rights are protected from majority abuse. Thus amending our highest national law requires two-thirds of the states or Congress to propose and three-fourths to ratify it, rather than a simple popular majority. As a result, the US Constitution has only been amended about once per decade in its 220 year existence, and nearly half of those amendments were introduced with it but ratified separately.
Well I think we have to accept that it was in the constitution, it's no secret many objected to it from the get go but that's also why that whole 1808 thing is in there.
The other thing is, it is REALLY unfair to compare America as "the birthplace of modern Democracy" to the UK as a country that "took up the practice." We owe most of our federal character to the successes and failures of British parliamentary democracy, traced all the way back to Runnymede and the first limits on absolute federal power through local representatives of the people. Granted, the petty nobility of the time had little accountability to the people, and the king still retained great power, but by 1776 both of those things had changed drastically.
I'm an American Republican, Joel, I'm being pretty nice not to refer to the UK as Royalist Dogs. No, I was pointing to UK to remind that person was not from the US but a different democracy, and it was us that pushed this system of government forward more than any else, the UK's shed a lot of blood and gold for the cause too, more than anyone else I can think of besides us, maybe more blood depending on how you tally it. I'm not knocking them, but I don't count pre-revolution efforts because we were them until then. In this respect mentioning the UK just means 'not US'
The problem with Britain then was not that it was undemocratic, per se, but that it did not extend the franchise to colonies. Manchester and Liverpool residents had taxation WITH representation, but the colonies had only royally appointed governors (one of the few powers the monarch retained.) Prime Minister William Pitt echoed protests against taxing unrepresented colonies, but without that representation the parliamentary majority was against him. America considered that tyranny, particularly as both federal taxes and other authority increased without their consent or even consultation, but residents of Guam or the US Virgin Islands might be perplexed at the suggestion todays US is more democratic.
Had Britain not then been "the vanguard of democracy," George III would have simply levied another huge army to send against American colonies that only prevailed at Yorktown because the French navy prevented the arrival of British reinforcements. He certainly WANTED to—but Parliament required he accept a peace and, being little more than a figurehead of a democratically chosen government, he was legally bound to comply.
Not that I disagree with your arguments in the main, I am just being (perhaps unduly) particular on a few of them.
Well they're mostly fair points, it was a rushed, overly brief, and choppy post.
The intuitive mind is a sacred gift and the rational mind is a faithful servant. We have created a society that honors the servant and has forgotten the gift.
- Albert Einstein
King of Cairhien 20-7-2
Chancellor of the Landsraad, Archduke of Is'Mod
- Albert Einstein
King of Cairhien 20-7-2
Chancellor of the Landsraad, Archduke of Is'Mod
This message last edited by Isaac on 03/03/2012 at 07:08:29 AM
Now That Romney Is Officially the Republican Presidential Nominee: Pick the President!
29/02/2012 08:29:02 PM
- 1246 Views
I agree Romney will be the candidate.
29/02/2012 08:54:52 PM
- 642 Views
I would say the math favors Romney over Obama, but it will probably be close either way.
01/03/2012 03:37:52 PM
- 692 Views
I have never understood the point of the Electoral College.
29/02/2012 11:39:11 PM
- 693 Views
You don't think like a politician then
01/03/2012 12:38:36 AM
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I certainly hadn't considered much of that. I'm glad you posted it. *NM*
01/03/2012 07:15:03 AM
- 311 Views
I also have not seen most of that mentioned in the popular vs. electoral debate.
01/03/2012 02:34:31 PM
- 619 Views
a bit simplistic and unrealistic
02/03/2012 11:44:02 PM
- 662 Views
When illustrating a point realism is not required and simplicity is a plus
03/03/2012 03:04:26 AM
- 677 Views
I have a couple quibbles.
03/03/2012 05:23:46 AM
- 703 Views
Oh, certainly, I'm over-generalizing but I was already getting long-winded
03/03/2012 06:52:04 AM
- 668 Views
What a bunch of waffle!
03/03/2012 10:47:19 AM
- 802 Views
Also I don't like this refrain that implies only the POTUS vote matters
03/03/2012 03:29:58 AM
- 823 Views
IMHO, parliaments choosing prime ministers is LESS democratic than the electoral college.
03/03/2012 05:57:41 AM
- 624 Views
Re: IMHO, parliaments choosing prime ministers is LESS democratic than the electoral college.
03/03/2012 07:02:30 AM
- 660 Views
*is learning*
04/03/2012 09:49:42 PM
- 653 Views
Re: *is learning*
04/03/2012 09:56:16 PM
- 665 Views
Re: *is learning*
05/03/2012 12:08:08 AM
- 703 Views
You could imitate the French.
07/03/2012 10:40:16 PM
- 635 Views
That seems... unlikely....
08/03/2012 03:03:54 PM
- 637 Views
It does, doesn't it?
08/03/2012 06:11:08 PM
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After I thought about it more, I realized France and the US are not so different in that respect.
08/03/2012 08:51:03 PM
- 614 Views
More similar than the other major Western democracies at least, agreed.
08/03/2012 09:32:55 PM
- 592 Views
I did not realize lack of a parliamentary majority dictated his cabinet.
09/03/2012 12:27:31 AM
- 670 Views
I don't know much about Norwegian politics, but you seem to be wrong.
03/03/2012 06:18:08 PM
- 672 Views
Do you happen to have that link, please?
03/03/2012 06:46:31 PM
- 555 Views
Sure.
03/03/2012 06:58:07 PM
- 728 Views
Guess we did not read far enough.
03/03/2012 10:38:07 PM
- 671 Views
Yeah, you have to know a few things about European politics...
03/03/2012 11:49:44 PM
- 874 Views
Hey, man, I am an AMERICAN: I do not HAVE to know ANYTHING!
04/03/2012 11:46:57 PM
- 893 Views
Re: Yeah, you have to know a few things about European politics...
05/03/2012 06:56:24 AM
- 675 Views
The thing is, regions often have national relevance far greater than their populations would suggest
05/03/2012 10:21:26 AM
- 626 Views
Re: Yeah, you have to know a few things about European politics...
08/03/2012 07:11:12 PM
- 625 Views
Many valid reasons, including those Isaac cited.
02/03/2012 02:26:37 AM
- 772 Views
Most states are ignored anyway
02/03/2012 11:56:12 PM
- 850 Views
Only because and to the extent they have already committed themselves.
03/03/2012 03:41:39 AM
- 697 Views
Why would we do something logical? Dude, you're utterly ridiculous. *NM*
05/03/2012 04:53:38 PM
- 366 Views
I'm kind of sad- does this mean Santorum won't be providing wonderful sound bites anymore?
01/03/2012 02:22:31 PM
- 614 Views
Romney or Obama, either way, America loses. *NM*
02/03/2012 01:10:26 AM
- 440 Views
Hard to dispute that either; six of one, half a dozen of the other.
02/03/2012 01:38:07 AM
- 596 Views
I'd agree hope and change was extremely unrealistic
02/03/2012 11:58:57 PM
- 589 Views
Well, you know my story there; I voted for Obama and got Hillary (at best.)
03/03/2012 01:43:20 AM
- 608 Views
Update: Despite rules requiring they be split, the MI GOP is giving Romney BOTH statewide delegates.
02/03/2012 11:10:56 PM
- 699 Views
Romney is damaged
02/03/2012 11:27:33 PM
- 607 Views
Obama is rather damaged also; it will probably come down to FL and OH, yet again.
03/03/2012 02:23:53 AM
- 710 Views
I'm hoping for Rubio as VP... then FL probably won't matter
03/03/2012 04:28:08 AM
- 596 Views
You should put that on your license plates.
03/03/2012 06:41:34 AM
- 720 Views
And what are you basing all of this on?
03/03/2012 09:54:06 PM
- 707 Views
The closeness of several states when Obama was far more popular, and UTs heavily Mormon neighbors.
03/03/2012 11:44:06 PM
- 659 Views
Wrong
04/03/2012 08:08:56 AM
- 782 Views
Higher turnout magnifies the Mormon effect.
04/03/2012 08:08:09 PM
- 818 Views
Your reasoning is flawed and if you can't see it there is no hope for you
05/03/2012 11:39:04 PM
- 723 Views
Yeah, I think we had that conversation already, several times, in fact.
07/03/2012 05:36:45 AM
- 561 Views
Do you have any knowledge of statistics at all?
07/03/2012 09:04:15 PM
- 721 Views
I hate this message board
07/03/2012 09:06:30 PM
- 516 Views
It would probably help if you deleted the stuff from two, three posts back?
07/03/2012 09:25:40 PM
- 632 Views